Well, the Oscar nominations are finally up, which means its time for my annual pick list. So you're probably wondering: am I any good at this? Well, not really. Out of my picks last year, I got 2 outright picks correct and one dark horse pick. But hey, isn't it fun to see me get it wrong again?
Will Win: Bill Murray - Lost in Translation was Bill Murray's best acting job. He was phenomonal. He deserves the nod, people like him, and everyone was talking about him in this role.
Should Win: Bill Murray--great performance, and he deserves it.
Dark Horse: Johnny Depp. His performance made Pirates of the Caribbean, and is probably why the movie was so popular. Why the dark horse nod, then? Probably because Pirates made too much money, and really isn't that good a movie. So Bill will probably take it.
Should Win, but Wasn't Nominated: Elijah Wood - I thought Elijah was kind of overshadowed, acting wise, in the first two Rings movies, but by ROTK, he was Frodo Baggins.
Will Win: Charlize Theron - Hollywood loves to see the pretty girls make themselves look ugly (see Nicole Kidman's win last year).
Should Win: Keisha Castle-Hughes - she's part of what made Whale Rider such a great movie.
Dark Horse: Keisha Castle-Hughes - Whale Rider wasn't widely seen, but the people who did see it loved it. If there are enough voters who feel that way, Castle-Hughes might win out.
Should Win, but Wasn't Nominated: Scarlett Johansson — it was her give and take with Bill Murray that made Lost in Translation wonderful. It's a shame she didn't get a nomination.
Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Ken Watanabe — everyone I know who's seen Last Samurai, and every review I read of the movie praised his performance to the skies. He gave a moving performance in a movie a lot of people saw, so I think he'll pull the win.
Should Win: Tim Robbins — Politics aside, he's one of my favorite actors, and Mystic River is one of his best performances.
Dark Horse: Benicio Del Toro — I didn't see 21 Grams, but Benicio is a popular actor, and he might pull out a win for this one.