Alabama 27, Texas 14
I expect this thing to start wide-open and turn into a slug fest as the game progresses. Texas's offense isn't as bad as they looked against Nebraska; it's a bit short-sighted to think of Colt McCoy in the microcosm of that one game the same as it would be to judge Alabama's Mark Ingram for his performance against Auburn or Tennessee. Alabama's offense is going to surprise some people because they are going to match Texas big play for big play and score for score early in this contest. I won't be surprised to see the Crimson Tide with a slight lead at half. The third quarter is where it's going to turn. There's only so much Texas's offense will be able to do against the vaunted Alabama defense and a couple of negative plays (sacks, interceptions, fumbles) are going to swing the momentum to the Crimson Tide. Then, Alabama is going to do what no other team tried or successfully did against Texas - they are going to line up and road grate them with the tandem running of Ingram and Trent Richardson (Look for a screen pass from the shotgun to one of these guys that results in major yardage). McCoy's good but he's not Vince Young and this isn't going to be a repeat of the 2005 BCS CG. Alabama's been the most consistent top team all year and this will be the crowning moment of an incredible run.