More than sixty days into 2006, we are still looking back at last year. That can officially end Sunday night following the 78th Annual Academy Awards. Each year the Oscars are the last awards to be handed out, the final gasp for the previous year, which before 2003 occurred even later at the end of March. Depending on the films, the long wait between the nomination announcements and the ceremony can either build suspense or become tedious. This year with the chances for surprises at a minimum, the latter is in effect.
To that end, I am not changing my predictions made in January. I declared them easy picks then and stand by them now. But to add some mystery there are some potential upsets, and of course my own personal preferences for what should win. For the record, last year I went 6 for 8 in the major categories.
BEST PICTURE NOMINEES:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night and Good Luck
Munich
Will win: Brokeback Mountain
Potential Upset: Crash
My Pick: Crash
BEST DIRECTOR NOMINEES:
George Clooney - Good Night and Good Luck
Paul Haggis - Crash
Ang Lee - Brokeback Mountain
Bennett Miller - Capote
Steven Spielberg - Munich
Will win: Ang Lee
Potential Upset: George Clooney
My Pick: Steven Spielberg
BEST ACTOR NOMINEES:
Philip Seymour Hoffman - Capote
Terrence Howard - Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger - Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix - Walk The Line
David Strathairn - Good Night and Good Luck
Will win: Philip Seymour Hoffman
Potential Upset: Heath Ledger
My Pick: Joaquin Phoenix
BEST ACTRESS NOMINEES:
Judi Dench - Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman - Transamerica
Keira Knightley - Pride and Prejudice
Charlize Theron - North Country
Reese Witherspoon - Walk The Line
Will win: Reese Witherspoon
Potential Upset: Felicity Huffman
My Pick: Reese Witherspoon
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR NOMINEES:
Matt Dillon - Crash
George Clooney - Syriana
Paul Giamatti - Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal - Brokeback Mountain
William Hurt - A History of Violence
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Article comments
1 - Aaron, Duke De Mondo
Brokeback Mountain is a beautiful piece o' work, but it's not as good as Munich, which should win best picture (although i haven't seen Capote yet). If Crash wins, it'll be a damn travesty. it's a mediocre flick in ANY company, but with stuff like Good Night..., Brokeback and Munich round about, it all but evaporates. Clooney deserves best director, Ang Lee should've got that for Hulk a couple years back. That the acadamy ignore such outstanding "genre" pictures is yet another reason to ignore them altogether.
An yet we don't.
But yes, Munich and Good Night And Good Luck for the two biggies. that's what should happen.
2 - Chip
Of course Crash was the big surprise. People thought that there was a late surge for that film over Brokeback, which looked destined to win a month ago. Hustle & Flow's pimp song was another surprise. With that I went 7 of 8 in the top categories, and 17 out of 24 for all categories. Not bad.
3 - godoggo
I think the "best song" category might best be put to rest. Even Dolly's song was a piece of crap (I might have felt differently if they'd had the yarbles a few years back to nominate "Shut Your Fucking Face Uncle Fucker," however).
4 - godoggo
Italics begone!
5 - godoggo
Or not.
6 - Bliffle
I saw a few of the Hollywood movies and the one I enjoyed most was "Syriana". But the movie I enjoyed most in 2005 was the French "The Beat That My Heart Missed".