RJ's 2011 NFL Season Picks: Week Three

Part of: NFL Picks

I went 13-3 last week straight-up, and 5-9-2 against the spread. For the season, that puts me at 23-9 straight-up, and 16-13-3 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the "experts" over at ESPN.

Here are my picks for the NFL's Week Three:

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

Houston 2-0 at New Orleans 1-1 1:00PM [Line: Saints by 4]

The Texans have allowed just 20 points, fewest in the NFL. The Saints are the only team in the NFC South with a positive point differential.

RJ's Pick: Houston by 3

New York Giants 1-1 at Philadelphia 1-1 1:00PM [Line: Eagles by 7.5]

The Giants were accused of faking injuries in their win over the Rams last week. The Eagles may be without QB Michael Vick.

RJ's Pick: Philadelphia by 4

Jacksonville 1-1 at Carolina 0-2 1:00PM [Line: Panthers by 3.5]

The Jaguars did not score a touchdown against the Jets last week. Panthers' rookie QB Cam Newton has thrown for over 400 yards in each of his first two NFL regular season games.

RJ's Pick: Carolina by 8

New England 2-0 at Buffalo 2-0 1:00PM [Line: Patriots by 9]

The Patriots have the NFL's top offense in terms of total yards and passing yards. The Bills are first in the league in rushing yards per game.

RJ's Pick: New England by 2

Miami 0-2 at Cleveland 1-1 1:00PM [Line: Browns by 2.5]

The Dolphins have started the season 0-2 at home after going 1-7 at home last season. The Browns are averaging just 3.2 yards per rushing attempt.

RJ's Pick: Miami by 5

San Francisco 1-1 at Cincinnati 1-1 1:00PM [Line: Bengals by 3]

The 49ers are averaging the second fewest total yards per game in the NFL. Bengals' rookie QB Andy "The Red Menace" Dalton has a passer rating of 105.7 so far this season.

RJ's Pick: Cincinnati by 7

Denver 1-1 at Tennessee 1-1 1:00PM [Line: Titans by 7]

The Broncos are a little shorthanded at wide receiver, so they signed Quan Cosby earlier this week. Titans' RB Chris Johnson has just 77 yards on 33 carries so far this season.

RJ's Pick: Tennessee by 2

Detroit 2-0 at Minnesota 0-2 1:00PM [Line: Lions by 3.5]

The Lions have the NFL's best point differential. The Vikings lost at home last week despite leading 17-0 at halftime.

Continued on the next page Page 1 — Page 2

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Article Author: RJ Elliott

RJ Elliott is a three-time graduate of the University of Central Florida. His passions in life are sports, politics, and nature. He dislikes daytime television, anti-American dictators, and people who talk like Garrison Keillor. …

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  • 1 - RJ

    Sep 24, 2011 at 3:07 pm

    Looks like Vick is playing.

  • 2 - Dr Dreadful

    Sep 24, 2011 at 4:53 pm

    Oh, good, my wife has him on her fantasy team.

  • 3 - RJ

    Sep 24, 2011 at 6:32 pm

    I'll bet. ;)

  • 4 - zingzing

    Sep 24, 2011 at 7:39 pm

    your wife hates bitches, doc. i'd address that with her. meh. everyone deserves a second chance, and vick has been a model citizen as far as i've seen. but i do enjoy watching him get hit. go gints!

    on more important things, i don't think the vikings are going to pull out of their 2nd half malaise this week. i was thinking maybe letting mcnabb start and then bringing in ponder for the 2nd half might be a good idea. mcnabb gets it done early, but he can't goddamn finish a game. it's pathetic. pisses me off.

  • 5 - Dr Dreadful

    Sep 24, 2011 at 7:45 pm

    She had first pick in the draft, and didn't half piss everybody off when she snapped up Vick.

    She should be set if he's even half as good this season as he was last. The guy was an absolute machine: made Tom Brady look like Ryan Leaf.

  • 6 - zingzing

    Sep 24, 2011 at 8:36 pm

    heh. pretty good references for a brit. ryan leaf... that man. the thwarted millionaire.

    i think i had first pick in the draft for my fantasy league, but i missed the draft and let the computer do it for me. took adrian peterson... which i wouldn't have taken, being a vikings fan. he's great, but if he's on my team, he'll get injured. i tried to trade him... but no luck. i think everyone smelled my fan desperation.

    2-0 so far, and favored in nearly every game for the season. i'm gonna stomp.

  • 7 - Dr Dreadful

    Sep 24, 2011 at 8:45 pm

    Confession: I Googled "worst quarterback ever".

    Still, having read about him I'm rather sorry I missed his career. Even as a (now) Chargers fan the comedy would have been worthwhile.

  • 8 - zingzing

    Sep 24, 2011 at 8:56 pm

    thing is, there was a major argument as to who should be drafted first between leaf and peyton manning in that draft ('98, maybe).

    quarterbacks are a crapshoot. leaf isn't the worst ever. but he's certainly the biggest bust. and he was a dick for a while. but he seems to have grown up a bit now.

  • 9 - zingzing

    Sep 24, 2011 at 9:01 pm

    to be clear, manning is probably the best #1 pick ever made. while leaf would have been the worst, and is probably the worst #2 pick ever made.

  • 10 - Dr Dreadful

    Sep 24, 2011 at 9:21 pm

    Yeah, you never know with QBs. Fresno State's own David Carr was supposed to be the best thing since sliced bread a few years back. Should have won the Heisman but didn't go to the right school. Got drafted by the Texans and promptly disappeared without trace. Last I heard he was third string QB for the Giants or something.

    His little brother's now QBing for the Bulldogs, so we'll see how that goes. We're 2-2 so far, which isn't too shabby.

  • 11 - zingzing

    Sep 24, 2011 at 11:23 pm

    sounds like someone's taken to the other side's football.

    yay! soccer is my true love, but it only really happens once every four years, and it's always disappointing (a feeling you should know); football is always and forever.

  • 12 - Dr Dreadful

    Sep 24, 2011 at 11:40 pm

    sounds like someone's taken to the other side's football.

    Only the NFL, really. Don't really care about college football, it's just that Fresno State is our local team so one pays a bit more attention.

    There was a brief period when David Carr was our quarterback that we toyed with crashing the big time. We beat several BCS teams - and there was one memorable game where we lost narrowly to the then #1-ranked USC in an epic that finished 53-52, or some such ridiculous score. Our downfall was that we would then turn round from one of those giant-killing acts and lose to teams in our conference that we should have been beating. So we ended up playing in things like the Silicon Valley Bowl, the Three-Day-Old Wilted Salad Bowl, the Toilet Bowl, and other underwhelming end-of-season invitationals, rather than on the big stage.

    soccer is my true love, but it only really happens once every four years

    You perceive it that way because it only gets intense attention here during the World Cup. That may change as MLS starts to attract more top players who aren't winding down their careers, and now that ESPN, Fox Soccer and other channels are broadcasting an ever-increasing number of games. But in the meantime I assure you that for most of the rest of the world it's as much a living and breathing part of the culture as baseball or football is in the US.

  • 13 - Jordan Richardson

    Sep 24, 2011 at 11:46 pm

    Go Whitecaps!?

  • 14 - RJ

    Sep 25, 2011 at 7:39 am

    I've got Tom Brady, Adrian Peterson, Steve Smith, and Jeremy Maclin on my Fantasy team. 2-0 so far.

  • 15 - RJ

    Sep 25, 2011 at 7:42 am

    Incidentally, I am no longer receiving email notifications when my articles get new comments.

  • 16 - zingzing

    Sep 25, 2011 at 8:07 am

    "You perceive it that way because it only gets intense attention here during the World Cup."

    oh, i know all that. you pointed out exactly what i meant to point out. i can't quite get behind the mls. and i don't care enough about any of the european teams (other than hating man u) to follow any of those leagues. the new york team was supposed have a good season but the highly-touted mexican defender we picked up has been an arrogant bust. still, they're in contention for the playoffs, so if they make it, maybe i'll try to get behind them. fairweather, i know...

    but yeah, soccer only really comes alive for the world cup. i do follow the usmnt (and now the women's as well) with religious intensity, but it's a slow boil until the wc, when it turns into raging patriotic jihad. fuck ghana. i hate ghana.

  • 17 - zingzing

    Sep 25, 2011 at 1:28 pm

    heh. vikings. amazing...

  • 18 - RJ

    Sep 25, 2011 at 1:41 pm

    Final Scores:

    NO 40, Houston 33 - RJ 0-1 [0-1 ATS]

    Giants 29, Philly 16 - RJ 0-2 [1-1 ATS]

    Carolina 16, Jaguars 10 - RJ 1-2 [2-1 ATS]

    Bills 34, NE 31 - RJ 1-3 [3-1 ATS]

  • 19 - RJ

    Sep 25, 2011 at 1:43 pm

    Final Scores:

    Browns 17, Miami 16 - RJ 1-4 [4-1 ATS]

    SF 13, Bengals 8 - RJ 1-5 [4-2 ATS]

  • 20 - RJ

    Sep 25, 2011 at 1:45 pm

    Final Scores:

    Titans 17, Broncos 14 - RJ 2-5 [5-2 ATS]

    Lions 26, Vikings 23 (in OT) - RJ 3-5 [5-3 ATS]

  • 21 - Patrick

    Sep 25, 2011 at 4:20 pm

    No way the Cowboys win. Even if Romo is able to play, the Cowboys are too banged up to beat Grossman and a confident Redskins team.

  • 22 - RJ

    Sep 25, 2011 at 4:27 pm

    Final Scores:

    Ravens 37, Rams 7 - RJ 4-5 [6-3 ATS]

    Raiders 34, Jets 24 - RJ 4-6 [6-4 ATS]

  • 23 - RJ

    Sep 25, 2011 at 4:29 pm

    Final Scores:

    SD 20, KC 17 - RJ 5-6 [7-4 ATS]

    Seattle 13, Arizona 10 - RJ 5-7 [7-5 ATS]

  • 24 - RJ

    Sep 25, 2011 at 4:32 pm

    Final Scores:

    TB 16, Atlanta 13 - RJ 5-8 [7-6 ATS]

    Packers 27, Bears 17 - RJ 6-8 [7-7 ATS]

  • 25 - RJ

    Sep 25, 2011 at 11:06 pm

    Final Score:

    Steelers 23, Colts 20 - RJ 7-8 [7-8 ATS]

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