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RJ’s NFL Picks, 2012 Edition: Week Seven

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I went 6-8 last week straight up, and a horrific 4-10 against the spread. That puts me at 51-40 for the season, and 37-51-3 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.com.

Here are my picks for the NFL’s Week Seven:

*Thursday, October 18*

Seattle 4-2 at San Francisco 4-2 – 8:20 p.m. [Line: SF by 7]

Two of the league’s top defenses square off. The 49ers have a much better offense than the Seahawks, and they also have home field advantage. But don’t expect a blowout.

-RJ’s Pick: San Francisco by 3

*Sunday, October 21*

Tennessee 2-4 at Buffalo 3-3 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Bills by 3.5]

The Titans have the worst point differential in the NFL. The Bills have the worst run defense in the league.

-RJ’s Pick: Buffalo by 8

Washington 3-3 at New York Giants 4-2 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: NYG by 5.5]

The Redskins have the worst pass defense in the NFL. You want Eli Manning on your fantasy football team this week.

-RJ’s Pick: New York Giants by 11

New Orleans 1-4 at Tampa Bay 2-3 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: NO by 2.5]

The Saints have the league’s top passing offense. The Buccaneers have the NFL’s second-worst pass defense. I am happy to settle for having Drew Brees on my fantasy football team this week.

-RJ’s Pick: New Orleans by 7

Dallas 2-3 at Carolina 1-4 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Cowboys by 2.5]

The Cowboys have the best pass defense in the NFL. The Panthers have lost three straight.

-RJ’s Pick: Dallas by 9

Baltimore 5-1 at Houston 5-1 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Texans by 7]

The Ravens are the hottest team in the AFC, having won four straight. But they lost both Ray Lewis and Lardarius Webb to season-ending injuries last week. The Texans suffered their first loss of the season last week, allowing six touchdowns through the air. The winner of this one instantly becomes the favorite to secure home field advantage through the AFC playoffs.

-RJ’s Pick: Houston by 3

Cleveland 1-5 at Indianapolis 2-3 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Colts by 2.5]

The Browns got their first victory of the season in Week Six. Andrew Luck is on pace to throw for more than 4,500 yards this season, but he’s also on pace to throw more than 20 interceptions.

-RJ’s Pick: Indianapolis by 6

Green Bay 3-3 at St. Louis 3-3 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: GB by 5.5]

Aaron Rodgers in his last three games: 13 passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Chris Long has four sacks in his last four games.

-RJ’s Pick: Green Bay by 13

Arizona 4-2 at Minnesota 4-2 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Vikings by 6]

John Skelton will be starting under center for the Cardinals this week, replacing the injured Kevin Kolb. The Vikings are undefeated at home this season.

-RJ’s Pick: Minnesota by 12

New York Jets 3-3 at New England 3-3 – 4:25 p.m. [Line: NE by 10]

Mark Sanchez completed just 11 passes for 82 yards last week, but two of his passes were caught for touchdowns. The Patriots have lost three games by a total of four points. In their three wins, their combined margin of victory was 55 points.

-RJ’s Pick: New England by 17

Jacksonville 1-4 at Oakland 1-4 – 4:25 p.m. [Line: Raiders by 4]

The Jaguars have the league’s worst offense in terms of both yards gained and points scored. The Raiders have scored the second-fewest points in the NFL.

-RJ’s Pick: Oakland by 10

Pittsburgh 2-3 at Cincinnati 3-3 – 8:20 p.m. [Line: Steelers by 2]

The Steelers are averaging just three yards per carry so far this season. Andy Dalton has thrown five interceptions in his last two games.

-RJ’s Pick: Pittsburgh by 7

*Monday, October 22*

Detroit 2-3 at Chicago 4-1 – 8:30 p.m. [Line: Bears by 6]

The Bears have the best point differential in the NFL. The Lions have the league’s second best offense in terms of both total yards per game and passing yards per game.

-RJ’s Pick: Detroit by 1

Bye Week Teams: Atlanta 6-0, Denver 3-3, Kansas City 1-5, Miami 3-3, Philadelphia 3-3, and San Diego 3-3.

If you’re interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan’s Odds here.

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About RJ

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    SF 13, Seattle 6 – RJ 1-0 (0-0-1 ATS)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    Tennessee 35, Bills 34 – RJ 1-1 (0-1-1 ATS)

    Giants 27, Redskins 23 – RJ 2-1 (0-2-1 ATS)

    NO 35, TB 28 – RJ 3-1 (1-2-1 ATS … and I nailed the spread!)

    DAL 19, CAR 14 – RJ 4-1 (2-2-1 ATS)

    HOU 43, BAL 13 – RJ 5-1 (2-3-1 ATS)

    Colts 17, Browns 13 – RJ 6-1 (3-3-1 ATS)

    GB 30, Rams 20 – RJ 7-1 (4-3-1 ATS)

    Vikings 21, Arizona 14 – RJ 8-1 (5-3-1 ATS)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Scores:

    NE 29, Jets 26 (in OT) – RJ 9-1 (5-4-1 ATS)

    Raiders 26, Jaguars 23 (in OT) – RJ 10-1 (5-5-1 ATS)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    PITTSBURGH 24, BENGALS 17 – RJ 11-1 (6-5-1 ATS…and I nailed the spread AGAIN…)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    CHI 13, DET 7 – RJ 11-2 (6-5-2 ATS)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    RJ through seven weeks:

    62-42 straight up

    43-56-5 against the spread

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s experts in Week Seven:

    Allen
    8-5
    Golic
    12-1
    Hoge
    10-3
    Jaworski
    10-3
    Mortensen
    9-4
    Schefter
    8-5
    Schlereth
    11-2
    Wickersham
    12-1
    Jackson
    8-5
    Johnson
    9-4
    Ditka
    11-2
    Carter
    11-2
    Accuscore
    11-2
    Pick ‘em
    11-2

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s experts through seven weeks:

    Allen
    59-45
    Golic
    62-42
    Hoge
    62-42
    Jaworski
    62-42
    Mortensen
    73-31
    Schefter
    61-43
    Schlereth
    61-43
    Wickersham
    71-33
    Jackson
    56-48
    Johnson
    60-44
    Ditka
    59-45
    Carter
    62-42
    Accuscore
    61-43
    Pick ‘em
    63-41