Predicting The Emmys Through Ignorance And Randomness

Well the Emmy nominations are certainly different from last year. I'm not sure many people will be claiming victory for the new voting system, though.

Amid a tiresome sampling of the usual suspects, it turns out the undiscovered gems the new system revealed were not nominations from shows on smaller networks, like Battlestar Galactica, Gilmore Girls, or Veronica Mars. The "blue-ribbon panel" that participated in the final round of voting apparently have a higher tolerance than the average Emmy voter for Two and a Half Men, which they chose over My Name is Earl or Entourage, and Kevin James in King of Queens, who made the list of nominees over Jason Bateman of Arrested Development or Zach Braff of Scrubs.

Some other surprises: Lost and Desperate Housewives were shut out of the major categories. That's right, last year's winner for best drama series is not in the running this year, and none of the women of Wisteria Lane are up for best actress.

I normally don't make Emmy predictions, because I haven't seen most of the nominated shows. But given the Academy's picks, I thought — hey, the Emmy panel obviously voted blind, too (or maybe blind drunk), so what does it matter? I probably have as much chance of guessing right as those who have seen every show on the list. I'll break it down depending on what I want to win, what I think will win, and just for fun, throw in a random number generator, because I suspect that's how the Emmy nominations were really decided.

Outstanding Drama Series

  1. Grey's Anatomy
  2. House
  3. The Sopranos
  4. 24
  5. The West Wing

Heart: House. But I didn't even expect it to be nominated, and I still think the accusations that it relies too much on formula and its outstanding lead actor will hurt it in the final tally (but then where the hell is Hugh Laurie's nomination?).
Head: This is a tough one — it could go any way, but I'm going to say Grey's Anatomy, because it would be my second choice of these options.
Random number generator: 4, so that means 24. Sure, whatever.

Outstanding Comedy Series

  1. Arrested Development
  2. Curb Your Enthusiasm
  3. The Office
  4. Scrubs
  5. Two And A Half Men

Heart: Definitely Scrubs, and I'm completely unbiased by the fact that Bill Lawrence was a great interviewee. Really.
Head: The Office has a piece of my heart, too, and I think it has a reasonable shot at winning.
Random number generator: 1, Arrested Development. One of the three shows I'd be more than happy to see win.

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Article Author: Diane Kristine Wild

Diane runs the TV, Eh? website, a compilation of news about Canadian television. Follow her on Twitter @deekayw for more random thoughts.

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Article comments

  • 1 - Chris Evans

    Jul 07, 2006 at 1:42 am

    You should totally tune into SVU. Mariska's SO good.

  • 2 - Ty

    Jul 07, 2006 at 5:45 pm

    It sux that Curb won't win Best Comedy, it's the funniest show on TV (don't bother watching it if you didn't like Seinfeld).

    "You should totally tune into SVU. Mariska's SO good.
    "

    Nah, f**k that. SVU comes on when BOSTON LEGAL comes on, and BOSTON LEGAL is the only 100% law drama on television (there are plenty of L&O's to go around, and you even catch SVU syndicated on USA Network).

  • 3 - Baronius

    Jul 09, 2006 at 9:31 pm

    I love the idea of a random number generator's picks! I thought I was the only one to notice the utter randomness of the nominations. People keep trying to analyse them in terms of the new system, or swan songs, or whatever. But they make as much sense if you throw darts at a TV Guide (something you probably should do anyway).

    I can't get worked up about how bad some of the nominations are, because there's no point in getting angry at a random process. For example: people are complaining about Lost and Desperate Housewives being shut out. (Although all year I've been hearing that both shows had bad seasons.) What does it matter, though, if they were winners last year? Winning in a previous year means as little as winning this year will.

    I'm not going to kick a House fan when she's down, but I really want to, so I better just click "Publish" quickly.

  • 4 - Diane Kristine

    Jul 09, 2006 at 10:28 pm

    Feel free to kick away, Baronius - I'm not one who thinks everyone has to like the same things I do, plus I can't be too down when the show did get a best series nomination. But yeah, any awards show is pretty random and it's hard to get too worked up about them, other than in fun.

  • 5 - Baronius

    Jul 09, 2006 at 10:41 pm

    Ehh, it's no fun if you're going to be emotionally healthy about it...

  • 6 - Diane Kristine

    Jul 09, 2006 at 11:11 pm

    Damn, I knew that emotional healthiness was going to get in the way some day ...

  • 7 - Brad

    Aug 20, 2006 at 3:07 pm

    Geena Davis should definitly win Best Lead Actress in a Drama Series. Her acting was outstanding in Commander in Chief. She played the part so well, better than any of the other nominees in my opinion.

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