I went 9-7 last week. For a comparison, check out the "experts" over at ESPN.
Here are my picks for the NFL's Week Three:
*** Sunday, September 23rd, 2007 ***
Detroit (2-0) at Philadelphia (0-2) - 1:00 PM (Sheridan's Line - Eagles by 6½)
It's rare that you see a winless team favored by nearly a touchdown over an undefeated team in Week Three. As long as QB Jon Kitna doesn't get knocked out of the game (he suffered a mild concussion last week against the Vikings), Detroit should be able to put 20+ points on the board. The Lions defense will have problems with RB Brian Westbrook, but he is Philadelphia's only offensive weapon. If Eagles QB Donovan McNabb continues to struggle, this one will be an upset.
RJ's Pick: Detroit by 3
Miami (0-2) at New York Jets (0-2) - 1:00 PM (Sheridan's Line - Jets by 3)
Both teams have struggled to put points on the board so far this season. Dolphins QB Trent Green threw four picks last week against Dallas. Jets QB Chad Pennington was injured and did not play in Week Two, but is probably going to start this week against Miami. This one should be close, but with the game being played at Giants Stadium and Pennington presumably healthy again, you gotta go with the Jets.
RJ's Pick: Jets by 4
Buffalo (0-2) at New England (2-0) - 1:00 PM (Sheridan's Line - Patriots by 16½)
New England is already running away with the AFC East. Meanwhile, the Bills are all banged up and are averaging a pathetic 8.5 points per game. There is no question that the Patriots should win this one easily.
RJ's Pick: Patriots by 24 (New England 38, Buffalo 14)
Arizona (1-1) at Baltimore (1-1) - 1:00 PM (Sheridan's Line - Baltimore by 7½)
Weird fact: Both teams have scored exactly 40 points and allowed exactly 40 points. For Baltimore, QB Steve McNair may return to the starting lineup this week. But if not, Kyle Boller is a more than capable backup. Arizona RB Edgerrin James is going to need a big game in order for the Cardinals to have a chance. I predict Baltimore's defense stops James and pressures QB Matt Leinart all game long.
RJ's Pick: Ravens by 9
Saint Louis (0-2) at Tampa Bay (1-1) - 1:00 PM (Sheridan's Line - Tampa Bay by 3½)
The conventional NFL wisdom is that the Rams have a great offense but a poor defense. But that's not entirely true. They do have a sub-par defense, but their offense isn't nearly as good as advertised. The offensive line has suffered numerous injuries, and consequently RB Steven Jackson is underperforming. As a result, the offense has become largely one-dimensional by relying too much on the passing attack. And while QB Marc Bulger and WRs Isaac Bruce and Torry Holt are certainly capable playmakers, they can't win games all by themselves. The Buccaneers offense isn't particularly good (WR Joey Galloway excepted), but the defense is pretty solid, so Tampa Bay should be able to handle the Rams at home.
Article comments
— go to most recent comments1 - RJ
Calling all pickers!
You have 48 hours to make your picks...
2 - The Theory
Detroit (2-0) at Philadelphia (0-2)... If Philadelphia loses this game they can start looking toward next year. I don't see the trends reversing for this game. Detroit will leave with a third victory... Philadelphia will blink the confusion from their eyes and ask if the season has started yet.
Miami (0-2) at New York Jets (0-2)... Miami is not good. NYJ have to be better than their current Oh-fer suggests. Throw in a little bit of home field advantage and a blown kiss for good luck and I'm fairly confident of a NYJ victory.
Buffalo (0-2) at New England (2-0)... Upset!...sike. New England.
Arizona (1-1) at Baltimore (1-1)... I don't care about this game at all. For the sake of the pick, Baltimore.
Saint Louis (0-2) at Tampa Bay (1-1)... I feel like I'm just echoing RJ. But great minds think alike, yada yada yada. Tampa Bay.
San Francisco (2-0) at Pittsburgh (2-0)... If this was in San Fransico, I'd consider this for an upset pick. But in Pittsbugh no chance.
Indianapolis (2-0) at Houston (2-0)... Here on the other hand... I'm going Texans all the way.
San Diego (1-1) at Green Bay (2-0)... Green Bay. Because the Eagles' loss to them will feel more palpable if Green Bay goes undefeated this year.
Minnesota (1-1) at Kansas City (0-2)... Kansas City gets their first win of the year in front on unenthusiastic hometown fans.
Cleveland (1-1) at Oakland (0-2)... C-c-c-c-leavelend.
Jacksonville (1-1) at Denver (2-0)... Gahd. I don't know. Jacksonville.
Cincinnati (1-1) at Seattle (1-1)... Seattle. Just because I like Cincy to lose.
New York Giants (0-2) at Washington (2-0)... Washington by a landslide.
Carolina (1-1) at Atlanta (0-2)... Carolina.
Dallas (2-0) at Chicago (1-1)... Chicago. I think Dallas is going to be stifled and won't respond offensively at all.
Tennessee (1-1) at New Orleans (0-2)... This game is in New Orleans. Tennessee is going to have a rough time of it and, as a result, not win.
3 - REMF
The Steelers and Bears
- A volunteer fireman
4 - DOM @ HSU
Tough week with some tough match ups.. Last week 50% underdogs won outright against spread.. so figure this week is going to be tough.. will the favorites get their act together? or will this week be another shoot out?
week 3:
PHILLY: odds of Detroit starting season off 3-0 much greater than philly starting 0-3. i dunno tough game.
JETS: cant see the jets losing.. it is football though
PATS: bet it all?
"I would literally consider betting my life savings on this one, if I actually had a life savings to bet." - RJ
Reminds me of week 9 2006 MIAMI VS CHICAGO.. and.. well we all know what happened.. :) :) :)
BALTIMORE: arizona surprised last week but no way they can do it again..
ST.LOUIS: tough game rams lost first two at home, i say they take this one on the road.
PITTSBURGH: this is A TRUE TEST FOR THE 9ERS.. If they can keep this one close, its going to be a good year!!. if they get blown out.. not expecting to much for the season.
INDY: interesting game thats all i have to say about it..
SD: GB doesn't have to win this game to go to the post season... if they do i will be mildly tickled.
KC: i would imagine improvements can be made.. especially at home.. and against a mediocre vikings team.
CLEVELAND: blehh... this is a game oakland can win on their schedule.. BUT home field advantage means nothing at the coliseum. expect a tight game..
DENVER: would be a good win for JAX... unlikely
CINCINATTI: better team, better ingredients, better beer.. or pizza
WASHINGTON: skins playing well.. NYG.. struggling
CAROLINA: although i wouldnt bet the house..
CHICAGO: turnovers, low scoring.. naturally
NEW ORLEANS: cmon now losing three in a row?.. the third being at home?? unlikely
5 - Melissa
OK, well last week proved that I would have done MUCH better if I didnt let myself be persuaded with silly talk from other friends!!! So this weeks picks..... are purely my own! and I'm horrible with points... so i'm just calling who :-) Enjoy!
DETROIT yup yup over Philly
MIAMI can't go against family....
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS, only the upmost respect for my favorite and Home team!!
RAVENS - yeah...
ST. LOUIS - like previously said..... Can't go against family.
PITTSBURGH - yeah thats all i'm gonna say.
HOUSTON - hey, i got a feeling about this one. (not that i'm right!)
GREENBAY - I changed last week from with them to against them... and :-( sadly it was a HUGE mistake .. haha... this was one of those persuasion talks i had with a friend... stupid of me.
KANSAS CITY - I dont know why.
CLEVELAND
CINCINNATI
DENVER
CAROLINA
WASHINGTON
DALLAS
TENNESSEE
OK there you have it. I didnt have anything to say about the rest.... Oh well.
6 - alessandro
Eagles, Jets, Pats, Cardinals, Bucs, Steelers, Colts (though I would not be surprised the Texans win), Chargers, Chiefs, Browns, Broncos, Bengals, Redskins, Panthers, Bears, Saints.
7 - RJ
Final Scores:
Green Bay 31, SD 24 - RJ 1-0 (Key stats: Brett Favre throws for 369 yards, 3 TDs, and 0 INTs...)
Ravens 26 - Arizona 23 - RJ 2-0 (Key stats: Matt Stover went 4-for-4 in field goal attempts, including the game-winner as time expired...)
8 - RJ
Final Scores:
Eagles 56(!), Lions 21 - RJ 2-1 (Key stats: Kevin Curtis caught 11 passes for 221 yards and 3 TDs...Donovan McNabb completed 21 of 26 passing attempts for 381 yards, 4 TDs, and 0 INTs...)
Jets 31, Miami 28 - RJ 3-1 (Key stats: Thomas Jones ran for 110 yards on 25 carries...Chad Pennington threw for 2 TDs with no INTs, and ran for a TD as well...)
9 - RJ
Final Scores:
Steelers 37, 49ers 16 - RJ 4-1 (Key stats: Willie Parker rushed fort 133 yards on 24 carries...Ben Roethlisberger was 13-for-20 for 160 yards, and with 1 TD and 0 INTs...)
TB 24, Rams 3 - RJ 5-1 (Key stat: Marc Bulger throws 3 INTs, while yet another Rams offensive lineman goes down to injury...)
10 - RJ
Final Scores:
Pats 38, Bills 7 - RJ 6-1 (Key stats: Tom Brady threw 4 TD passes with no INTs, going 23-of-29 for 311 yards...the Patriots scored exactly 38 points for the third consecutive week...)
KC 13, Vikings 10 - RJ 6-2 (Key stats: Damon Huard goes 20-of-29 for 206 yards, 1 TD, and 0 INTs...)
Colts 30, Texans 24 - RJ 7-2 (Key stats: Peyton Manning completes 20 of 29 passes for 273 yards, 1 TD, and 0 INTs...Joseph Addai rushes for 2 TDs and 72 yards on 22 carries...)
11 - RJ
ESPN's "experts" through 9 games:
Theismann 5-4
Salisbury5-4
Hoge 5-4
Jaworski 8-1
Schlereth 7-2
Allen 8-1
Mortensen 8-1
Golic 7-2
Accuscore 8-1
12 - RJ
Final Scores:
Jacksonville 23, Denver 14 - RJ 7-3 (Key stat: Jaguars defense holds Denver to a total of 47 yards rushing...)
Raiders 26, Browns 24 - RJ 7-4 (Key stat: LaMont Jordan rushed for 121 yards on 29 carries with a TD...)
Seattle 24, Bengals 21 - RJ 7-5 (Key stat: Bengals commit 4 turnovers and blow late lead...)
13 - RJ
Final Score:
Carolina 27, Falcons 20 - RJ 8-5 (Key stat: Joey Harrington goes 31 for 44 passing, with 361 yards, 2 TDs, and 0 INTs, and it's still not enough for the hapless Falcons...)
14 - RJ
Final Score:
Giants 24, Redskins 17 - RJ 8-6 (Key stat: Jason Campbell completes only 16 of 34 passes for 190 yards, and makes several poor decisions in the final ninety seconds to seal the Redskins fate...)
15 - DOM @ HSU
the experts are cheating again.. not to mention any names.. cough cough ALIEN cough cough..
16 - RJ
DOM:
Really? Did he change one of his picks just before a game ended?
17 - DOM @ HSU
ya he changed his WASH pick to NYG.. what an alien.. lol..he thought no body would notice?
18 - DOM @ HSU
most of them change right before the games cuz i always look in the morning and then by the afternoon everything is all scrambled around differently. lol
19 - DOM @ HSU
i mean i cant even imagine the pressure they have built on them.. u know..of being an "expert" and all... :)
20 - alessandro
How do the Bears look at themselves in the morning with that offense?
21 - DOM @ HSU
they don't have mirrors in the wilderness..
22 - Andy Marsh
See...that's why I don't pick these games. I'm way to sentimental for my team...even though that would have given me a win that none of you seemed to have. I wouldn't even go down to the local watering hole to watch my giants play yesterday...way to many skins fans around here!!! And then there are those teams I hate...the ones I just can't make myself pick...and they all win too.
But it's fun to watch you folks attempt it!
23 - RJ
Final Score:
Cowboys 34, Bears 10 - RJ 9-6 (Key stat: Rex Grossman threw 3 INTs and 0 TDs on 15-for-32 passing...)
24 - RJ
ESPN's NFL "experts" -
Theismann 9-6
Salisbury 7-8
Hoge 7-8
Jaworski 9-6
Schlereth 11-4
Allen 11-4
Mortensen 9-6
Golic 10-5
Accuscore 11-4
25 - DOM @ HSU
DOM: 8-8