As often as I’m wrong, I’m glad to take credit when my prognostications turn out right now and again. I smelled “Harriet E Miers Blood in the Water” on 10-22. At that, though, I didn’t realize how quick it was coming. I’d entered a Miers-withdrawal pool predicting an exit on November 4- the last Friday before the hearings would have started.
I’m not sure who else had openly predicted her failure, but it seemed pretty obvious. She had NO public support. All right wingers and Republicans just totally were not buying. As I predicted, the Democrats didn’t have to lift a finger. The Republicans took this one out. Ted Kennedy even got to say some fake nice words about her after the fact.
One useful point of this has been drawing some lines around the president’s support. The absolutely only people supporting this nominee were blindly chauvinistic Bush partisans- and perhaps a few personal friends of Ms Miers. I’m sure she’s a fine woman- she just wasn’t nearly qualified for the Supreme Court. Everybody else even on the right clearly has some point where they will get off the Bush bus. The Miers misfire proved that. Ah well, we can now all go back to not knowing how to spell her danged name.
Meantime, of course, who’s next? Bush really screwed the pooch with this Miers pick, and he badly needs to rally the troops. What President Bush needs now worse than anything is a big uniting knock-down, drag out fight where the right are all motivated to absolutely go to the mattresses.
This brings me on the eve of Halloween to again hopefully invoke the spook what is haunting the nightmares of Democrats: Janice Rogers Brown. Now is the PERFECT time to drop her right in the mix. For starters, she’d have total teary eyed total support from all right wing types, and even likely a large majority of libertarian oriented types. Heck, even I would approve.
Meanwhile, she’s the absolutely most difficult serious known quantity conservative jurist for Democrats to oppose. Being a black woman raised in the Jim Crow South pretty well takes away the normal civil rights trump cards the liberals like to play. I just don’t see how even the best demagoguery from the DNC is going to help Democrat senators convince their black constituents that Brown is a proponent of Jim Crow.
Worst case scenario would be a huge honkin’ filibuster. Oh sweet Ayn in the morning, that would be loverly. Imagine week after week of the US Senate shut down from doing anything else to screw up the country, concentrating on 24/7 Democrat speeches against Brown.
Meantime, the likes of Sean Hannity would be out nightly, running vintage news footage of Democrats filibustering civil rights legislation in the 1960s. That one’s so simple he could figure it out for himself, even without his regular fax from Karl Rove. Besides the pure entertainment value, it’d be worthwhile to the Republicans even if they lost.
Speaking of civil rights activists, it would just about be worth the whole nomination just to see how Robert Byrd reacts. His own electoral calculations facing re-election in 2006 would seem to predict him doing crazy stuff to be seen supporting Brown.
But most of all, Bush would have his people every man Jack behind him. Given that, the Republicans have a majority and can do something. It would certainly get Bush a LOT of forgiveness from a lot of quarters, even me.
On the one hand, I fear that I’m just projecting onto the idea because she’s my favorite pick. But in this case, the one I’d pick for judicial quality seems like the one what would make the best politics.
Imagine how the more darkly conspiratorial Move On Democrats are looking at this situation. Some of them think that this whole Miers meltdown was engineered on purpose by Bush as the setup to a real evil monster of a conservative jurist.
I’d dearly like to think that our Dear Leader is that clever and Machiavellian. His opponents often underestimate him, but I don’t think he’s THIS smart. That’d be a hell of a bank shot to set up. If he were THIS smart, we’d be outthunking them better in Iraq. If he were THIS smart, he’d have never nominated Miers in the first place.
Perhaps it’s just dumb luck that has set him up with this historic opportunity.