I went 10-6 last week straight up, and 4-12 against the spread. For the season, that puts me at 133-75 straight up and 94-106-8 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.com.
What follows are my picks for the NFL’s Week 15 games:
*Thursday, December 13*
Cincinnati (7-6) at Philadelphia (4-9) – 8:20 p.m. (Line: Cincinnati by 3.5)
Bengals WR A.J. Green is on pace for 97 receptions this season. The Eagles got their first victory since September last week.
—RJ’s Pick: Cincinnati by 8
*Sunday, December 16*
New York Giants (8-5) at Atlanta (11-2) – 1:00 p.m. (Line: ATLANTA BY 2)
A matchup of division-leading teams. The Giants are just a game ahead of both Washington and Dallas in the NFC East. The Falcons have already wrapped up the NFC South, with a five-game lead over second place Tampa Bay. The Giants are 3-3 on the road this season while the Falcons are 6-0 at home.
—RJ’s Pick: Atlanta by 6
Minnesota (7-6) at St. Louis (6-6-1) – 1:00 p.m. (Line: ST. LOUIS BY 2.5)
The Vikings are just 1-5 on the road this season. The Rams have won three straight.
—RJ’s Pick: St. Louis by 7
Jacksonville (2-11) at Miami (5-8) – 1:00 p.m. (Line: MIAMI BY 7)
Jaguars RB Maurice Jones-Drew, who has been out since October with a foot injury, had been averaging 4.8 yards per carry. His main replacement Rashad Jennings is averaging just 2.8 yards per carry. Dolphins WR Brian Hartline needs just 75 more receiving yards for his first career 1,000-yard season.
—RJ’s Pick: Jacksonville by 3
Green Bay (9-4) at Chicago (8-5) – 1:00 p.m. (Line: Green Bay by 3)
The Packers are 4-0 against divisional opponents so far this season. If the Bears lose, the best they can hope for is a Wild Card berth.
—RJ’s Pick: Green Bay by 8
Washington (7-6) at Cleveland (5-8) – 1:00 p.m. (Line: No Line)
The Redskins have won four in a row. QB Robert Griffin III suffered a knee injury last week, and his status for this week is unknown at the time of this writing (hence the lack of a line for this game). If Griffin is unable to play, fellow rookie Kirk Cousins will start under center. The Browns have won three straight and are 4-3 at home this season.
—RJ’s Pick: Washington by 10
Denver (10-3) at Baltimore (9-4) – 1:00 p.m. (Line: Denver by 2.5)
The Broncos have won eight straight, the longest current winning streak in the league. The Ravens have lost their last two games, but are 5-1 at home this year.
—RJ’s Pick: Denver by 7
Indianapolis (9-4) at Houston (11-2) – 1:00 p.m. (Line: HOUSTON BY 8)
Believe it or not, the Colts actually control their own destiny in the AFC South. They are two games behind Houston, but they get to play them twice (including this week). Their other remaining game is against Kansas City, arguably the worst team in the NFL. If the Colts win out, they would finish the season in first place with 12 wins and would host at least one playoff game. That would be an incredible turnaround for a team that went 2-14 last season. The Texans are 5-1 at home, but they have allowed at least 31 points in three of their last four games.
—RJ’s Pick: Indianapolis by 1
Tampa Bay (6-7) at New Orleans (5-8) – 1:00 p.m. (Line: NEW ORLEANS BY 3.5)
The Buccaneers had dropped three straight games, and desperately need a win this week to have any shot at a Wild Card berth. Their seven losses this season have been by the following margins: 7 points, 6 points, 2 points, 7 points, 1 point, 8 points, and 2 points. The Saints have also lost three in a row. They have the league’s worst defense in terms of total yards allowed.
—RJ’s Pick: Tampa Bay by 2
Detroit (4-9) at Arizona (4-9) – 4:05 p.m. (Line: Detroit by 5.5)