The Cavs got smashed something fierce on Sunday night at the hands of a well-rested Pistons team. It was pure ugliness for Cavs fans. Not only were the Cavs a step slow, but the Pistons were playing unconscious basketball.
I am already on record saying that I don't believe the Cavs can beat the Pistons in this series. At the same time, I don't think they are as bad as they played on Sunday. The Cavs will have to step up their defensive effort and reduce mistakes on offense if they want to do any better in this series.
At the same time, that isn't enough. They need the Pistons to play worse and I am going to show you why that expectation isn't unreasonable. You can blame a lot of the gaudy Pistons stats from Sunday on Cleveland's defense, but at the same time, these guys were hitting ridiculous shots even when they were heavily contested.
The Pistons shot 15-22 from 3-point range for an astonishing 68.2%. At one point in the game they were 11-12, which is almost 92%.
I don't know if the Cavs will win tonight's game two match up, or even a single game in the series, but I can almost guarantee that the Pistons will not shoot 68% from three for the whole series. For the season, the Pistons team shot 38.4%. Even if you inflate that number a little bit assuming that some of the scrubs who missed threes this season won't see any playing time, you still can't get anywhere near the unsustainable percentage that the Pistons hit in game 1.
68.2% is a statistical anomaly, even against a poor defensive team like the Cavs.
In the season series between Detroit and Cleveland, Detroit shot exactly 28% from three in beating the Cavs 3 out of 4 times.