I went 9-5 last week. That puts me at 84-46 for the season. For a comparison, check out the "experts" over at ESPN.
Here are my picks for the NFL's Week Ten:
Sunday, November 11, 2007
Atlanta (2-6) at Carolina (4-4) - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line - Carolina by 4½)
Atlanta beat the 49ers last week. They are winless on the road so far this season, and are also 0-2 against division opponents. They are ranked 30th in the league in points per game. RB Jerious Norwood may sit this week with an injured ankle. Carolina lost at Tennessee last week. They had just 191 yards of total offense in that game. QB David Carr, who was sacked seven times, suffered a concussion with three minutes left in the 4th quarter and was replaced by undrafted rookie Matt Moore. WR Steve Smith was also injured, although he is expected to start this week against Atlanta. Carolina is winless at home this season. If Moore starts under center this week, Atlanta has a good chance of pulling off an upset here. Heck, even if a dazed Carr or a gimpy Vinny Testaverde play, the Falcons have a decent shot in this one.
RJ's Pick: FALCONS BY 1
Buffalo (4-4) at Miami (0-8) - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line - Buffalo by 3)
Buffalo beat the Bengals last week. And as I predicted, they had an explosion of offense, scoring a season-high 33 points and amassing 479 yards of total offense. They've now won three in a row. J. P. Losman is expected to start at QB again this week against Miami. The Dolphins mercifully had a bye last week. They are ranked 31st in the league in rushing yards allowed per game, so expect Bills rookie RB Marshawn Lynch to have another big game this week.
RJ's Pick: BILLS BY 7
Cleveland (5-3) at Pittsburgh (6-2) - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line - Pittsburgh by 9)
Cleveland beat Seattle last week, in overtime. QB Derek Anderson threw for 364 yards and RB Jamal Lewis rushed for 4 TDs. Color me impressed. They've won three games in a row now, but are just 1-2 on the road this season. The Steelers dismantled the Ravens last week on MNF. The defense held the Ravens to just 104 total yards, while QB Ben Roethlisberger threw 5 TD passes. They have given up the fewest points in the NFL, just 98 through eight games, or a little more than 12 points per game. Meanwhile, they are ranked second in rushing yards gained per game and fifth in points scored per game. They are also one of just four teams that are undefeated at home. In Week 14, they face the Patriots in New England. Can you say Super Bowl 41.75? Anyway, this week will pit the Browns awesome offense versus the Steelers dominating defense. It should be an epic battle.
RJ's Pick: STEELERS BY 6
Denver (3-5) at Kansas City (4-4) - 1:00 pm (Sheridan's line - No line)
Denver was crushed by Detroit last week, 44-7. QB Jay Cutler injured his leg in that game, and may not be able to start this week. The Broncos are ranked 28th in points scored per game, and 29th in points allowed. Kansas City got beat by Green Bay last week. Although they are just .500 midway through the season, they remain in first place in the surprisingly-weak AFC West. RB Larry Johnson could be out for a couple games (or more) with a sprained ankle he suffered against the Packers. And Johnson's backup, Priest Holmes, ain't what he used to be. That is definitely not good news for a team that is already ranked 30th in total yards per game and 29th in points scored per game. Sheridan isn't giving a line for this game (at least not yet), and that's certainly understandable. This one could go either way, obviously. But the Broncos are in free-fall, while the Chiefs are still a semi-credible playoff team. So, go with Kansas City.
Article comments
— go to most recent comments1 - RJ
SHERIDAN'S UPDATED LINES:
Arizona by 1 over Detroit
Pittsburgh by 9½ over Cleveland
Kansas City by 3½ over Denver
Tennessee by 4 over Jacksonville
Green Bay by 6 over Minnesota
Baltimore by 4½ over Cincinnati
2 - RJ
Because the updated line for the Tennessee-Jacksonville game is the same as my original pick, I will amend my pick for that game to:
TITANS BY 2
Same winner, just a different margin of victory (IOW, I believe they'll win but won't cover the 4-point spread).
3 - sierra
Terry Shiavo... that was so wrong. Funny as heck, but wrong nonetheless.
4 - DOM @ HSU
CAROLINA
MIAMI
PITTSBURGH
DENVER
TENNESSEE
GB
WASHINGTON
NO.. not by 28 though..
BALTIMORE
CHICAGO
DALLAS
DETROIT
INDIANAPOLIS
SEATTLE...
82-48 overall...
TB had the NFC south locked but injuries have greatly diminished there chances.. still.. it should be very close come the end of the season between TB and NO
5 - DOM @ HSU
I'm also going to include something new this week.. :) my top 3 picks... In order..
DALLAS
INDY
PITTSBURGH
6 - RJ
Good point about TB's injuries, DOM.
Whatever happened to The Theory?
7 - DOM @ HSU
lol.. ya i wonder what happened to that guy..
8 - Chris McVetta
Here's MY Yoda voice on the Steelers: "When 800 yards you give up, look as good, you not! Hmmm?"
But what does Yoda know? After all, he eats "snake soup" out of a crock pot and built his retirement home on freaking swamp land...
Oh well. Like Polly Purebred, I'm all about The Underdog!
9 - alessandro
I'll get my picks in before midnight. My dog ate my picks.
10 - alessandro
Atlanta (Upset pick. Carolina keeps burning me and will probably continue to do so), Buffalo (I want to take Miami sooo badly), Pittsburgh (I would feel more comfortable taking Cleveland at home), Kansas City, Tennessee, Green Bay, Philadelphia (Upset pick. They owe me one), New Orleans, Baltimore, Chicago, Dallas, Detroit (Arizona can surprise here), Indianapolis (San Diego will push), Seattle.
11 - RJ
None of the games are over yet, but this week is looking pretty brutal so far... :-/
12 - RJ
Final Scores:
Falcons 20, Carolina 13 - RJ 1-0
Packers 34, Vikings 0(!) - RJ 2-0
Denver 27, KC 11 - RJ 2-1
Bills 13, Miami 10 - RJ 3-1
13 - RJ
Final Scores:
Rams 37(!), NO 29 - RJ 3-2 [I almost deserve two losses on this one...]
Steelers 31, Browns 28 - RJ 4-2
14 - RJ
Final Scores:
Jaguars 28, Titans 13 - RJ 4-3
Philadelphia 33, Redskins 25 - RJ 4-4 [I warned ya'll that I'm nearly always wrong about the Eagles...]
15 - RJ
I guess I shouldn't feel too bad though:
Wickersham 3-5
Salisbury 3-5
Hoge 3-5
Jaworski 4-4
Schlereth 4-4
Allen 3-5
Mortensen 3-5
Golic 3-5
Accuscore 2-6
16 - Chris McVetta
Steelers - 31, Browns - 28
How the hell does Dennis Kucinich get out of bed every day...???
17 - RJ
The nightmare continues...
Final Scores:
Arizona 31, Detroit 21 - RJ 4-5
Bengals 21, Baltimore 7 - RJ 4-6
Dallas 31, Giants 20 - RJ 5-6
Bears 17, Oakland 6 - RJ 6-6
18 - RJ
Still, only Jaws is doing better than me:
Wickersham 4-8
Salisbury 5-7
Hoge 5-7
Jaworski 7-5
Schlereth 6-6
Allen 5-7
Mortensen 6-6
Golic 6-6
Accuscore 5-7
19 - RJ
Okay...Manning just threw pick number four...and there are thirteen and a half minutes left in the 2nd quarter...wtf?
20 - REMF
RJ, I'm curious; did you ever play football?
21 - DOM @ HSU
ya damn.. first week I'm going to be at or under 50%
at least my number one pick of the week won.. dallas
and...maybe now you are a believer in Cleveland???
22 - RJ
Final Score:
Chargers 23, Colts 21 - RJ 6-7
23 - RJ
Final Score:
Seattle 24, 49ers 0 - RJ 7-7
24 - RJ
ESPN's NFL "experts" -
Wickersham 6-8
Salisbury 7-7
Hoge 6-8
Jaworski 7-6
Schlereth 7-7
Allen 6-8
Mortensen 7-7
Golic 7-7
Accuscore 6-8
25 - RJ
Through ten weeks:
Jaworski 92-43
Schlereth 93-51
RJ Elliott 91-53
Hoge 90-54
Mortensen 87-57
Salisbury 87-57
Accuscore 87-57
Wickersham 84-59
Golic 81-62
Allen 78-66