I went 6-8 last week straight up, and a horrific 4-10 against the spread. That puts me at 51-40 for the season, and 37-51-3 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.com.
Here are my picks for the NFL’s Week Seven:
*Thursday, October 18*
Seattle 4-2 at San Francisco 4-2 – 8:20 p.m. [Line: SF by 7]
Two of the league’s top defenses square off. The 49ers have a much better offense than the Seahawks, and they also have home field advantage. But don’t expect a blowout.
-RJ’s Pick: San Francisco by 3
*Sunday, October 21*
Tennessee 2-4 at Buffalo 3-3 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Bills by 3.5]
The Titans have the worst point differential in the NFL. The Bills have the worst run defense in the league.
-RJ’s Pick: Buffalo by 8
Washington 3-3 at New York Giants 4-2 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: NYG by 5.5]
The Redskins have the worst pass defense in the NFL. You want Eli Manning on your fantasy football team this week.
-RJ’s Pick: New York Giants by 11
New Orleans 1-4 at Tampa Bay 2-3 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: NO by 2.5]
The Saints have the league’s top passing offense. The Buccaneers have the NFL’s second-worst pass defense. I am happy to settle for having Drew Brees on my fantasy football team this week.
-RJ’s Pick: New Orleans by 7
Dallas 2-3 at Carolina 1-4 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Cowboys by 2.5]
The Cowboys have the best pass defense in the NFL. The Panthers have lost three straight.
-RJ’s Pick: Dallas by 9
Baltimore 5-1 at Houston 5-1 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Texans by 7]
The Ravens are the hottest team in the AFC, having won four straight. But they lost both Ray Lewis and Lardarius Webb to season-ending injuries last week. The Texans suffered their first loss of the season last week, allowing six touchdowns through the air. The winner of this one instantly becomes the favorite to secure home field advantage through the AFC playoffs.
-RJ’s Pick: Houston by 3
Cleveland 1-5 at Indianapolis 2-3 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Colts by 2.5]
The Browns got their first victory of the season in Week Six. Andrew Luck is on pace to throw for more than 4,500 yards this season, but he’s also on pace to throw more than 20 interceptions.
-RJ’s Pick: Indianapolis by 6
Green Bay 3-3 at St. Louis 3-3 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: GB by 5.5]
Aaron Rodgers in his last three games: 13 passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Chris Long has four sacks in his last four games.
-RJ’s Pick: Green Bay by 13
Arizona 4-2 at Minnesota 4-2 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Vikings by 6]
John Skelton will be starting under center for the Cardinals this week, replacing the injured Kevin Kolb. The Vikings are undefeated at home this season.
-RJ’s Pick: Minnesota by 12
New York Jets 3-3 at New England 3-3 – 4:25 p.m. [Line: NE by 10]
Mark Sanchez completed just 11 passes for 82 yards last week, but two of his passes were caught for touchdowns. The Patriots have lost three games by a total of four points. In their three wins, their combined margin of victory was 55 points.
-RJ’s Pick: New England by 17
Jacksonville 1-4 at Oakland 1-4 – 4:25 p.m. [Line: Raiders by 4]
The Jaguars have the league’s worst offense in terms of both yards gained and points scored. The Raiders have scored the second-fewest points in the NFL.
-RJ’s Pick: Oakland by 10
Pittsburgh 2-3 at Cincinnati 3-3 – 8:20 p.m. [Line: Steelers by 2]
The Steelers are averaging just three yards per carry so far this season. Andy Dalton has thrown five interceptions in his last two games.
-RJ’s Pick: Pittsburgh by 7
*Monday, October 22*
Detroit 2-3 at Chicago 4-1 – 8:30 p.m. [Line: Bears by 6]
The Bears have the best point differential in the NFL. The Lions have the league’s second best offense in terms of both total yards per game and passing yards per game.
-RJ’s Pick: Detroit by 1
Bye Week Teams: Atlanta 6-0, Denver 3-3, Kansas City 1-5, Miami 3-3, Philadelphia 3-3, and San Diego 3-3.
If you’re interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan’s Odds here.