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RJ’s NFL Picks, Week Nine

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I went 9-5 last week. That puts me at 71-45 for the season. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.

Here are my picks for the NFL’s Week 9:

*SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 2*

New York Jets 4-3 at Buffalo 5-2 – 1:00 PM (Line: Buffalo by 5.5)

The Jets are just 1-2 on the road this season. The Bills have lost two of their last three, but are still undefeated at home.

RJ’s Pick – Buffalo by 3

Detroit 0-7 at Chicago 4-3 – 1:00 PM (Line: Chicago by 13)

The Lions are ranked 31st in rushing offense, 29th in total offense, and 28th in points scored. They are also dead last in both points allowed and total yards allowed. The Bears have scored the second-most points per game in the NFL.

RJ’s Pick – Chicago by 24

RJ’s Lame-Game Of The Week: Jacksonville 3-4 at Cincinnati 0-8 – 1:00 PM (Line: Jacksonville by 8)

The Jaguars have had every game this season decided by seven points or less. The Bengals are last in the league in points scored per game and total yards gained per game.

RJ’s Pick – Jacksonville by 14

Baltimore 4-3 at Cleveland 3-4 – 1:00 PM (Line: Cleveland by 1.5)

The Ravens have won two straight, but are just 1-2 on the road. The Browns are allowing just 17.6 points per game, seventh-best in the league.

RJ’s Pick – Baltimore by 4

Green Bay 4-3 at Tennessee 7-0 – 1:00 PM (Line: Tennessee by 5.5)

The Packers have won two in a row, and are tied with the Bears for first place in the NFC North. The Titans have allowed just 87 points through seven games, fewest in the NFL.

RJ’s Pick – Tennessee by 10

Arizona 4-3 at Saint Louis 2-5 – 1:00 PM (Line: Arizona by 3)

The Cardinals lead the league in points scored per game, but are just 1-3 on the road. The Rams have won two of their last three games – all of which were against very good teams – and were competitive on the road in the one loss.

RJ’s Pick – Saint Louis by 1

Houston 3-4 at Minnesota 3-4 – 1:00 PM (Line: Minnesota by 4.5)

The Texans have won three consecutive games after starting the season 0-4, but remain winless on the road. The Vikings have the league’s second-best defense against the run, but are ranked 20th against the pass.

RJ’s Pick – Minnesota by 2

Tampa Bay 5-3 at Kansas City 1-6 – 1:00 PM (Line: Tampa Bay by 8.5)

The Buccaneers are giving up the second-fewest points per game in the league, but are just 1-3 on the road this season. The Chiefs are scoring the second-fewest points per game in the NFL, while allowing the second-most total yards per game.

RJ’s Pick – Tampa Bay by 17

Miami 3-4 at Denver 4-3 – 4:05 PM (Line: Denver by 3.5)

Dolphins QB Chad Pennington has a quarterback rating of 100.5 through seven games. The Broncos are second in the league in total yards gained per game.

RJ’s Pick – Denver by 1

Atlanta 4-3 at Oakland 2-5 – 4:15 PM (Line: Atlanta by 3)

The Falcons have the third-ranked rushing offense in the league. The Raiders are ranked 30th in both points scored per game and passing yards per game.

RJ’s Pick – Atlanta by 7

RJ’s Game Of The Week: Dallas 5-3 at New York Giants 6-1 – 4:15 PM (Line: New York Giants by 8.5)

The Cowboys are ranked in the top ten in virtually all offensive categories, but they’ve lost three of their last five games. The Super Bowl champion Giants are undefeated at home, and have the best rushing offense in the league.

RJ’s Pick – New York Giants by 3

Philadelphia 4-3 at Seattle 2-5 – 4:15 PM (Line: Philadelphia by 6.5)

The Eagles have won two straight to put themselves back in the hunt in the NFC East. The Seahawks have the worst passing offense in the NFL, and a sub-par defense.

RJ’s Pick – Philadelphia by 15

New England 5-2 at Indianapolis 3-4 – 8:15 PM (Line: Indianapolis by 5.5)

The Patriots have won two in a row, and find themselves tied with the Bills atop the AFC East. The Colts have dropped two straight, and are now an incredible four games out of first place in the AFC South (but tied for second place).

RJ’s Pick – Indianapolis by 2

*MONDAY, NOVEMBER 3*

Pittsburgh 5-2 at Washington 6-2 – 8:30 PM (Line: Washington by 2)

The Steelers are allowing the fewest yards per game in the NFL. The Redskins have the second-best rushing offense in the league.

RJ’s Pick – Pittsburgh by 4

[Bye Week Teams: New Orleans Saints 4-4, San Diego Chargers 3-5, San Francisco 49ers 2-6, Carolina Panthers 6-2]

(If you’re interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan’s Odds and ESPN’s NFL “Expert” Picks.)

WEEKLY RESULTS (2008):

Week One – 9-7
Week Two – 10-5
Week Three – 10-6
Week Four – 7-6
Week Five – 9-5
Week Six – 6-8
Week Seven – 11-3
Week Eight – 9-5

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About RJ

  • Doug

    When you show your won lost record, do you go with the point spread in your pick.

    ie if Dallas is favored by 6 and you say Dallas by 3, do you win or lose?

    Doug

  • http://www.pbase.com/adam_and_misti Adam

    I had a solid 9-5 last week, bringing me up to 69-47 for the season. This week the crystal ball is a bit more cloudy though, but maybe I’ll get lucky. My Record puts me in the pack with most of the ESPN guys, except Mort and Accuscore.

    So, for week 9…

    Jets – Going for the road dogs here. With Buffalo missing 3 startes, including the DE who lines up opposite Stroud, I don’t see them dominating the line and Farve picking apart their secondary. Jets can stuff the run very well also.

    Bears – They are a solid team with potential going up against a team that people from Detriot won’t even defend.

    Jacksonville – Read above, just change the names.

    Browns – Ravens have been inconsistant and the Browns are playing for the crowd. Going for the home team in a close game is usually a good call.

    Green Bay – Calling the upset here. I think Rodgers and his receivers will break out just enough big plays to keep the Titans on there guard and stacking the box and dominating the line.

    Bucs – I can see them running up the scored after last week’s low scoring loss.

    Cards – The Rams won a couple of games against normally good teams playing sloppy and ust trying to just get by, lets not make too much of it.

    Vikings – I don’t see the Texans flourishing in the cold, but we’ll see.

    Denver – Go Jay and carry my lagging fantasy team for another week!

    Atlanta – I think this will be a game decided by a few points, so I’ll go with the team with the better record.

    Giants – Their run game is a beast, and it is hard to beat a team that can get as many first downs as it needs. Oh and lets not forget to compare the QB battle.

    Seahawks! – Lets do it baby and show we can beat a team with a winning record.

    Steelers – I am going for a road team in a close game, but I have my reasons. I think Clint will get shut down and the pocket will collapse on Campbell. This one will be won by a solid D-line and line backing core.

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Thanks for posting, Adam. I think you might have missed a game, though.

  • DOM

    10-4 last week.. puts me at 73-43

    Buffalo.. although id feel comfortable taking jets with some points.

    Chicago

    Jacksonville.. BEWARE cinicinnati’s due for an upset.( i knw i keep saying this)

    Cleveland.. both teams are grabage

    Tennesse
    Arizona
    Houston..
    Tampa Bay..
    Denver
    Atlanta
    NYG
    Eagles
    Colts
    Washington.. gotta score points to win games.

  • DOM

    Not sure wht to think about singletary and the niners.. He needs to get some chemistry going with the team.. Nolan had his chance.. everyone wanted him to do good.. He just couldnt put it together..

    I think everyone is anxious to see wht the niners are going to look like after the bye.. I knw I am..

  • http://intersportswire.com alessandro

    Mia, Cle, Ari, Phi, Was, TB, Ten, NYG, Atl, Buf, Chi, Min, Ind, Jack

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Thanks for the picks, DOM and Alessandro.

    I don’t know about Singletary. It’s a difficult situation to be thrown into, that’s for sure.

  • http://www.pbase.com/adam_and_misti Adam

    Good call.

    Pats over the Colts.

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Scores:

    Jets 26, Bills 17 – RJ 0-1

    Vikings 28, Texans 21 – RJ 1-1

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    Bengals 21, Jaguars 19 – RJ 1-2

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Scores:

    Bears 27, Lions 23 – RJ 2-2

    Arizona 34, Rams 13 – RJ 2-3

    Tennessee 19, GB 16 (in OT) – RJ 3-3

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    Ravens 37, Browns 27 – RJ 4-3

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    TB 30, KC 27 (in OT) – RJ 5-3

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” through 8 games:

    Wickersham
    3-5

    Fleming
    5-3

    Hoge
    4-4

    Jaworski
    4-4

    Schlereth
    6-2

    Allen
    6-2

    Mortensen
    5-3

    Golic
    4-4

    Accuscore
    6-2

    Pick ’em
    5-3

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Scores:

    Miami 26, Denver 17 – RJ 5-4

    Giants 35, Dallas 14 – RJ 6-4

    Atlanta 24, Raiders 0(!) – RJ 7-4 [Oakland had 77 total yards, and just 31 passing yards … Russell completed just 6 of 19 passes, with one interception … pathetic!]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Scores:

    Eagles 26, Seattle 7 – RJ 8-4

    Colts 18, NE 15 – RJ 9-4

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” through 13 games:

    Wickersham
    6-7

    Fleming
    8-5

    Hoge
    8-5

    Jaworski
    7-6

    Schlereth
    10-3

    Allen
    9-4

    Mortensen
    9-4

    Golic
    6-7

    Accuscore
    10-3

    Pick ’em
    8-5

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    Steelers 23, Redskins 6 – RJ 10-4

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” in Week 9:

    Wickersham
    6-8

    Fleming
    8-6

    Hoge
    9-5

    Jaworski
    7-6

    Schlereth
    10-4

    Allen
    10-4

    Mortensen
    9-5

    Golic
    7-7

    Accuscore
    11-3

    Pick ’em
    9-5

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Through nine weeks:

    Mortensen 87-43 – 66.9%
    Accuscore 87-43 – 66.9%
    RJ 81-49 – 62.3%
    Jaworski 75-46 – 62.0%
    Schlereth 80-50 – 61.5%
    Allen 80-50 – 61.5%
    Hoge 79-51 – 60.8%
    Pick ’em 70-46 – 60.3%
    Fleming 78-52 – 60.0%
    Golic 75-54 – 58.1%
    Wickersham 74-56 – 56.9%

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Week 9 ATS: RJ 7-7-0

    Through nine weeks ATS: RJ 55-72-3

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Week Ten is up!