RJ's NFL Picks, Week One - Page 3

Part of: NFL Picks

The Steelers had a disappointing 2006 season, missing the playoffs after having won the Super Bowl the year before, and having gone 15-1 the year before that. Mike Tomlin is taking over head coaching duties from the legendary Bill Cowher, who resigned in January. The offense remains formidable (QB Ben Roethlisberger, WR Hines Ward, and RB Willie Parker). And it is difficult to imagine a Steelers team that doesn't have a decent defensive unit. Whether this team succeeds or fails will depend largely on the ability of the new coaching staff.

The Cleveland Browns were bad last year. The only AFC team with a worse record was the Oakland Raiders, and the Raiders were in a league of their own, awful-wise. The Browns scored the third-fewest points of any team in the NFL, while giving up the fourth-most in the AFC. Again, they were bad. But the important question is: Are they going to be any better this year? And the short answer is: No. Charlie Frye is still their starting QB (although I suspect rookie Brady Quinn will take over that job sometime around mid-season). They used their other first round draft pick (third overall) on OL Joe Thomas, which I find questionable. They'd be lucky to go 7-9 and not finish in last place in the AFC North.

PICK: I think this game will be surprisingly close because of the intense division rivalry. STEELERS BY 2.

Carolina (8-8) at St. Louis (8-8) - 1:00 PM

The Carolina Panthers narrowly missed the playoffs last year, even though they were only a .500 team (but such is the NFC). Despite having a superb offensive weapon in Steve Smith at WR, the offense was anemic, scoring the second-fewest points in the NFC. The running game, led by RB DeShaun Foster, leaves much to be desired, and QB Jake Delhomme does not particularly impress. Expect David Carr to take over signal-calling duties before mid-season if the Panthers are struggling.

The Rams also went 8-8 last season, winning their final three games to achieve some measure of respectability. The defense was ba-a-a-ad last year, and probably has not improved much. The offense, however, remains potent (Marc Bulger at QB, Torry Holt and the ageless "Isaac the Bruce" at WR, Steven Jackson at RB).

PICK: Defense wins championships, but offense wins games. RAMS BY 5.

Atlanta (7-9) at Minnesota (6-10) - 1:00 PM

The Falcons missed the playoffs last year by losing their final three games. And now they've lost noted animal-lover and PETA spokesman Michael Vick for 12 to 60 months due to a self-inflicted injury. Vick will be replaced at QB by the lovable Joey Harrington, who won't throw for many touchdowns, but he won't be flipping off the home crowd/spreading herpes/killing dogs with his bare hands, either. The Falcons are going to need their defense to overachieve and RB Warrick Dunn to rush for 1,500+ yards just to avoid losing double-digit games this season.

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Article Author: RJ Elliott

RJ is a graduate student at the University of Central Florida. His passions in life are sports, politics, nature, and women who have piercings they never told their daddy about. He dislikes daytime television, left-wing dictators, and people who talk like Garrison Keillor. …

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  • 1 - DOM @ HSU

    Sep 05, 2007 at 9:22 pm

    Hey man whats up good to see ur doing this again, sry I died off after the regular season last year, but i'll be with you the whole season this year. Im going to school at Humboldt State University in Northern California.

    anyways been busy with school so don't know too much about the teams yet but its the first week I mean can anyone really predict with any type of precision?

    INDY - would be very surprising if NO could pull off the w. should be a good game none the less. right?

    HOUSTON - Tough call but I really think HOU has there s*** together more than KC

    DENVER - I like BUF but Denver owns them.

    PITTSBURGH - This is a tough call for me, it all depends on how a few key players will show up. CLEV should come out firing. but will it be enough?

    JACKSONVILLE - Tell me how TEN will pull this one off?

    ST. LOUIS - is CAR any good this year? and STL looks like they have a decent team? (as much as i dislike them) still stats showing coin flip game.

    PHILADELPHIA - at first i had GB.. but then i remebered how they stunk it up last year at home the first few. plus Farve is now taking Viagra.

    MINNESOTA - you tell me who will win i have no idea..

    WASHINGTON - Both teams have lots of "ifs". flip a coin

    TAMPA BAY - here's my big upset.. i really like TB this year from what i have read. and i dislike SEA.. if TB does win.. it will be in the last few minutes.

    SAN DIEGO - be very surprised if CHI pulls a W here.

    DETROIT - Being from Stockton CA (almost a sister city to Oakland about 1.5 hours east) i have a right to hate the Raiders due to the ignorant fans concentrated in Stockton. I think they have a great chance to win here, but i don't want to root for them.

    DALLAS - another upset if NY could pull of a W.

    CINCINNATI - these two teams always play each other hard.. I take CIN cuz home.

    SF - Born and raised fan.. Dad is a die hard.. grew up in SF... greatest thing in the world would be for SF to take the NFC WEST.

  • 2 - REMF

    Sep 05, 2007 at 9:30 pm

    Steelers and Bears.
    - Max Cleland

  • 3 - RJ

    Sep 05, 2007 at 9:47 pm

    You missed a game, DOM.

    What about NE vs. the Jets?

  • 4 - RJ

    Sep 05, 2007 at 9:51 pm

    Thanks for the picks, Max! How's the PTSD going?

  • 5 - alessandro nicolo

    Sep 05, 2007 at 10:43 pm

    Ok, I'll bite. I say the Browns will take the Steelers and the Raiders defense will do bobo to the She-Lions.

  • 6 - alessandro nicolo

    Sep 05, 2007 at 10:44 pm

    I will also argue that the Eagles will challenge the Bears in the NFC.

  • 7 - DOM @ HSU

    Sep 06, 2007 at 1:26 pm

    NE - although the jets usually play the pats a tough dnt they? on a side note i say jets cover the 6 1/2..

  • 8 - alessandro nicolo

    Sep 06, 2007 at 4:28 pm

    um, how does google figure a cfl ad on this post? not that i'm complaining. we have bigger balls...

  • 9 - Matthew T. Sussman

    Sep 06, 2007 at 4:40 pm

    I'm tellin' you what I told everyone else:

    Colts d. Saints
    Steelers d. Browns
    Redskins d. Dolphins
    Eagles d. Packers
    Broncos d. Bills
    Texans d. Chiefs
    Jaguars d. Titans
    Patriots d. Jets
    Rams d. Panthers
    Vikings d. Falcons
    Chargers d. Bears
    Seahawks d. Buccaneers
    Lions d. Raiders
    Cowboys d. Giants
    Bengals d. Ravens
    49ers d. Cardinals

  • 10 - RJ

    Sep 06, 2007 at 11:50 pm

    Final Score:

    Indy 41(!) - NO 10

    RJ - 1-0
    Suss - 1-0
    DOM - 1-0
    Cleland - 1 arm - 0 legs

  • 11 - Alessandro

    Sep 07, 2007 at 11:15 pm

    I want to add a couple. In addition to the Browns and Raiders. I will take the Eagles and Falcons.

  • 12 - The Theory

    Sep 08, 2007 at 8:20 pm

    Looks like I missed out on the Thursday game (what kind of sport kicks the season off on a THURSDAY for cryin' out loud??) but I'm here for everything else! Anyway, I don't know anything yet. I don't pay attention to football in the offseason, so I don't know who has who anymore. But I'll give it a try,..

    Philadelphia (10-6) at Green Bay (8-8).. Philadelphia. If we lose this game, there will be no season.

    Kansas City (9-7) at Houston (6-10) I love Houston. I want them to do well. But I have to be realistic. KC is going to destroy them.

    Denver (9-7) at Buffalo (7-9)... I haven't the foggiest idea. I'll eenie-meenie-miney-moe for it... resulting in a nod toward Denver.

    Pittsburgh (8-8) at Cleveland (4-12)... I think Pittsburgh's new coach is going to get really good results. Cleveland always plays Pittsburgh close but I can't see anyone but Pitts winning this.

    Carolina (8-8) at St. Louis (8-8)... Coin-flip in favor of Carolina.

    Atlanta (7-9) at Minnesota (6-10)... Minnesota was a disaster last year. Atlanta has had a hellish off season. But I think Minnesota, a year further removed from their troubles than Atlanta will be in a better state to take this game.

    New England (12-4) at New York Jets (10-6)... I see the NY Jets winning this one, ending once and for all the "Will the Patriots go undefeated this season?" talks.

    Miami (6-10) at Washington (5-11)... I really, really, really want Washington to lose. I don't think they will, though.

    Tennessee (8-8) at Jacksonville (8-8)... I'm not voting against Vince Young. Tennessee.

    Chicago (13-3) at San Diego (14-2)... This right here is a stellar matchup. I really want Chicago to get the year started off with a win... but they won't.

    Tampa Bay (4-12) at Seattle (9-7)... Always go with Garcia. Tampa Bay.

    Detroit (3-13) at Oakland (2-14)... Neither. Seriously. Actually, I'll go with Detroit. For the only time this year....

    New York Giants (8-8) at Dallas (9-7)... They're both gonna suck this year. But it'll be an uphill battle for NYG in Dallas. Cowboys.

    Baltimore (13-3) at Cincinnati (8-8)... Baltimore.

    Arizona (5-11) at San Francisco (7-9)... I think San Fransico will be a lot better this year. They'll take the win here.

  • 13 - RJ

    Sep 08, 2007 at 9:10 pm

    Welcome back, Theory!

  • 14 - RJ

    Sep 08, 2007 at 9:12 pm

    Why dontcha just pick the rest, Alessandro? ;-)

  • 15 - RJ

    Sep 09, 2007 at 8:51 pm

    Final Score: Pats 38, Jets 14 - RJ 2-0

    Broncos 15, Bills 14 - RJ 3-0

    Titans 13, Jags 10 - RJ 3-1

    Packers 16, Eagles 13 - RJ 3-2

    Texans 20, Chiefs 3 - RJ 3-3

    Carolina 27, Rams 13 - RJ 3-4

    Redskins 16, Miami 13 (in OT) - RJ 3-5(!)

    Vikings 24, Falcons 3 - RJ 4-5

    Steelers 34, Browns 7 - RJ 5-5

    Lions 36, Raiders 21(!) - RJ 6-5

    Seattle 20, TB 6 - RJ 7-5

    SD 14, Bears 3 - RJ 8-5

  • 16 - RJ

    Sep 09, 2007 at 8:54 pm

    NFL "Experts" -

    Theismann 10-3
    Salisbury 9-4
    Hoge 9-4
    Jaworski 10-3
    Schlereth 8-5
    Allen 4-9
    Mortensen 7-6
    Golic 8-5
    Accuscore 7-6

  • 17 - RJ

    Sep 09, 2007 at 11:41 pm

    Final Score:

    Dallas 45, Giants 35 - RJ 9-5

  • 18 - DOM @ HSU

    Sep 10, 2007 at 12:03 am

    DOM 10-4.... KC Jags and Browns.. wow

  • 19 - Matthew T. Sussman

    Sep 10, 2007 at 12:12 am

    13-3. Respect me.

  • 20 - Matthew T. Sussman

    Sep 10, 2007 at 12:12 am

    Er, 11-3.

    I should lose a win for that.

  • 21 - The Theory

    Sep 10, 2007 at 12:42 am

    9-4 at the moment... Could definitely be worse.

  • 22 - Alessandro

    Sep 10, 2007 at 4:25 pm

    RJ,

    0-4

    Now you know why. I don't deserve to buy fruit of the loom.

  • 23 - Alessandro

    Sep 10, 2007 at 5:41 pm

    ...but since I am such a sadist...

    Cinci over Balti: In the immortal words of Diane Chambers: A Bengal versus a Raven? That's not a fair fight.

    'Niners over the Diamond, er, Cardinals.

  • 24 - RJ

    Sep 10, 2007 at 10:16 pm

    "If (more like, "when") Steve McNair struggles at QB and/or suffers an injury, expect Kyle Boller to do a fine job as his replacement."

    Boy, did I ever call that one...

  • 25 - RJ

    Sep 10, 2007 at 10:35 pm

    Final Score:

    Bengals 27, Ravens 20 - RJ 10-5

    Boller has a TD pass taken away from him by a bad call in the final minutes. Then Todd Heap misplays another would-be Boller TD pass, which turns into an INT and essentially ends the game.

    Whatever. I still picked the winner. :-/

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