The one to beat.
Brad Pitt - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
The first time I've seen him truly inhabit a role.
Mickey Rourke - The Wrestler
The one to beat Penn.
Sorely Overlooked: Andrew Garfield in Boy A (although I'm not sure it's eligible since it's been on British TV). Either lead from In Bruges. Josh Brolin in W.
Best Director
Danny Boyle - Slumdog Millionaire
And he'll win.
David Fincher - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
And he should win.
Ron Howard - Frost/Nixon
Academy loves Ron.
Chris Nolan - The Dark Knight
DGA nods made it official. The Dark Knight didn't just happen.
Gus Van Sant - Milk
Would be his second nod. His first was 12 years ago.
Matching the DGA nods here, and we're not done.
Sorely overlooked: Thomas McCarthy for The Visitor. That movie didn't just happen, either.
Best Picture
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
And two weeks ago I would have told you it would win.
The Dark Knight
With this, could get the same major nods as Star Wars back in the day (Screenplay, Director, Supporting Actor, Picture).
Frost/Nixon
Who'da thunk that Ron Howard would be a name you'd regularly associate with Oscar-nominated flicks?
Milk
In another year, this slot might go to WALL•E, but the passing of Prop 8 puts Milk front and center.
Slumdog Millionaire
Two weeks ago I would not tell you that it would win. Now I will.
Matching the PGA nods here, and largely because for the first time in a while, the PGA and DGA nods line up exactly.
Sorely overlooked: I know you thought I would say The Visitor, but instead I'm going to say Doubt, which moved me more.
Oscar nods will be announced on Thursday, January 22 at 8:30 a.m. Eastern.
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