When a Six-Run Inning Isn't the Pitcher's Fault - Page 6

Also, keep in mind that all of those warnings about luck also apply to ERA.  ERA is a much better measure of a pitcher's performance than wins or losses, but it still isn't perfect.  This is especially true this early in the season, when we're trying to judge a pitcher's skill by just eight or nine starts.

Although Voros McCracken's theory wasn't as absolute as it sounds, the basic idea is still as true as ever:  if you want to learn about a pitcher, look at walks, strikeouts and home runs.  If you look at those numbers and put them in context based on the situation, they'll tell you 80% of what you need to know about a pitcher's performance.

And here's the perfect example:

J. Lester (L):  4.1 IP, 1 BB, 6 K, 1 HR.  This tells you how well Lester pitched.  The 10 H and 8 ER, on the other hand, are a reflection of the defense and the luck as much as Lester.  Something to remember the next time you're browsing the box scores.

Article Author: Aaron Whitehead

Aaron, 28, lives in southern Kentucky and works at the local community college. He spends his spare time working in the theatre and cheering for the Braves ... against his better judgment.

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