RJ's NFL Picks, Week One - Page 6

Part of: NFL Picks

The San Diego Chargers had the best record in the NFL last season, the highest-scoring offense, a well-above-average defense, and went undefeated at home. Naturally, they didn't win a single playoff game. The Chargers organization responded by firing head coach Marty Schottenheimer (who hadn't won a playoff game since 1993) and replacing him with Norv Turner (who doesn't have much of a track record of playoff disappointment because his teams almost never get that far). Their offense is still potent (RB LaDainian Tomlinson, QB Philip Rivers, rookie WR Buster Davis) as is their defense (Shawne Merriman and Shaun Phillips at LB, Quentin Jammer at CB, Luis Castillo at DE). Still, I predict a drop-off from last year, although they should make the playoffs again.

PICK: A good AFC team at home should be able to handle the Bears. SAN DIEGO BY 4.

Tampa Bay (4-12) at Seattle (9-7) - 4:15 PM

The Buccaneers scored the fewest points of any NFC team in 2006, and their defense was sub-par. Things will be better this season. First off, Jeff Garcia will be the starting QB this year, not Chris Simms or Bruce Gradkowski. Joey Galloway should continue to contribute if he stays healthy (he's getting kind of old for a WR). The running game is still poor, but it can't be any worse than last season. The defensive unit isn't great, but at least they are healthy. Also working in Tampa Bay's favor is the fact that they play in a weak division. A .500 season isn't out of the question.

The Seattle Seahawks were the only team last year to win their division without winning double-digit games. They gave up more points than they scored, went 2-4 down the stretch, and lost to the Chicago Bears in the Divisional Round of the playoffs. The offense has some weapons (a healthy Shaun Alexander at RB and Deion Branch at WR), but they're not exactly an offensive juggernaut with Matt Hasselbeck as their starting QB. The defense is pretty good (Julian Peterson and Lofa Tatupu at LB, Darryl Tapp at DE), but not great. This team will struggle to return to the playoffs, unless they win the NFC West essentially by default for the second year in a row.

PICK: This is a tough call. I'll have to side with the home team. SEATTLE BY 2.

Detroit (3-13) at Oakland (2-14) - 4:15 PM

The Lions finished last in the NFC North last season because...well, because they are the Lions, a team that exemplifies epic failure year-in and year-out. Their defense gave up the third-most points in the NFL last year, and they were well within striking distance of "winning" that category. I believe the Lions have improved a bit in 2007, but probably not enough to be a serious playoff contender. QB John Kitna has many targets to choose from; Mike Furrey, Roy Williams, and rookie Calvin Johnson comprise perhaps the best three-receiver set in the league. The running game is still anemic, but it should be better than last year (as long as Tatum Bell remains healthy). The defensive line is decent, but the rest of the defensive unit is atrocious.

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Article Author: RJ Elliott

RJ is a graduate student at the University of Central Florida. His passions in life are sports, politics, nature, and women who have piercings they never told their daddy about. He dislikes daytime television, left-wing dictators, and people who talk like Garrison Keillor. …

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  • 1 - DOM @ HSU

    Sep 05, 2007 at 9:22 pm

    Hey man whats up good to see ur doing this again, sry I died off after the regular season last year, but i'll be with you the whole season this year. Im going to school at Humboldt State University in Northern California.

    anyways been busy with school so don't know too much about the teams yet but its the first week I mean can anyone really predict with any type of precision?

    INDY - would be very surprising if NO could pull off the w. should be a good game none the less. right?

    HOUSTON - Tough call but I really think HOU has there s*** together more than KC

    DENVER - I like BUF but Denver owns them.

    PITTSBURGH - This is a tough call for me, it all depends on how a few key players will show up. CLEV should come out firing. but will it be enough?

    JACKSONVILLE - Tell me how TEN will pull this one off?

    ST. LOUIS - is CAR any good this year? and STL looks like they have a decent team? (as much as i dislike them) still stats showing coin flip game.

    PHILADELPHIA - at first i had GB.. but then i remebered how they stunk it up last year at home the first few. plus Farve is now taking Viagra.

    MINNESOTA - you tell me who will win i have no idea..

    WASHINGTON - Both teams have lots of "ifs". flip a coin

    TAMPA BAY - here's my big upset.. i really like TB this year from what i have read. and i dislike SEA.. if TB does win.. it will be in the last few minutes.

    SAN DIEGO - be very surprised if CHI pulls a W here.

    DETROIT - Being from Stockton CA (almost a sister city to Oakland about 1.5 hours east) i have a right to hate the Raiders due to the ignorant fans concentrated in Stockton. I think they have a great chance to win here, but i don't want to root for them.

    DALLAS - another upset if NY could pull of a W.

    CINCINNATI - these two teams always play each other hard.. I take CIN cuz home.

    SF - Born and raised fan.. Dad is a die hard.. grew up in SF... greatest thing in the world would be for SF to take the NFC WEST.

  • 2 - REMF

    Sep 05, 2007 at 9:30 pm

    Steelers and Bears.
    - Max Cleland

  • 3 - RJ

    Sep 05, 2007 at 9:47 pm

    You missed a game, DOM.

    What about NE vs. the Jets?

  • 4 - RJ

    Sep 05, 2007 at 9:51 pm

    Thanks for the picks, Max! How's the PTSD going?

  • 5 - alessandro nicolo

    Sep 05, 2007 at 10:43 pm

    Ok, I'll bite. I say the Browns will take the Steelers and the Raiders defense will do bobo to the She-Lions.

  • 6 - alessandro nicolo

    Sep 05, 2007 at 10:44 pm

    I will also argue that the Eagles will challenge the Bears in the NFC.

  • 7 - DOM @ HSU

    Sep 06, 2007 at 1:26 pm

    NE - although the jets usually play the pats a tough dnt they? on a side note i say jets cover the 6 1/2..

  • 8 - alessandro nicolo

    Sep 06, 2007 at 4:28 pm

    um, how does google figure a cfl ad on this post? not that i'm complaining. we have bigger balls...

  • 9 - Matthew T. Sussman

    Sep 06, 2007 at 4:40 pm

    I'm tellin' you what I told everyone else:

    Colts d. Saints
    Steelers d. Browns
    Redskins d. Dolphins
    Eagles d. Packers
    Broncos d. Bills
    Texans d. Chiefs
    Jaguars d. Titans
    Patriots d. Jets
    Rams d. Panthers
    Vikings d. Falcons
    Chargers d. Bears
    Seahawks d. Buccaneers
    Lions d. Raiders
    Cowboys d. Giants
    Bengals d. Ravens
    49ers d. Cardinals

  • 10 - RJ

    Sep 06, 2007 at 11:50 pm

    Final Score:

    Indy 41(!) - NO 10

    RJ - 1-0
    Suss - 1-0
    DOM - 1-0
    Cleland - 1 arm - 0 legs

  • 11 - Alessandro

    Sep 07, 2007 at 11:15 pm

    I want to add a couple. In addition to the Browns and Raiders. I will take the Eagles and Falcons.

  • 12 - The Theory

    Sep 08, 2007 at 8:20 pm

    Looks like I missed out on the Thursday game (what kind of sport kicks the season off on a THURSDAY for cryin' out loud??) but I'm here for everything else! Anyway, I don't know anything yet. I don't pay attention to football in the offseason, so I don't know who has who anymore. But I'll give it a try,..

    Philadelphia (10-6) at Green Bay (8-8).. Philadelphia. If we lose this game, there will be no season.

    Kansas City (9-7) at Houston (6-10) I love Houston. I want them to do well. But I have to be realistic. KC is going to destroy them.

    Denver (9-7) at Buffalo (7-9)... I haven't the foggiest idea. I'll eenie-meenie-miney-moe for it... resulting in a nod toward Denver.

    Pittsburgh (8-8) at Cleveland (4-12)... I think Pittsburgh's new coach is going to get really good results. Cleveland always plays Pittsburgh close but I can't see anyone but Pitts winning this.

    Carolina (8-8) at St. Louis (8-8)... Coin-flip in favor of Carolina.

    Atlanta (7-9) at Minnesota (6-10)... Minnesota was a disaster last year. Atlanta has had a hellish off season. But I think Minnesota, a year further removed from their troubles than Atlanta will be in a better state to take this game.

    New England (12-4) at New York Jets (10-6)... I see the NY Jets winning this one, ending once and for all the "Will the Patriots go undefeated this season?" talks.

    Miami (6-10) at Washington (5-11)... I really, really, really want Washington to lose. I don't think they will, though.

    Tennessee (8-8) at Jacksonville (8-8)... I'm not voting against Vince Young. Tennessee.

    Chicago (13-3) at San Diego (14-2)... This right here is a stellar matchup. I really want Chicago to get the year started off with a win... but they won't.

    Tampa Bay (4-12) at Seattle (9-7)... Always go with Garcia. Tampa Bay.

    Detroit (3-13) at Oakland (2-14)... Neither. Seriously. Actually, I'll go with Detroit. For the only time this year....

    New York Giants (8-8) at Dallas (9-7)... They're both gonna suck this year. But it'll be an uphill battle for NYG in Dallas. Cowboys.

    Baltimore (13-3) at Cincinnati (8-8)... Baltimore.

    Arizona (5-11) at San Francisco (7-9)... I think San Fransico will be a lot better this year. They'll take the win here.

  • 13 - RJ

    Sep 08, 2007 at 9:10 pm

    Welcome back, Theory!

  • 14 - RJ

    Sep 08, 2007 at 9:12 pm

    Why dontcha just pick the rest, Alessandro? ;-)

  • 15 - RJ

    Sep 09, 2007 at 8:51 pm

    Final Score: Pats 38, Jets 14 - RJ 2-0

    Broncos 15, Bills 14 - RJ 3-0

    Titans 13, Jags 10 - RJ 3-1

    Packers 16, Eagles 13 - RJ 3-2

    Texans 20, Chiefs 3 - RJ 3-3

    Carolina 27, Rams 13 - RJ 3-4

    Redskins 16, Miami 13 (in OT) - RJ 3-5(!)

    Vikings 24, Falcons 3 - RJ 4-5

    Steelers 34, Browns 7 - RJ 5-5

    Lions 36, Raiders 21(!) - RJ 6-5

    Seattle 20, TB 6 - RJ 7-5

    SD 14, Bears 3 - RJ 8-5

  • 16 - RJ

    Sep 09, 2007 at 8:54 pm

    NFL "Experts" -

    Theismann 10-3
    Salisbury 9-4
    Hoge 9-4
    Jaworski 10-3
    Schlereth 8-5
    Allen 4-9
    Mortensen 7-6
    Golic 8-5
    Accuscore 7-6

  • 17 - RJ

    Sep 09, 2007 at 11:41 pm

    Final Score:

    Dallas 45, Giants 35 - RJ 9-5

  • 18 - DOM @ HSU

    Sep 10, 2007 at 12:03 am

    DOM 10-4.... KC Jags and Browns.. wow

  • 19 - Matthew T. Sussman

    Sep 10, 2007 at 12:12 am

    13-3. Respect me.

  • 20 - Matthew T. Sussman

    Sep 10, 2007 at 12:12 am

    Er, 11-3.

    I should lose a win for that.

  • 21 - The Theory

    Sep 10, 2007 at 12:42 am

    9-4 at the moment... Could definitely be worse.

  • 22 - Alessandro

    Sep 10, 2007 at 4:25 pm

    RJ,

    0-4

    Now you know why. I don't deserve to buy fruit of the loom.

  • 23 - Alessandro

    Sep 10, 2007 at 5:41 pm

    ...but since I am such a sadist...

    Cinci over Balti: In the immortal words of Diane Chambers: A Bengal versus a Raven? That's not a fair fight.

    'Niners over the Diamond, er, Cardinals.

  • 24 - RJ

    Sep 10, 2007 at 10:16 pm

    "If (more like, "when") Steve McNair struggles at QB and/or suffers an injury, expect Kyle Boller to do a fine job as his replacement."

    Boy, did I ever call that one...

  • 25 - RJ

    Sep 10, 2007 at 10:35 pm

    Final Score:

    Bengals 27, Ravens 20 - RJ 10-5

    Boller has a TD pass taken away from him by a bad call in the final minutes. Then Todd Heap misplays another would-be Boller TD pass, which turns into an INT and essentially ends the game.

    Whatever. I still picked the winner. :-/

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