RJ's NFL Picks - Week Three - Page 4

Part of: NFL Picks

RJ's Pick: Cleveland by 4

4:15 p.m. ET - Jacksonville Jaguars (0-2) @ Indianapolis Colts (1-1) (Line: Indianapolis by 6)

Jacksonville lost at home to Buffalo last Sunday, 20-16. QB David Garrard was just 17-of-28 passing for 165 yards, no TDs, and 1 INT. RB Fred Taylor had just 49 yards rushing on 14 attempts. Something stinks at the mouth of the Saint Johns River, and I'm not just talking about the red tide. This isn't the Jaguars team I remember from last season. The Colts narrowly avoided starting the year 0-2 thanks to a come-from-behind win against the Vikings in Minnesota last week. Indy could manage just 25 yards on the ground all game, so QB Peyton Manning had to win it with his arm. Manning completed 26 of his 42 pass attempts for 311 yards and a touchdown, although he also threw two picks. WR Anthony Gonzalez caught nine passes for 137 yards. This should be a competitive game between division rivals.

RJ's Pick: Indianapolis by 3

4:15 p.m. ET - Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0) @ Philadelphia Eagles (1-1) (Line: N/A at time of publication)

The Steelers won at Cleveland on Sunday Night Football last week. Both QB Ben Roethlisberger and RB Willie Parker put in workmanlike performances. DE Aaron Smith made four tackles and had two sacks. The Eagles lost a shootout to Dallas on Monday Night Football, 41-37. QB Donovan McNabb was stellar in a losing effort, completing 25-of-37 passes for 281 yards, 1 TD, and no INTs. He did get sacked four times, though. RB Brian Westbrook rushed for two TDs and caught another one. Also worth mentioning is rookie WR DeSean Jackson, who caught six passes for 110 yards. This should be an excellent game. I'm gonna go with the home team.

RJ's Pick: Philadelphia by 6

RJ's Game Of The Week: 8:15 p.m. ET - Dallas Cowboys (2-0) @ Green Bay Packers (2-0) (Line: N/A at time of publication)

The Cowboys beat Philly on MNF. QB Tony "Jessica Simpson" Romo was 21-for-30 passing for 312 yards, 3 TDs, and 1 INT. (Romo has not been sacked yet this season ... but I bet Jessica has!) WR Terrell Owens caught just three passes, but two were for TDs. TE Jason Witten caught seven balls for 110 yards. LB Greg Ellis had four tackles and two sacks. And owner Jerry Jones had two Thai hookers killed for sport. (Okay, I made that last one up. Probably.) The Packers dismantled the Lions last week. I mean, they simply eviscerated them. QB Aaron Rodgers owes me an apology for making me sit through that. WR Greg Jennings, too. And LB A. J. Hawk. And cornerback Charles Woodson. And the entire Green Bay coaching staff. It was so bad, I'm not even going to post any of their stats. (Fucking cheesehead bastards.) Er, anyway...this should be a really good game, between two quality organizations. May the best team win! (Or die in a fiery plane crash. Whichever.)

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Article Author: RJ Elliott

RJ is a graduate student at the University of Central Florida. His passions in life are sports, politics, nature, and women who have piercings they never told their daddy about. He dislikes daytime television, left-wing dictators, and people who talk like Garrison Keillor. …

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  • 1 - EEL

    Sep 18, 2008 at 1:07 pm

    GONNA PUT MY PICS OUT THERE EARLY !
    ( STRAIGHT UP )

    FALCONS
    BILLS
    GIANTS
    PATS
    TITANS
    BEARS
    CARDS
    PANTHERS
    BRONCS
    9 ERS- SHOULD BE A GOOD GAME !
    SEAHAWKS
    COLTS
    EAGLES
    RAVENS
    COWBOYS
    CHARGERS

  • 2 - EEL

    Sep 18, 2008 at 1:13 pm

    R.J

    I MIGHT BE MISTAKING BUT THIS COULD BE THE FIRST WEEK THE 49ERS ARE THE FAV IN A COUPLE YEARS ? LOL

  • 3 - RJ Elliott

    Sep 18, 2008 at 10:48 pm

    UPDATES:

    - Vikings QB Tarvaris Jackson has been benched in favor of Gus Frerotte

    - Colts safety Bob Sanders is out for up to six weeks with an ankle injury, and may need knee surgery, as well

    UPDATED LINES:

    Dallas by 3 over Green Bay

    Philadelphia by 3 over Pittsburgh

  • 4 - RJ Elliott

    Sep 18, 2008 at 11:02 pm

    Thanks for posting your picks, EEL. And you could be right about SF!

  • 5 - EEL

    Sep 19, 2008 at 12:57 pm

    WOW,
    GUESS IM TAKING ALOT OF HOME TEAMS THIS WEEK ON MY POOLS !

  • 6 - smokytla

    Sep 19, 2008 at 7:11 pm

    I love your website (just found it this season). I want to thank you for hosting this blog and for having comments to your picks. I use your(and the other people who post)'s picks in helping me figure out who I pick for my pool choices. I'm a tomboy/firefighter but very feminine and I have the guys I have been playing against floored that I do so well. They have no idea how I make my picks. They are all dying to know how but it's my secret .. LOL ... I'm a HUGE football fan and have had a couple fantasy teams over the years and have been playing in football pools for the last 5 years. My first year in a pool I took second overall just from my own picks (no help) ... then I decided to get technical and do research to try and win more individual weeks and to take first place. For 4 years in a row now (in 2 different pools) I have won many individual weeks and have been the first place winner overall ... I have a spreadsheet of about 80 "expert" picks ... from all over ... and I keep track of all their win/loss records.

    All of this comes down to ... I'm wondering where adam and alessandro's picks are this week! I'm hoping they add their picks soon! They are 2 out of the 5 I still haven't been able to add to my spreadsheet this week .. I'm hoping they add their picks before Sunday!

    Thanks again for your picks!!!!!!!!!

  • 7 - alessandro

    Sep 19, 2008 at 8:53 pm

    I have a feeling Simpson has been sacked as often as Hagar pillaged Olga.

    I can't believe people buy her records. Are they tone deaf?

    ATL
    BUF
    CHI (If TB went with Garcia I'd pick them)
    CAR (I don't trust CAR; even with Min's latest problems. I wouldn't be surprised if Min wins)
    NE
    NYG
    HOU
    ARI
    SF
    SEA
    DEN
    PHI
    IND
    CLE
    GB (I don't think I'll pick Dal once this year)
    SD

  • 8 - RJ Elliott

    Sep 20, 2008 at 1:38 am

    Thank you for the kind words, smokytla. Hope you keep following us throughout the entire season.

    Thanks for submitting your picks, alessandro. I seem to be the only fool picking the Lions this week, lol.

  • 9 - alessandro

    Sep 20, 2008 at 12:39 pm

    I want to take NO over DEN. But...

  • 10 - DOM

    Sep 20, 2008 at 2:06 pm

    9-7.. week 1
    9-6 weel 2

    this week should be interesting.. rj i noticed you took alot of dogs to cover ats. rightfully so, most of these games can go either way..

    Chiefs.. Kansas City holds a 5-1 advantage in its regular season series vs. Atlanta. The only other NFC team that was in existence before the AFL-NFL merger that Kansas City has met fewer times is Philadelphia (5). last time they met in 04 56-10 KC. with that being said atlanta could very well be due.

    Buffalo
    Chicago.. flip a coin ehh...
    Carolina.. steve smith is back as well
    Patriots
    Giants
    Texans
    Redskins
    Broncos
    49ers.. oh now you guys take the niners :)
    Seahawks
    Ravens
    Colts
    Eagles
    Dallas

    (Golic takes rams over seattle) even im not that crazy.. maybe hes on to something though.. hmm

  • 11 - The Pool Boy

    Sep 20, 2008 at 4:20 pm

    Posting for the 1st time but so far...(leading my pool)
    week 1 10-6
    week 2 12-3

    ATL wins - Atlanta's at home KC lost to a bad Oakland team last week.
    BUF wins - Buffalo looks great so far and Oakland was lucky to get even 1 win this year.
    CAR wins - Tough to see the Vikes go 0-3 but AP may be limited and Steve Smith is back for Carolina.
    NE wins - I could be QB for the Pats and win against Miami.
    NYG wins - No problems
    TEN wins - Hard to say not seeing Houston play last week, Titans Defense looks great though.
    WAS - Arizona has beat up on some bad teams and they should come back to reality in this one.
    DEN - #1 passing offense vs. a bad passing Defense, high scoring close game like Monday was
    SF wins - Gore should be the difference once the 49ers get a lead
    SEA wins - Seahawks are at home and someone has to win, injury plagued but still beat the Rams.
    CLE wins - Browns are too good to go 0-3, Ravens will have trouble scoring, might be a tight one
    IND wins - Gut says Jags win this but Manning will win this one on his own like last week.
    PHI wins - Eagles looked unstoppable on offense vs. a good Dallas D, Steelers wont keep up.
    DAL - Packers aren't as good as their records says they are, Cowboys get to Rodgers.
    SD wins - Chargers could be 2-0 right now if they could finish, this one is over before the 4th.

  • 12 - RJ Elliott

    Sep 20, 2008 at 6:21 pm

    Interesting info on the Chiefs-Falcons matchup, DOM. Thanks for the picks. (I think you missed a game, though.)

  • 13 - RJ Elliott

    Sep 20, 2008 at 6:25 pm

    Thanks for the picks, The Pool Boy. Hope to see you for the remainder of the season. (I think you missed a game, too ... or maybe I just can't count today.)

  • 14 - DOM

    Sep 20, 2008 at 6:40 pm

    lol it just took me 10 minutes to find what game i was missing...

    Chargers

  • 15 - The Pool Boy

    Sep 20, 2008 at 7:54 pm

    looks like I forgot the Chicago and Tampa game thanks
    CHI wins - Looks like they are back to the old bears, winning with defense, Bucs D is strong too but Hester is the x factor. Low scoring to say the least.

  • 16 - smokytla

    Sep 20, 2008 at 8:40 pm

    I will definitely keep following you guys -- and have you added to my research spreadsheet. So far my record is: Week 1 - 11 wins, Week 2 - 10 wins.

    My picks this week are:
    Ten

    Car (Min's problems are too much/going with Gus Frerotte is sketchy & AP may not play .. and Smith is back so that makes it even better for Car)

    NE

    NYG

    Atl

    Buf (Oak will be lucky to win another one this season!Raiders is a bad word in our household ... LOL)

    Chi (I agree with Alessandro; if Garcia was starting, I'd be inclined to pick TB) ... I'm an SF fan but I like to see Garcia do well; he's from my home town and played for one of the 2 colleges I went to)

    AZ

    SF (Finally I feel good about picking my team!)

    Sea (Good thing they are playing a team that sucks so bad cuz it had to be heartbreaking to lose to the niners of all teams last week! Woohooo!)

    Den

    Bal (I keep going back and forth on this one because I feel that the Browns are overdue to do something ... it's an even split between the 78 people's picks I have included in my spreadsheet)

    Ind

    Pit (another tough one; I really want to pick Phi and that was my first instinct ... but I'm having a gut feeling to pick Pit. I think this will be really close; I'm hoping that Phi is still a little beat up and tired from Mon night). Distribution shows 56 picked Phi and 22 picked Pit .. but most of the higest scorers picked Pit.

    GB ... my first team (before we moved to California). After the niners, this is my second favorite team. Also, I think the penalties will continue to haunt Dallas; they should also still be a little beat up and tired from Mon night. After Oakland, this is my second most disliked team.

    San Diego ... the Brett Jets burned me last week; don't want to do that 2 weeks in a row.

  • 17 - Adam

    Sep 20, 2008 at 10:23 pm

    I'll be heading into week 3 20-11.

    1. Falcons will bounce back over the Cheifs.
    2. Bills will dominate the Raiders.
    3. The Bucs will upset the Bears at home.
    4. Titans will get the win over the Texans.
    5. Panthers will be the second team to beat the Vikings at home this year.
    6. New England will unsurprisingly win over the Fins
    7. The Gaints will win and espn will spend all week talking about which Manning is better.
    8. The Skins will show they are contenders once again with a win over the Cards.
    9. Broncos will beat the still slightly overrated Saints, but not so much over rated as last week.
    10. The 49ers will actually have a winning record with a victory over the Lions.
    11. My Seahawks will stop looking like garbage and beat up on the Rams.
    12. The Ravens will win one for the crowd at home.
    13. The Eagles will beat out the Steelers in a high point game.
    14. The Jags will finally get a win.
    15. The Pack will upset the Cowboys.
    16. The Jets will also upset the Chargers, if an 0-2 team can be upset that is.

  • 18 - RJ Elliott

    Sep 21, 2008 at 12:53 am

    Glad to see a lot of people are participating this week. Thanks smokytla and Adam.

  • 19 - RJ Elliott

    Sep 21, 2008 at 2:32 am

    NFL NEWS UPDATES:

    Vikings RB Adrian Peterson remains questionable for Sunday. He will be a game-time decision (but I suspect he'll play).

    Patriots RB Laurence Maroney is listed as questionable with a shoulder injury.

    Jaguars WR Jerry Porter, who has a hamstring injury, will likely not see action this week vs. Indy.

  • 20 - sshhhhhh

    Sep 21, 2008 at 9:02 am

    Here's the spreads I took. I'm 19-11 ATS the spread so far this year. I should start betting more =)

    Atlanta -5.5
    Arizona 3
    Tennessee -4.5
    Buffalo -9.5
    Chicago -3
    Carolina 3.5
    NY Giants -13.5
    New England -12.5
    Denver -5.5
    San Francisco -4
    St. Louis 9.5
    Cleveland 2
    Philadelphia -3.5
    Indianapolis -5.5
    Dallas -3
    NY Jets 9

  • 21 - Mark Saleski

    Sep 21, 2008 at 2:25 pm

    i've been thinking all week that the spread in the dolphins/pats game was waaaay too large.

    the first half is your proof.

    ne's defense has looked pretty "swiss cheesy" this year and it's not getting any better today.

  • 22 - RJ Elliott

    Sep 21, 2008 at 2:58 pm

    Is anyone else watching the Pats-Fins game? 0_o

    Ronnie Brown rushed for three scores in the first half, and now he's thrown for one.

  • 23 - RJ Elliott

    Sep 21, 2008 at 3:02 pm

    sshhhhhh - Thanks for the picks. (Looks like you're screwed in the NE-MIA game, though...join the club!)

    Mark Saleski - Yeah, Chad Pennington is looking like an All-Pro against the NE defense ... 16-for-19 for 217 yards...

  • 24 - Mark Saleski

    Sep 21, 2008 at 3:09 pm

    rj, i've been thinking that the defense has been suspect over the first two games and that they were lucky to win either one.

    quite a feat to make pennington look like an all-pro, eh? ;-)

  • 25 - RJ Elliott

    Sep 21, 2008 at 3:17 pm

    Well, Ronnie Brown just ran 62 yards for his fourth rushing TD of the game...wow...

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