After having a grand old year in 2009 where exactly 5 of my 10 predictions came true, I decided that it is time to try it again, this time for 2010 (though I was tempted to re-predict for 2009, but then realized that I would still mess it up). Some of these predictions are for fun, some are obvious, and some are outright insane. That said, however, I will do my best to avoid the detection of 'the evil companies out to get me' and finish better than last year. Either way, I hope that you will enjoy my view of what technology will be released in the coming year.
1: No More Logins!!
With Twitter, Facebook, and Google Accounts becoming synonymous with the Internet, I expect shared logins to become the norm. Linking a new site with your current Web persona, you will be able to log onto only one site (say, Facebook or Twitter) and then use that to access all of your other sites. This will eliminate the need for reference pages of user names and passwords, and generally make your life more simple. As we Americans love our laziness, I can't not see this occurring soon.
Barga's Odds: 110% (I like Yogi Berra)
2: Google Faces an Anti-Trust Suit, Microsoft Will Be a Plaintiff
We all know that Google is creating a massive empire of our information, data, and search queries (which, I am sure, a psychologist would love to play with). However, with more and more market share and purchases, Google is going to become the massive entity that Microsoft was in the mid-'90s, and the are finally going to get nailed for it. I expect the Sherman Anti-Trust Act to be used against Google, and that the old guard (Microsoft, IBM, Yahoo, and…gasp…Apple) will all sign on to fight that monster in Mountain View, California.
Barga's Odds: 99.999991%
3: Apple Will Release a Tablet
Sure, I predicted this last year, and missed it, but I am willing to risk my honor on trying it again. The current predictions are that this tablet will be announced on the 27th of January (cutting it close here) and will be available later this year. I believe that the tablet will be called an 'iSlate' and function very similar to the iPhone, but with more options. Of course, like all Apple products, it will have an absurd price tag.
FYI, I still think that all of the information released, denied, and then ignored is a secret plan by Apple to create the best marketing for an item ever invented by mankind.
Barga's Odds: 96.5348%
4: Bing Will Continue to Gain Market Share
Released last year with a slew of commercials, Bing was Microsoft's newest attempt to capture the Internet search market. The new site did exactly what it was supposed to do, and it carved a small hole out of Google's massive server farm. That said, however, Google is still the dominating force in Internet searching. I expect Bing to continue to grow this year, as people get more and more annoyed by the ads, bad search results, and content farms that plague Google.
Barga's Odds: 92.5%
5: 4G Devices Will Expand and Grow, Even Without the Needed Technology
After being ignored in the current AT&T/Verizon phone war (there's a map for that), Sprint started to brag about its amazing 4G network. With 3G becoming the norm on new phones, the other providers will jump on that bandwagon as well. I expect to see phones that offer "4G options", and the networks to argue that they have the best "4G system" in place. Of course, the fact that a 4G network does not exist, nor is there even a set standard, will not stop them. After all, the American population still thinks that these companies have a true "3G network."
Barga's Odds: 88%