(Just so you know, Joey Harrington has replaced Brad Johnson as my official Dorky-looking Marginal QB Whom I Will Irrationally Defend. Fair warning.)
Carolina Panthers 25/1
The team strong spot is the D-line and they should excel for another year. Beyond that, the Panthers are middle of the pack. Yes, I know Steve Smith is unreal, but he's all alone once again. Unless Lovie Smith is coaching the opponent for every game, he can count on being double and triple teamed.
Still, if the Panther O-line stays healthy, at least David Carr may actually get sometime in the upright position, and they could be hanging around at the end of the season.
Chicago Bears 14/1
All the talent in the world on defense and a solid O-line put the Bears in the upper echelon of the NFC again, despite Rex Grossman. Of course, the big thing they had last year was their special teams. It is rare for special teams to make or break a team, but it happens. Can they repeat the performance? If they don't, the Bears may end crashed and abandoned like Lance Briggs' Lamborghini.
Observation: The Bears, the returning NFC champs and the consensus team to beat, are 14/1 to win the Super Bowl.
Dallas Cowboys 20/1
The 'Boys have a receiving corps that is second to none. They no longer have Bill Parcells, which some will see as a plus, but last year's late season crash-and-burn haunts them. It wasn't just Tony Romo's easily observable downslide to humiliation. By the end of the season, a strong performing defense had become among the worst in the league.
The defense is probably fixable. There's a ton of talent and new coach Wade Phillips just came off a stellar turn as Chargers defensive coordinator. But what about Romo? Overpaying for Leonard Davis helps, but the O-line is still merely above average on balance.
What remains is to wonder whether the 'Boys pick up where they left off last season or if they can revert to their first half performance and keep it up all year. My guess is they keep it together and go deep in the playoffs. Which is good, because columns about T.O. write themselves.