Now let's move onto the five films which do have Best Director nominations attached. These I have ranked in order of likelihood to win — from least to most. This is not necessarily the order I would like them to be, after all District 9 was my number one for the year, rather this is the order I think they will rank when all is said and done, even though we will only ever know number one.
Precious: Based on the Novel 'Push' by Sapphire
As soon as I saw this film, and feeling very moved by it, I also saw the image of an Oscar statuette dancing in my head. I was not so sure about the wins so much as I was about the nominations. I predicted Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actress, and Best Screenplay. It received all of those nominations. I feel that it's best chance is in the acting categories, particularly supporting actress. It is a very good film, however its initial buzz seems to have faded in favor of other nominees.
I would love to say this has a better chance than fourth, but while critics have taken to it, the end of year awards have not exactly come rolling in. Still, I have a feeling this is a movie that will only grow in esteem over the years. Quentin Tarantino has crafted a great piece of revisionist history that is also a love story about the medium of film. Besides, it is a shoe in for Best Supporting Actor and I would like to believe it has a shot at screenplay.
Here is where things start to get a little tricky. The next three films are as close to a toss up as you can get. All three have taken in some prestigious awards this season. But, on with my guesses...