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RJ’s NFL Picks, Week Eleven

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I went 11-3 last week. That puts me at 92-52 for the season. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.

Here are my picks for the NFL’s Week 11:

*THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 13*

RJ’s Game Of The Week: New York Jets 6-3 at New England 6-3 – 8:15 PM (Line: New England by 3)

The Jets have the number three scoring offense in the league. The Patriots are 4-1 at home.

RJ’s Pick: New England by 7

*SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 16*

Denver 5-4 at Atlanta 6-3 – 1:00 PM (Line: Atlanta by 6)

The Broncos are in first place in the AFC West, despite having one of the worst defenses in the league. The Falcons are undefeated at home.

RJ’s Pick: Atlanta by 10

Philadelphia 5-4 at Cincinnati 1-8 – 1:00 PM (Line: Philadelphia by 9)

The Eagles have the fourth ranked offense in terms of points scored per game. The Bengals are next to last in points scored per game.

RJ’s Pick: Philadelphia by 15

Chicago 5-4 at Green Bay 4-5 – 1:00 PM (Line: Green Bay by 5.5)

The Bears are 3-0 against division rivals this year. The Packers have dropped two straight.

RJ’s Pick: Chicago by 3

Houston 3-6 at Indianapolis 5-4 – 1:00 PM (Line: Indianapolis by 9)

The Texans are allowing more than 28 points per game, worst in the AFC. The Colts have won two in a row.

RJ’s Pick: Indianapolis by 4

New Orleans 4-5 at Kansas City 1-8 – 1:00 PM (Line: New Orleans by 4.5)

The Saints are the only NFC South team with a losing record. The Chiefs have lost five straight.

RJ’s Pick: New Orleans by 1

Oakland 2-7 at Miami 5-4 – 1:00 PM (Line: Miami by 10.5)

The Raiders are averaging a league-worst 12.6 points scored per game. The Dolphins have won three in a row.

RJ’s Pick: Miami by 6

Baltimore 6-3 at New York Giants 8-1 – 1:00 PM (Line: New York Giants by 6.5)

The Ravens are allowing just 258 yards per game, second fewest in the NFL. The Super Bowl champion Giants have won four straight, and are undefeated at home.

RJ’s Pick: New York Giants by 2

Minnesota 5-4 at Tampa Bay 6-3 – 1:00 PM (Line: Tampa Bay by 4)

The Vikings are just 1-3 on the road this season. The Buccaneers are 4-0 at home.

RJ’s Pick: Tampa Bay by 9

Detroit 0-9 at Carolina 7-2 – 1:00 PM (Line: Carolina by 14)

The Lions are just seven losses away from the worst season in NFL history. The Panthers are 5-0 at home.

RJ’s Pick: Carolina by 30

RJ’s Lame-Game Of The Week: Saint Louis 2-7 at San Francisco 2-7 – 4:05 PM (Line: San Francisco by 4)

The Rams have given up the most points in the NFL. The 49ers have lost six in a row.

RJ’s Pick: Saint Louis by 5

Arizona 6-3 at Seattle 2-7 – 4:05 PM (Line: Arizona by 3.5)

The Cardinals have a four-game lead in the NFC West. The Seahawks will have Matt Hasselbeck back at QB this week.

RJ’s Pick: Seattle by 3

San Diego 4-5 at Pittsburgh 6-3 – 4:15 PM (Line: Pittsburgh by 4)

The Chargers are 1-4 on the road this season. The Steelers are allowing just 240 yards per game, best in the NFL.

RJ’s Pick: Pittsburgh by 11

Tennessee 9-0 at Jacksonville 4-5 – 4:15 PM (Line: Tennessee by 3)

The Titans are giving up just 13 points per game, fewest in the league. The Jaguars are just 1-3 at home.

RJ’s Pick: Tennessee by 13

Dallas 5-4 at Washington 6-3 – 8:15 PM (Line: Dallas by 1.5)

The Cowboys are 2-3 on the road. The Redskins have a top ten defense in each of the major categories.

RJ’s Pick: Washington by 4

*MONDAY, NOVEMBER 17*

Cleveland 3-6 at Buffalo 5-4 – 8:30 PM (Line: Buffalo by 4.5)

The Browns have given up 71 points in their last two games. The Bills have dropped three straight.

RJ’s Pick: Buffalo by 8

* * *

(If you’re interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan’s Odds and ESPN’s NFL “Expert” Picks.)

WEEKLY RESULTS (2008):

Week One – 9-7
Week Two – 10-5
Week Three – 10-6
Week Four – 7-6
Week Five – 9-5
Week Six – 6-8
Week Seven – 11-3
Week Eight – 9-5
Week Nine – 10-4
Week Ten – 11-3

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About RJ

  • EEL

    (THURS GAME) SHOULD BE A GOOOD GAME ?
    IM TAKING THE PATS BY 5 PTS

  • Dave

    You claim to be 11-3 for week 10. I went back and compared actual scores to your picks. I’ve got you at 8-6 using the speads. Could you please explain your rational for claiming 11-3. thanks

  • http://intersportswire.com alessandro

    Patriots.

  • zingzing

    jeez, dave, what do you think?

    rj, now when’s the last time you picked minnesota to win? and what have they been doing? winning! tampa’s been winning, but not well. i think they just might get beat this week. at least that’s what i hoping.

  • aluey

    Jets, yes. Cassel is getting better though.

    Go Miami -10.5

    Chiefs +5.5

    and over BUFF/CLEV – tough one. 42 pts. Maybe low scoring.

    Could be my 3rd 4-0 week

  • http://www.pbase.com/adam_and_misti Adam

    Dave,

    He is talking about straight up when he refers to last weeks record. Part of his blog is comparing himself to the espn experts picks who pick straight up, so he is comparing himself to them even though he does go ATS as well.

  • http://intersportswire.com alessandro

    Atl, Phi, Chi, Ind, KC, Mia, NYG, TB,Car, SF, Pitt, Jack, Wash, Buf, Ari.

  • Bennett

    RJ made a good call in picking the NE/NYJ game as the game of the week. Even watching it play by play on nfl.com was exciting.

  • A1johnny

    Last week, I changed a couple of picks in my Simplysportsware.com office NFL pool, which both won. I ended up 12 & 2 and lost the week to someone that picked Den Thursday night and beat me. I would have won $70.00 for the week but FU*#@&* Cleveland couldn’t hold their hugh lead to win that game. The teams I changed to Tenn and NYG.

    I also went with the Jets and thought Ooooh Crap, they are going to lose just like Clev did last week but with the luck of the coin toss, I got my first win in week 11

    Week 11 pic’s straight up

    NYJ
    ATL
    MIA
    NYG
    TB
    Ten
    CAR
    GB
    PHI
    NO
    IND
    AZ
    SF
    PIT tough pick due to being a charger fan.
    DAL
    CLE

    I am currently 94 – 51 staight up. Tied for 7th place in my simplysportsware.com office pool.

    Good Luck to all this week.

  • suicidepool

    I am not sure who to pick for my suicide pool for week 11. I have already used the Panthers, so the other 2 options are the Indy game or the DOlphins game. I don’t know who’s more promising.

  • suicide pool

    I am one of three people who are left in the suicide pool that started with 50 people. This is critical. COlts game…? Dolphins game…?

  • http://www.pbase.com/adam_and_misti Adam

    I had a good 10-4 week last week, bringing me up to 87-57. That leaves me in the espn expert pack, but not near enough the top as I once was.

    I already picked and won my Jets pick (on week 10’s page because I couldn’t find the link to this week).

    Here it goes for the rest of the games.

    Falcons
    Eagles
    Packers
    Colts
    Cheifs
    Dolphins
    Giants
    Bucs
    Carolina
    49ers
    My ever under performing Seahawks (I’m just not ready to go Pete Rose yet)
    Titans
    Steelers
    Redskins
    Browns

  • Richard

    I think there is going to be an upset this week…
    I’m thinking if J-ville plays smart they pull the upset with a last minute field goal

  • http://www.EurocriticsMagazine.com Christopher Rose

    ADAM, next time you go to make a comment, please add the http:// that is missing from the beginning of your URL in the box directly above where you type in your comments.

    Thanks.

    Christopher Rose
    Blogcritics Comments Editor

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Scores:

    Jets 34, NE 31 (in OT) – RJ 0-1

    Denver 24, Atlanta 20 – RJ 0-2

    Eagles 13, Bengals 13 (a tie!) – RJ 0-3

    GB 37, Chicago 3 – RJ 0-4(!)

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Scores:

    Colts 33, Houston 27 – RJ 1-4

    NO 30, KC 20 – RJ 2-4

    Dolphins 17, Oakland 15 – RJ 3-4

    Giants 30, Ravens 10 – RJ 4-4

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Scores:

    TB 19, Vikings 13 – RJ 5-4

    Carolina 31, Lions 22 – RJ 6-4

    SF 35, Rams 16 – RJ 6-5

    Arizona 26, Seattle 20 – RJ 6-6

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Scores:

    Steelers 11, SD 10 – RJ 7-6

    Titans 24, Jaguars 14 – RJ 8-6

    Dallas 14, Redskins 10 – RJ 8-7

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” through 15 games:

    Wickersham
    9-6

    Fleming
    11-4

    Hoge
    12-3

    Jaworski
    10-5

    Schlereth
    13-2

    Allen
    13-2

    Mortensen
    12-3

    Golic
    11-4

    Accuscore
    12-3

    Pick ‘em
    10-5

    (I’m getting killed this week…)

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Final Score:

    Browns 29, Bills 27 – RJ 8-8

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” in Week 11:

    Wickersham
    9-7

    Fleming
    11-5

    Hoge
    12-4

    Jaworski
    10-5

    Schlereth
    13-3

    Allen
    13-3

    Mortensen
    13-3

    Golic
    12-4

    Accuscore
    12-4

    Pick ‘em
    10-6

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Through 11 weeks:

    Accuscore 110-50 – 68.8%

    Mortensen 109-51 – 68.1%

    Schlereth 103-57 – 64.4%

    Hoge 103-57 – 64.4%

    Allen 103-57 – 64.4%

    Jaworski 95-54 – 63.8%

    Pick ‘em 92-54 – 63.0%

    RJ 100-60 – 62.5%

    Fleming 100-60 – 62.5%

    Golic 95-64 – 59.7%

    Wickersham 93-67 – 58.1%

  • http://www.gwbush.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    RJ ATS in Week 11: 4-12-0

    RJ ATS through 11 weeks: 67-90-3

    (The term “horrific” is applicable here, I think.)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ Elliott

    Week 12 is up!