I went 12-2 last week straight up, and 7-7 against the spread. That puts me at 45-32 straight up for the season, and 33-41-3 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the "experts" over at ESPN.
Here are my picks for the NFL's Week Six:
*Thursday, October 11*
Pittsburgh (2-2) at Tennessee (1-4) 8:20 p.m. [Line: Steelers by 5.5]
Unfrozen Caveman Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is quietly having arguably his best season, with a 100.6 passer rating, eight TD passes, and just one INT. He's completing about 66% of his passes, and is on pace for nearly 4,500 passing yards this year. Also, no lost fumbles. RB Chris Johnson has rushed for more than 24 yards in a game only once this season. He has a total of 210 rushing yards through five games. At this rate, the Titans are paying him about $12,000 per yard. (Note: I did not make that number up.)
-RJ's Pick: Steelers by 15
*Sunday, October 14*
Detroit (1-3) at Philadelphia (3-2) 1:00 p.m. [Line: Eagles by 4.5]
The Lions have the league's ninth best defense in terms of yards allowed, but are allowing nearly 29 points a game, among the most in the NFL. That's what happens when your special teams unit plays like they are made up of Special Olympians. QB Michael Vick has turned the ball over 11 times so far this season, including five lost fumbles. He needs to hang on to the ball with the same kind of grip he used when strangling dogs.
-RJ's Pick: Lions by 1
Mismatch of the week: Oakland (1-3) at Atlanta (5-0) 1:00 p.m. [Line: Falcons by 8.5]
The Raiders are ranked dead last in rushing yards per game. Their defense is pretty awful, too. The Falcons, meanwhile, are undefeated, and their QB is playing like an MVP.
-RJ's Pick: Falcons by 14
Cincinnati (3-2) at Cleveland (0-5) 1:00 p.m. [Line: Bengals by 1]
Former Bengals cheerleader Sarah Jones pleaded guilty this week to making a 17-year-old extremely happy. The Browns, who have a roster comprised largely of adolescents, are rather unhappily the NFL's last remaining winless team. If I was Pat Shurmur, I'd hire Ms. Jones as the team's "equipment manager." It couldn't hurt. And, let's be honest, if you're playing for Cleveland, you're already pretty much fucked.
-RJ's Pick: Bengals by 5
Competitive But Sorta Boring Game Between Mediocre Teams of the Week: St. Louis (3-2) at Miami (2-3) 1:00 p.m. [Line: Dolphins by 3.5]
The Rams have won two in a row, and have allowed just 13 points per game over their last three contests. The Dolphins have the league's best defense against the run. The over/under for this one is just 37.5 points.