American Idol Week 7: The Conspiracy that Did in Constantine Maroulis

I checked and the sun did come up this morning. Apparently, the premature departure of Constantine Maroulis from American Idol last night did not knock the earth off its axis after all. Nevertheless, for everyone who's ever lost a fav from the competition too soon, the collective headwaves were wailing with peeps' personal version of the Leslie Gore classic:

It's my party and I'll cry if I want to!
Cry if I want to!
Cry if I want to!
You would cry, too, if it happened to you!

Okay, done.

I spent my post-show entry extending my condolences to Constantine fans and commiserating with all those who, while perhaps not Constantine devotees, still felt bummed at the thought of an AI4 home stretch without the gangly, grungey boy from Brooklyn.

Now, as promised, it's time to get down to the business of sorting out what happened.

If you haven't noticed, I'm sometimes given to sassiness and a case in point is when I termed Nikko Smith's elimination a "shocker." Tongue. In. Cheek. We all know how to recognize a little poke in the belly for grins. But here's my definition of a true shocker: a result that has no (or few) indicative events leading up to it and, to the contrary, has many events indicating a trend that is the opposite of the result.

Constantine's elimination was a shocker. In fact, except for Week One results (where, for practical reasons, there are no other possibilities), in all of AI history, I cannot remember a contestant who was bounced from the competition on the first time he hit the B3. That is astounding, particularly this deep into the competition.

I'm going to use the c-word here, but don't run for your tin-foil hats, please. I'm not talking a sinister conspiracy by nefarious individuals, but a conspiracy of events. A constellation of "evil stars" that, by dumb fate and pure bad luck, converged in the AI4 heavens precisely over Mr. Maroulis' head.

First, the obvious factors. These are the things a contestant has to nail every week else make himself especially vulnerable to sudden death.

Performance. One of the raps on Constantine is that he doesn't know what he wants to be when he grows up. The flip side of that is that AI, and the AI public, looks for and values versatility.

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  • 1 - TylerNewton

    Apr 28, 2005 at 12:32 pm

    I find it amusing that whenever a favorite gets knocked off (Tamayra Gray, Latoya London, Constantine), people seem to forget that with AI, you vote people to stay ON, and you never cast a vote OFF.

    As someone said in another comment for another blog entry here, it's a positive vote for a negative result.

    Why do people have a tough time understand this?

    FOX/AI/Fremantle Media PURPOSELY do this (voting for people you like vs. voting the one you want off) because it makes the show less predictable.

    Yes many people here have said they will not watch this season of AI anymore, but for the majority, they will be glued to their TV sets because of this "shocker."

    I ask again, why does everyone have a trouble understand how AI voting works? Why can't people understand that results they don't want to see happen CAN AND DO happen because you vote people on instead of voting them off?

    If you vote people off, than surely Scott and Vonzell would be the bottom 2, because fans of the other 4 would pool their votes towards one person (like Vonzell for instance). Thus she's gone. No surprise.

    If you vote people to stay, that's a whole different story. There is no pooling of votes. You simply vote for your favorite, or perhaps not at all (this happens many times. People assume someone is safe, so they cast a vote for someone else who needs it).

    That is what happened this week. Too many Constantine fans cast their vote for Scott in an attempt to get rid of Vonzell, because Vonzell is a huge threat to everyone else. Because too many Constantine fans voted for Scott, Constantine ended up with the lowest number of votes.

  • 2 - Eric Olsen

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:00 pm

    do people really spend time calculating such as Tyler suggests? I find tht hard to believe

  • 3 - Eric Olsen

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:01 pm

    btw, Sticker you totally rock the rectum!!

  • 4 - jayne

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:04 pm

    After last night I will no longer view this show. At first I really enjoyed the talent, the tactical judges reviews, but now I realize it is just a ploy for audiences to keep coming back and has nothing to do with the theme of talent. What a Disappointment and a gimic that hooked me in like a weak link! Good Luck.

  • 5 - Eric Olsen

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:07 pm

    Jayne, it was always just a TV show, sad to say. Yet somehow to this point, anyway, it has retained its credibility as a talent contest

  • 6 - JustJak

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:09 pm

    Constantine's returning to his rock beginning alienated his new pop fan base. The fact that he absolutely butchered the song alienated any rock fans he had left. I'm not the least bit surprised he got the boot.

  • 7 - Eric Olsen

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:11 pm

    you may be right JustJak, SOMETHING happened

  • 8 - TylerNewton

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:12 pm

    "do people really spend time calculating such as Tyler suggests? I find tht hard to believe"

    Yes, even more so than me. You must understand how crazy people get over their favorites.

    There IS a reason that AI continues to be so popular, and fandom is a huge part of it.

    I am still curious though as to why people never consider that you vote people on instead of voting people off when trying to understand a "shocker." It's so obvious.

  • 9 - TylerNewton

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:15 pm

    "Constantine's returning to his rock beginning alienated his new pop fan base. The fact that he absolutely butchered the song alienated any rock fans he had left."

    I think it was all about picking that Nickelback song. That Nickelback song is almost universally HATED. Everyone cringes if they hear it on the radio. I don't know ANYONE that likes it.

    Constantine, in choosing that song, made the WORST SONG CHOICE IN THE HISTORY OF AMERICAN IDOL. It's sad because in the last 5 years there are many songs from many genres that could suit his style. Choosing a song that everyone **hates** is going to be your downfall.

    To put it in your terms, his new pop fan base used to like the Nickelback song but now hate it with a passion.

    His old rock fanbase has ALWAYS hated that piece of crap song.

  • 10 - dar

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:18 pm

    I'm not watching anymore either. Whether there really were phone problems, or it was a bad night for everyone, it doesn't much matter to me anymore. Bo and Carrie will both go on to strong careers in country and rock, Vonzell and Anthony will put out passable albums, and then in 3 or so years they will be awesome. Constantine was the only one in the group that I couldn't wait to see perform: what he would wear, what his song choice would be, how he would speak to me thru the television screen... The rest are just oh so predictable. If it was a radio contest, you could argue voice all day long, but its not, so the whole package DOES matter.
    There is not a REAL Constantine fan out there that would have dreamt of voting for another contestant, and especially not Scott. No offense. I really hope Scott goes on to win it all. Then those who say that this is "America's choice" can choke on the sad year that follows.

  • 11 - Mir/Miranda

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:19 pm

    Another great article! THanks Sticker! I TOTALLY agree about the theme-less night having something to do with the demise of such a great showman, such as, Constantine!
    Keep up the good work!

  • 12 - Eric Olsen

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:23 pm

    I agree: "the last five years" is terribly open-ended and too recent for the songs to have sunk into th egeneral populace. I'll bet they don't do that one again.

  • 13 - JustJak

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:39 pm

    Hey Tyler
    You're certainly entitled to your opinion, but I happen to LOVE that Nickleback song. At least I love it by Nickleback. If all I'd ever heard was Constantine's abysmal version of it I might agree with you about it.

  • 14 - Eric Olsen

    Apr 28, 2005 at 1:53 pm

    must be Canadian

  • 15 - mfj

    Apr 28, 2005 at 2:25 pm

    It is being said today that there is a quiet movement to make Savol the next American Idol by "mean people" (you know, the ones referred to in the proverbial "I hate mean people" bumper stickers you see all over the place). Tis true. There is purportedly a web site (getting upwards of several million hits a day) urging people to vote for the worst performer - Savol - in an effort to knock the show on its a$$ and apparently people are going along with it.

    Personally I think it would be hilarious to see Savol become the first TrailerPark Idol. He could go on to butcher every Luther Vandross song ever produced. He could be the William Hung of Smooth R&B.

  • 16 - Justene

    Apr 28, 2005 at 2:30 pm

    I checked and the sun did come up this morning.

    Thunderstorms in LA. Far later in the year than there dhould be.

  • 17 - TylerNewton

    Apr 28, 2005 at 2:31 pm

    "Personally I think it would be hilarious to see Savol become the first TrailerPark Idol."

    Funny you say that, because that made me think of South Park, and how every time I see Scott Savol, I think of Eric Cartman.

    In fact I think Scott Savol is a cross between Eric Cartman and Eminem.

  • 18 - JustJak

    Apr 28, 2005 at 2:57 pm

    Nope, not Canadian. Texan through and through pardner.

  • 19 - Sticker

    Apr 28, 2005 at 3:09 pm

    thanks, mir

    we shall see this week, won't we?

  • 20 - zaraln

    Apr 28, 2005 at 3:30 pm

    I am totally shocked , my jaw dropped and tummy churned in sadness. Constantine was the better performer and singer than von and scot. I had looked forward to watching A.I every week. Now it is just an ordinary show. I will go back to curling on tues and weds night.
    ta ta AI
    zars

  • 21 - votefortheworst.com

    Apr 28, 2005 at 3:51 pm

    www.votefortheworst.com

  • 22 - Dawn

    Apr 28, 2005 at 4:02 pm

    That was really some excellent analysis - great post Sticker.

  • 23 - Shannon

    Apr 28, 2005 at 4:11 pm

    Constantine is better of without AI. They own those kids for years when they win and they mold them into what they want them to be. Now Constantine can be Constantine. Personally he was the only one I looked forward to watching every day for the simple fact that he did change it up and took chances. Too big of a chance with Nickleback though.

    The only reason I won't watch is now there is no one worth watching. Bo bores me, Scott makes me ill, Carrie is getting on my nerves, I hate Witney Houston so that tells you how I feel about Von, and poor Anthony is too wimpy for my taste. Sweet kid, but just a kid. His expressions and movements make me cringe. Kind of like Clay in the beginning of Season 2.

    Constantine will do well on his own. He's made quite an impression and will be hard to forget.

  • 24 - patty

    Apr 28, 2005 at 4:22 pm

    Scott is Cartman from South Park.

  • 25 - Eric Olsen

    Apr 28, 2005 at 4:28 pm

    but less charming

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