BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN
THE CONSTANT GARDENER
GOOD NIGHT, AND GOOD LUCK
A HISTORY OF VIOLENCE
MATCH POINT
Will Win: Brokeback Mountain
Should Win: The Constant Gardener
Brokeback has by far the most GG nods, the most cc wins, and the momentum of a runaway herd of stampeding gay cattle. Odds are 1/2. I wouldn't count Good Night, and Good Luck (5/2) completely out, however. It's about the press, and if there's one thing the press loves, it's the press. However, if you watch carefully, it's extremely critical of today's press and not all that flattering to the entertainment press in particular, so that might sink it.
Though I loved Brokeback Mountain, I liked The Constant Gardener even more. (I loved Munich more than that, but that's not an option here.) Brokeback does tragic romance and does it well. Gardener does that and political intrigue and it has Bill Nighy, so how can you compete with that?
OPV: 54%. This is something you wanna win.
By the way, did I mention that I'm horrible at predicting the Globes? Last year I batted .385. I probably should have said something earlier. So sorry.
Article comments
1 - Trish
I loved your subhead! The tables make all the difference, don't they?
Actually, I think it's the alcohol that makes the difference. Everyone's looser. Thank God.