Let’s face it, with 17 seasons of Survivor behind us, contestants are bound to play similar games as former contestants. This season, even with lop-sided wins, the contestants are displaying strategies and techniques that we’ve seen before. There are archetypes that have been created since the first season that people have followed. Here is an analysis of what their best chances of winning look like.
Kenny: The Tactical Asian and (with Crystal) The Pair Alliance
Previous Seasons: Shii Ann (5), Yul (13); Rob/Amber (8), Aras/Cirie (12)
Analysis: The one thing I hope is that Ken doesn’t let too much power go to his head. If he stays, he needs to play a clean game. A few weeks ago he was probably slated to go, but with a strong partner in Crystal and the power to convince Sugar to vote with him, he’s been doing better. Now that he’s in Kota and has food, he can probably make smarter decisions. When the merge shows up, Ken’s best decision is to stick with Crystal and Susie and hope that Sugar and Matty come back. Ken probably should vote for Charlie or Randy next because they are the best strategists left.
Best Case Scenario: Vote off Charlie, Randy, Corrine, Matty, Bob, Sugar and have a final three consisting of himself, Crystal, and Susie or a final two with either. Hopefully Old Kota will be angry with Susie and the rest will dislike Crystal. He also can note how he helped master a lot of the moves.
Crystal: The Loudmouth/Pair Alliance
Previous Seasons: Alicia (2), Cassandra/Dreamz (14)
Analysis: Crystal has a few things going her way. She has kept her promises to Ken and confided everything to him. They have saved each other before. I really think that Crystal has been throwing challenges so she would be perceived as weak. Other times I think she got lucky being bad. If she showed any of her actual Gold Medal prowess, she’d be voted out immediately.
Best Case Scenario: Align with Ken/Susie/Matty/Sugar. Vote off Randy, Charlie, Corrine, Bob, Matty, Susie, and then have a final three of Sugar/Ken/Crystal. She may be able to split any votes between Sugar and Ken and make the votes 3-2-2 for herself. If it’s final two she probably has no shot though she should take Ken to at least look loyal.
Article comments
1 - Matt
That's funny, looking at it now, you were almost on about Susie's strategy.