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SEC Week Six Previews & Predictions

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Check out the weekly podcast, SEC Football Breakdown, which is released on Tuesdays. It is also available on iTunes.

Last week: 5-2. Overall: 33-10

Arkansas @ Texas A&M
A&M is much improved but still have a long way to go to make it to the next level. For Arkansas, having a week off to lick their wounds following a loss to Alabama is a good thing, as they can start the comeback tour against a team who looks very much like they do–tons of offense, not so much on the defense. The thing is, Arkansas actually does have a defense, a better one than last year anyway, and that along with Ryan Mallett are plenty of reason for the Hogs to win and win big Saturday.
Arkansas 38, Texas A&M 20

Mississippi State @ Houston
Last year, Houston, led my QB Case Keenum, beat MSU 31-24. This year two things are changed: MSU can play defense now and Keenum is out for the year with a torn knee ligament. Houston’s 3-1, but not against real quality competition. It’ll probably be close because that’s where the Bulldogs are right now, but in the end they’ll get the win as Chris Relf continues to mature as a player and leader.
Mississippi State 24, Houston 21

Eastern Michigan @ Vanderbilt
Eastern Michigan is terrible. They haven’t won a game since 2008. Vanderbilt is generally outmatched in games, yet they still play with every opponent and will blow this cupcake out of Nashville.
Eastern Michigan 13, Vanderbilt 33

Auburn @ Kentucky

This game was a lot more interesting when it looked like Kentucky could tackle people. They can’t. Auburn is 5-0 again just like last year before they hit the skids, but the difference this time is improved play in the defensive front and QB Cam Newton has given Auburn a real ace-in-the-hole player on offense. Kentucky went to Jordan-Hare Stadium and scored a big win last year. Auburn rolls to Lexington to return the favor and continue their chase towards the unthinkable–an undefeated vs. undefeated showdown with defending national champion and #1 ranked Alabama to end the season. First things first though.
Auburn 34, Kentucky 14

LSU @ Florida
How does Les Miles still have a job after that mess Saturday? I can’t explain that at all. It’s like trying to explain the film Southland Tales in three sentences or less. And much like that film, the pieces are in place for Miles to succeed at LSU, yet he and those pieces seem bent on going about it in the strangest of ways. Florida was exposed by Alabama last week, confirming early suspicions that the offense was not going to cut it this year after early stumbles. (We all now know Kentucky can’t tackle so that game is an apparition.) Both teams sport tough defenses, so points will be at a premium, especially since both offenses go in reverse as much as they go forward. In the end, I’ll give an edge to the Gators as the home team.
LSU 17, Florida 20

Tennessee @ Georgia
Georgia is a mess and coming off four straight losses. Tennessee is young and coming off an emotional loss to LSU. This won’t be a pretty game but Mark Richt will want to right the ship–I still don’t think the powers in place there will make a move–and this is a game to do it. UT can only do so much on offense, and their defense will wear out late in the game. It’ll be a close one but Georgia still has more talent.
Tennessee 13, Georgia 20

Alabama @ South Carolina
South Carolina needed a week off to reload after losing on the road at Auburn. Alabama’s allegedly suspect defense looks very strong at this point with how they attack opposing backfields And that’ll be the recipe this week as the Crimson Tide will try and convince Steve Spurrier to swap QBs. On offense, the defending national champion and #1 ranked Alabama team will do what they’ve done all season: run the ball, set up play action, and take chances when necessary. It might be interesting early, but Alabama is head and shoulders above teams like South Carolina, which will be very evident by the end of this one on Saturday.
Alabama 34, South Carolina 17

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