It's two-hour-old news by now, but here it is anyway: John Kerry will be the next president of the United States, according to daredevil pollster John Zogby. He had it right the last time when everybody else had it wrong, and now he predicts Kerry will beat Bush in the Electoral College, 311 to 213 (with 14 other votes "too close to call," none of which would change the outcome). Fabulous, ain't it!

Coming from Zogby that news may not be as suprising as it sounds. Six months ago, back in May, Zogby wrote: "I have made a career of taking bungee jumps in my election calls. Sometimes I haven't had a helmet and I have gotten a little scratched. But here is my jump for 2004: John Kerry will win the election." Muddying today's prediction, however, get this: Zogy also predicts Bush will win the popular vote 49.4% to Kerry's 49.1%. Uh-oh.