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RJ’s NFL Picks, Week Ten

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I went 10-4 last week. That puts me at 81-49 for the season. For a comparison, check out the "experts" over at ESPN.

Here are my picks for the NFL's Week 10:

*THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 6*

Denver 4-4 at Cleveland 3-5 – 8:15 PM (Line: Cleveland by 3)

The Broncos have lost three straight, yet remain atop the weak AFC West. Browns QB Derek Anderson has an abysmal 49.8 completion percentage on the year.

RJ's Pick: Denver by 2

*SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 9*

New Orleans 4-4 at Atlanta 5-3 – 1:00 PM (Line: Atlanta by 1)

The Saints are winless on the road this season. The Falcons are undefeated at home.

RJ's Pick: Atlanta by 5

Tennessee 8-0 at Chicago 5-3 – 1:00 PM (Line: Tennessee by 3)

The undefeated Titans are allowing just 12.9 points per game, the fewest in the league. The Bears have won two in a row and are alone in first place in the NFC North.

RJ's Pick: Tennessee by 7

RJ's Lame-Game Of The Week: Jacksonville 3-5 at Detroit 0-8 – 1:00 PM (Line: Jacksonville by 6.5)

The Jaguars have dropped two straight, and are ranked 23rd in the NFL in both yards gained per game and yards allowed per game. The Lions are the only remaining winless team in the league, but I suspect they'll finally get a victory here.

RJ's Pick: Detroit by 1

Seattle 2-6 at Miami 4-4 – 1:00 PM (Line: Miami by 9)

The Seahawks are averaging just 141 passing yards per game, dead last in the league. The Dolphins have won two in a row and have a solid run defense.

RJ's Pick: Miami by 14

Green Bay 4-4 at Minnesota 4-4 – 1:00 PM (Line: Minnesota by 2)

The Packers are 7th in the league in points scored per game. The Vikings are 3-1 at home.

RJ's Pick: Green Bay by 3

Buffalo 5-3 at New England 5-3 – 1:00 PM (Line: New England by 4)

The Bills have lost three of their last four. The Patriots are averaging 132 rushing yards per game, 7th best in the league.

RJ's Pick: New England by 8

Saint Louis 2-6 at New York Jets 5-3 – 1:00 PM (Line: New York Jets by 8)

The Rams have the worst point differential in the NFC (125 points scored and 235 allowed, which comes out to minus 110). The Jets have won two in a row and are now tied for first place in the competitive AFC East.

RJ's Pick: New York Jets by 17

Baltimore 5-3 at Houston 3-5 – 1:00 PM (Line: Houston by 1.5)

The Ravens have won three straight, and have the top-rated run defense in the NFL. The Texans are 3-1 at home (Note: This is the makeup game from Week Two that was postponed due to Hurricane Ike).

RJ's Pick: Baltimore by 4

Carolina 6-2 at Oakland 2-6 – 4:05 PM (Line: Carolina by 9)

The Panthers are just 1-2 on the road this season. The Raiders are averaging a pathetic 13.4 points per game, worst in the league.

RJ's Pick: Carolina by 5

Indianapolis 4-4 at Pittsburgh 6-2 – 4:15 PM (Line: Pittsburgh by 3)

The Colts may have saved their season last week with an 18-15 victory over the Patriots. The Steelers have the league's top-ranked defense, allowing an average of just 234 total yards per game.

RJ's Pick: Indianapolis by 1

Kansas City 1-7 at San Diego 3-5 – 4:15 PM (Line: San Diego by 15)

The Chiefs have lost four straight and are winless on the road. The Chargers are 3rd in the league in points scored per game.

RJ's Pick: San Diego by 21

RJ's Game Of The Week: New York Giants 7-1 at Philadelphia 5-3 – 8:15 PM (Line: Philadelphia by 3)

The Super Bowl champion Giants have won three in a row, and boast the league's 3rd best defense in terms of total yards allowed per game. The Eagles have also won three straight, and have the 5th best defense in the NFL as measured by the same criteria.

RJ's Pick: Philadelphia by 6

*MONDAY, NOVEMBER 10*

San Francisco 2-6 at Arizona 5-3 – 8:30 PM (Line: Arizona by 9.5)

The 49ers have lost five in a row. The Cardinals hold a three-game lead in the NFC West.

RJ's Pick: Arizona by 15

* * *

[Bye Week Teams: Cincinnati Bengals 1-8, Dallas Cowboys 5-4, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 6-3, Washington Redskins 6-3]

(If you're interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan's Odds and ESPN's NFL "Expert" Picks.)

WEEKLY RESULTS (2008):

Week One – 9-7
Week Two – 10-5
Week Three – 10-6
Week Four – 7-6
Week Five – 9-5
Week Six – 6-8
Week Seven – 11-3
Week Eight – 9-5
Week Nine – 10-4

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About RJ

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Thanks for the quick publish!

  • A1Johnny

    Hi,

    My handle is A1Johnny, I live in San Diego and am a big Charger fan and yes, I am super disapointed in their performance this season. Ted is gone and Norv needs to go next. Anyway, I have enjoyed reading all the picks and comments this season and thought I would give my picks for week 10 and see how I do against you all.

    Week 10 Picks Staight Up
    Cle
    Jac
    Chi
    Bal
    Atl
    NYJ
    NE
    Mia
    Min
    Car
    SD
    Pit
    Phi
    AZ

    I am currently 81 and 49 straight up.

  • EEL

    PICKS FOR WEEK 10
    ( STRAIGHT UP )

    DEN – THURS
    TENN
    JAC
    HOUSTON
    NE
    ATL
    MIAMI
    GB
    NY JETS
    CAR
    PITT
    SD
    NY GIANTS
    SF – MONDAY

  • http://www.dmbulletinonline.com DM

    What’s your guess for the Jets Rams spread? I think it got left off.

  • http://intersportswire.com alessandro

    For tonight, Cleveland.

  • http://www.pbase.com/adam_and_misti Adam

    I’ll be 77-53 now, with a decent but not great 8-6 week 9.

    It has been a long rainy day at work so this will be another quick one.

    Broncos
    Falcons
    Titans
    Jacksonville
    Ravens
    Seattle (we can still make the play offs if you go on a 8 game winning streak)
    Green Bay
    Bills
    Jets
    Carolina
    Steelers
    Chargers
    Gaints
    Cards

  • EEL

    ADAM,
    WE ARE IN THE SAME BOAT (49ERS) I KEEP MY HOPES ALIVE BUT IT JUST GET WORSE AND WORSE . FUNNY PART IS WE STILL DO HAVE A SHOT . LOL. NEED THE CARDS TO START LOSING .

  • smokytla

    Sorry I’m so late with the research; I blew it because I didn’t realize that there was a Thurs night game. Fortunately I got my pool picks done in advance, but I didn’t get to change the Atl/NO game like I wanted or my Monday night score. Sigh. Oh well

    My season record is 82 before this week. My picks are: Den, NE, Jax, Ten, NO, NYJ, GB, Mia, Bal, Car, SD, Pit, NYG and AZ.

    The overall season record for the teams most picked by the experts on a weekly basis is 85. This week’s picks are:
    Cle 48-25
    NE 65-10
    Jax 66-9
    Ten 62-13
    Atl 40-35
    NYJ 74-1
    GB 49-26
    Mia 74-1
    Bal 50-25
    Car 75-0
    SD 73-2
    Pit 64-11
    NYG 43-32
    AZ 72-2

    The experts with 82+ for a season record:
    Cle 19-5
    NE 22-2
    Jax 21-3
    Ten 20-4
    NO 14-10 .. woohooo; maybe I’ll be okay
    NYJ 24-0
    GB 16-8
    Mia 24-0
    Bal 16-8
    Car 24-0
    SD 24-0
    Pit 22-2
    NYG 14-10
    AZ 23-1

    Experts with 84+ season record:
    Cle 14-1
    NE 13-2
    Jax 14-1
    Ten 13-2
    Atl 8-7
    NYJ 15-0
    GB 12-3
    Mia 15-0
    Bal 12-3
    Car 15-0
    SD 15-0
    Pit 14-1
    NYG 11-4
    AZ 15-0

    For experts with 87 as a season record
    Cle 3-0
    NE 3-0
    Jax 2-1
    Ten 3-0
    Atl 3-0
    NYJ 3-0
    GB 2-1
    Mia 3-0
    Bal 2-1
    Car 3-0
    SD 3-0
    Pit 3-0
    Phi 2-1
    AZ 3-0

  • http://intersportswire.com alessandro

    Ten, Mia, GB, NE, NYJ, Bal, Car, SD, Ari, Phi, Pit, Atl, Jack.

    Nothing special here. I know.

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    Denver 34, Cleveland 30 – RJ 1-0

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Thanks for the picks A1Johnny, and welcome aboard!

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Thanks for the picks, EEL. And good luck with the SF @ Arizona pick! ;-)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    DM: Check the second page of the article.

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Thanks for the picks, Adam. It’s not looking like this is Seattle’s year …

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Welcome back, smokytla. Thanks for the picks/research. It looks like the NO @ Atlanta game is the hardest to predict this week.

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Thanks for the picks, Alessandro. Any idea what your season record is?

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Scores:

    Atlanta 34, NO 20 – RJ 2-0

    Titans 21, Bears 14 – RJ 3-0 (and I nailed the spread!)

    Jaguars 38, Lions 14 – RJ 3-1

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Scores:

    Baltimore 41, Houston 13 – RJ 4-1

    Miami 21, Seattle 19 – RJ 5-1

    Vikings 28, Packers 27 – RJ 5-2

    NE 20, Bills 10 – RJ 6-2

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    Jets 47(!), Rams 3 – RJ 7-2

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    Colts 24, Steelers 20 – RJ 8-2

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    Carolina 17, Oakland 6 – RJ 9-2

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    SD 20, KC 19 – RJ 10-2

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” through 12 games:

    Wickersham
    9-3

    Fleming
    9-3

    Hoge
    10-2

    Jaworski
    10-2

    Schlereth
    8-4

    Allen
    9-3

    Mortensen
    8-4

    Golic
    7-5

    Accuscore
    9-3

    Pick ‘em
    10-2

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    Giants 36, Eagles 31 – RJ 10-3

  • http://theugliestamerican.blogspot.com Andy

    I just check this every week to see if you pick my Giants or not RJ. You’re numbers will never be right if you keep going against the reigning Champions!!!

    HA!

  • EEL

    Almost pulled an upset RJ (49ers). lol! Gotta play 4 QTRS not 3, bad INTS at the worst time !

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    Arizona 29, SF 24 – RJ 11-3

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” in Week 10:

    Wickersham
    10-4

    Fleming
    11-3

    Hoge
    12-2

    Jaworski
    10-3

    Schlereth
    10-4

    Allen
    10-4

    Mortensen
    9-5

    Golic
    8-6

    Accuscore
    11-3

    Pick ‘em
    12-2

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    RJ through ten weeks (straight-up): 92-52

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” through ten weeks:

    Wickersham
    84-60

    Fleming
    89-55

    Hoge
    91-53

    Jaworski
    85-49

    Schlereth
    90-54

    Allen
    90-54

    Mortensen
    96-48

    Golic
    83-60

    Accuscore
    98-46

    Pick ‘em
    82-48

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    RJ ATS in Week Ten: 8-6-0

    RJ ATS through ten weeks: 63-78-3

  • http://www.docsports.com Doc’s NFL Pick

    Great site and keep up the good work. Kudos for putting your record out there ATS. A lot of sucka MC’s try to dodge, dip, dive, duck and dodge their own marks. Your week turned out similar to mine in the respect that we both started well and then got caught by the late games. I was able to cash in on Arizona though, but Philly definitely hurt.

    Oh, and who on here is calling those ESPN bobbleheads “experts”? Only pussies pick straight up.

  • http://intersportswire.com alessandro

    I may give ATS a shot next week.

  • http://www.pbase.com/adam_and_misti Adam

    Looks like next week isn’t up yet, oh well. I’ll be picking the Jets over the Pats for the Thursday night showdown.

  • A1johnny

    I changed a couple of picks in my Simplysportsware.com office NFL pool, which both won. I ended up 12 & 2 and lost the week to someone that picked Den Thursday night and beat me. I would have won $70.00 for the week but FU*#@&* Cleveland couldn’t hold their hugh lead to win that game. The teams I changed to were Tenn and NYG.

  • A1johnny

    I also went with the Jets and thought Ooooh Crap, they are going to lose just like Clev did last week but with the luck of the coin toss, I got my first win in week 11

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Week 11 is up!