The Mavericks roster are more than Dirk deep. Third year player Josh Howard has given his team 17 points per game as has teammate point guard Jason Terry who wasted many a three-point shot with the Hawks for so many years. Vagabond veterans Keith Van Horn, who looks more ill than Jeff Garcia during play, and Jerry Stackhouse also give the team the occasional trey.
And the most pressing question — who's gonna guard Shaq? — can be answered with two players: DeSagana Diop and Erick Dampier, who average three blocks between them.
The series does have intrigue, don't get me wrong. But the Heat seem to have way more firepower in the frontcourt and backcourt.
And that's why I'm conflicted. The Mavericks have so much huggable personality. You just want to run on the court to rub Avery Johnson's head and give Mark Cuban a high-five. It's the team that pure unadulterated passion built.
Meanwhile, with the Heat you have several prickly personalities. Be honest — a team with Gary Payton, Jason Williams, Shaquille O'Neal, Antoine Walker, Alonzo Mourning, and Pat Riley appears to have as much affability as a garbage disposal, with just as much internal discord. Yet they get along so well that you just have to respect 'em.
It pains me to slam the Mavs like this, but it's shaping up to be a sweep. Heat in four.
Article comments
— go to most recent comments1 - Q Bit
No way it's going to be a sweep, no matter how badly I want Heat to win.
But I should sleep - its 3 in the morning.
Suss: Dirk's position is forward, not versatile center :-)
Ok. enough .. will rant tomorrow on this.
2 - Armin Siljkovic
I agree, on paper the Heat look impressive.
But so did the USA Dream Team last olympics...
And we all know how that ended...
3 - ed
this guys out of his mind
4 - Matthew T. Sussman
While accurate, that has no bearing on my prediction.
5 - snaps
Mavs in 6, why? Because, the Mavs are deeper and quicker than most teams in the association and certainly deeper and quicker than the Heat. All those first rounders are nice, but as you mentioned the NBA only has two rounds, and just look at the roster. Use a more specific method analysis. Gary Payton is no where close to the player he used to be. I would be surprised if gets any significant minutes next year if he stays on the Heat. The heat have shown big-time weakness against teams that can run(chicago- and buy the way I think if the suns played Miami, the suns also win in 6). The Heat will have no answer for Nerwetzi(he has had 1 bad night the entire playoffs). Shaq is not the Shaq of 3 yrs ago. Dampier is fully rested, after only playing in Game 1 last series. Avery Johnson can also run Diop at Shaq as mentioned above. Jason Williams of Game 6 vs. Detroit will not be present in more than 2 games this series. And Finally, Josh Howard will either shutdown Walker or limit D. Wade whoever he guards.
Quite Frankly barring injury I can't see how you can pick the Heat.
6 - Q Bit
Heat in 6/7
I am also expecting Cuban will be find $ 2 million at some point of the series.
7 - Q Bit
Correction: find should be fined.
8 - Matthew T. Sussman
Him getting fined is like hilarious entertainment that I don't have to pay for. I hope he pushes a ref this time.
9 - NBA fan
Honestly, I don't know who will win. It's too close to call.
But I do hope it's the Mavs. They really earn it with the way they played and adapted all season.
Prediction, Mavs in 5/7 cause it's being played in Dallas.
10 - Q Bit
If push comes to shove, I am willing to pay.
11 - RJ Elliott
Mavs in 4...
12 - Matthew T. Sussman
Ooh, the other sweep.
This oughta be good.
13 - michael kennedy
Dallas is as soft as they ever were and can not handle a team as strong as miami in the paint. dirk wont get the open shots or looks he had in the previous series, everyone knows phonix is not a defensive team. To even mention dampier is a joke. I am tired of hearing how deep dallas is how much experience do they have compaired to miami.miami has a bench deep enough to counter anything that put on the floor. what happened in the regular season is out the window ask the detroit pistons or new jersey nets who are at home now after going trhee to one in the regular season on miami. miami has more to prove and they will come into the series with advingance to the previous blow out loss in dallas.
14 - Sussman nemesis
Heat in four? Are you insane?! There is no freakin way either team is going to sweep the other. The mavs just beat the heat 90-80 so I expect nothing less than repentance in dust and ashes for your egregiously poor confidence in the Mavs. ;)
15 - RJ Elliott
Heh... :)
16 - Matthew T. Sussman
Move along, nothing to see here, folks. Pay no attention to the man behind the editor's chair.
17 - Q Bit
For some, they don't have a choice :-)
18 - Sussman nemesis
Nothing to see? You predicted that the Heat would sweep the Mavs, but last night the Mavs played mediocre while tha Heat did a lot of what they wanted to do, and the Mavs still beat the heat by ten. Howard and Dirk went a combined 7 for 28, and even Dirk did'nt think they could win if they shot like that. Some people are already calling sweep for the mavs, although I have my reservations. You make Q bit eat humble pie for questioning you, but when you make a ridiculous predictioin, you won't come close to it. My hypocrisy radar is getting some really high readings.
19 - Matthew T. Sussman
Then turn off your hypcrosity radar and turn on your sarcasmometer.
20 - Revci
Just a nit-picking comment about your article. You mention that Dirk Nowitzki is a versatile center. Technically, he never was a center. He is a forward, but was sometimes used as the center last season. I do not recall any time this season seeing Dirk actually play center. And as for the assertation by Michael Kennedy that the Mavs are just as soft as ever, he obviously did not watch any of their games this season or the Spurs series. Having watched this season very closely, I just can't see any way that the Heat can take this series. It seems to me there are still alot of people out there that think this is the same Dallas team of the last few years. It most definately is not. Anyone that has followed this season can see how obvious that is. The Mavs of the last few seasons could never have hung in that Spurs series when it got down and dirty. They would have folded in some of those close games, the shots would have stopped falling, and with no real rebounding they would undoubtedly have lost. It is all too apparent that this was not the case this season. The Mavs hang in games that they don't even shoot well in (that was a deathnell for them in years past), because of so many factors. They are one of the top rebounding teams in the play-offs and have learned to play some very good D. They have quick, athletic players that cause turn-overs and do so much more, and most importantly...the players know and believe that they are a better team this season. I never saw that in the Mavs in the past. They feel this trophy is theirs to take and do not question their team or coach. The Heat are undoubtedly a good team, but it is my opinion that the Mavs have already dispatched the two teams capable of defeating them and are on the road to their first title.
21 - Matthew T. Sussman
In retrospect I should have used "versatile 7-footer."
22 - clay
wow. you were definitely wrong, buddy. maybe next time a little more research would pay off, because the mavs are up 2-0. but hey, everyone makes mistakes.
23 - RJ Elliott
Mavs up, 2-0...Shaq fined five-figures for refusing to talk to reporters after his pathetic effort in Game Two...five points...1 of 7 shooting from the free throw line...weak!
24 - DJ WHO
WOW... I hope Miami Takes games 3 and 4 ... I have 5 strippers booked for game 7!!! I really hope that everyone on this page is wrong!
I say Dallas in game 7!!!!
25 - QBall
I guess it's easy to say now, but Sussman's analysis was rather shallow and kinda strange. (No disrespect intended, just sayin' ... )
Miami's bench is full of 1st rounders therefore they are a better bench and will win in 4?? Ok, by the same logic, Sam Bowie was drafted ahead of Michael Jordan therefore he was better than Jordan.
If anything, the Mavericks have a more talented roster and more firepower than Miami overall. In addition, they are an extremely well coached versatile team that can play both the slow grind-it-out and up-tempo game. Their performance against the Spurs and the Suns demonstrated that.
Meanwhile, the Pistons were just plain arrogant, lazy, and in disarray in the Easter conference finals.
Gary Payton? He was great many years ago, don't get me wrong. But ... well ... that was many years ago and and he should have retired about 3-4 years ago. He's but a mere ghost of his former self will continue to be a non-factor.
Sussman didn't even know Dirk Nowitzki is a forward?? Tsk tsk shame shame ... see, that's what's wrong with America ... these darned kids don't do their homework grumble grumble ... ;)
Dallas in 6 or 7. I think Miami will wake up, play much better at home, take a couple games, make the series interesting, and take it back to Dallas. But there's no way they're going to win it in Dallas.