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RJ’s NFL Picks, 2012 Edition: Week Thirteen

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I went 10-6 last week straight up, and 12-3-1 against the spread. For the season, that puts me at 113-63 straight up and 85-84-7 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.com.

What follows are my picks for the NFL’s Week 13:

*Thursday, November 29*

New Orleans 5-6 at Atlanta 10-1 – 8:20 p.m. (Line: ATLANTA by 3.5)

The Falcons are 5-0 at home while the Saints are 2-3 on the road.

—RJ’s Pick: Falcons by 1

*Sunday, December 2*

Indianapolis 7-4 at Detroit 4-7 – 1:00 p.m. (Line: DETROIT by 4.5)

The outcome of this game doesn’t really matter much to me, as a Lions fan. They ain’t making the playoffs this year. But I am interested to see how many times Ndamukong Suh “accidentally” kicks Colts QB Andrew Luck in the nuts.

—RJ’s Pick: Lions by 8

Jacksonville 2-9 at Buffalo 4-7 – 1:00 p.m. (Line: BUFFALO by 6)

A crappy warm weather team going to play in a cold weather city in December = The Jaguars are gonna have a bad time.

—RJ’s Pick: Bills by 11

Seattle 6-5 at Chicago 8-3 – 1:00 p.m. (Line: CHICAGO by 3.5)

The Bears are 5-1 at home while the Seahawks are 1-5 on the road.

—RJ’s Pick: Bears by 9

San Francisco 8-2-1 at St. Louis 4-6-1 – 1:00 p.m. (Line: SAN FRANCISCO by 7)

The last time the 49ers and Rams played, back in Week Ten, they tied. I don’t think that’s going to happen again.

—RJ’s Pick: 49ers by 14

New England 8-3 at Miami 5-6 – 1:00 p.m. (Line: NEW ENGLAND by 7)

The Patriots have won five in a row. Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill has 12 interceptions this season (including six in the last three games) compared to just seven TD passes.

—RJ’s Pick: Patriots by 18

Arizona 4-7 at New York Jets 4-7 – 1:00 p.m. (Line: NEW YORK JETS by 4)

The Cardinals have dropped seven straight. The Jets have lost four of their last five.

—RJ’s Pick: Jets by 10

Minnesota 6-5 at Green Bay 7-4 – 1:00 p.m. (Line: GREEN BAY by 7.5)

Vikings RB Adrian Peterson is averaging 5.8 yards per carry this season, and leads the league is rushing yards with 1,236. The Packers are 4-1 at home.

—RJ’s Pick: Packers by 3

Houston 10-1 at Tennessee 4-7 – 1:00 p.m. (Line: HOUSTON by 6)

The Texans have won five in a row. The Titans are allowing almost 31 points per game.

—RJ’s Pick: Texans by 12

Carolina 3-8 at Kansas City 1-10 – 1:00 p.m. (Line: CAROLINA by 3)

The Panthers are averaging just 3.9 yards per carry this season, despite having Jonathan Stewart, DeAngelo Williams, Mike Tolbert … oh, and Cam Newton on their roster. The Chiefs have lost eight in a row.

—RJ’s Pick: Panthers by 7

Tampa Bay 6-5 at Denver 8-3 – 4:05 p.m. (Line: DENVER by 7)

The Buccaneers have the NFL’s top run defense. The Broncos have won six straight.

—RJ’s Pick: Broncos by 2

Cleveland 3-8 at Oakland 3-8 – 4:25 p.m. (Line: OAKLAND by 1.5)

The Browns are winless on the road this season. The Raiders have dropped their last four games.

—RJ’s Pick: Browns by 3

Cincinnati 6-5 at San Diego 4-7 – 4:25 p.m. (Line: CINCINNATI by 2.5)

Suddenly the Bengals are back in the playoff hunt after winning three in a row. The Chargers, on the other hand, have lost three straight.

—RJ’s Pick: Bengals by 6

Pittsburgh 6-5 at Baltimore 9-2 – 4:25 p.m. (Line: No Line)

This matchup has no line as I write this because Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger‘s status is still unknown. I expect a guy as tough as he is to play in a big game like this. But that doesn’t mean they’ll win.

—RJ’s Pick: Ravens by 13

Philadelphia 3-8 at Dallas 5-6 – 8:20 p.m. (Line: DALLAS by 10)

The Eagles have lost seven straight games. The Cowboys have the league’s most anemic running game.

—RJ’s Pick: Cowboys by 4

*Monday, December 3*

New York Giants 7-4 at Washington 5-6 – 8:30 p.m. (Line: NEW YORK GIANTS by 3)

The Redskins aren’t dead yet. A win here would put them at .500 and just one game behind the Giants in the NFC East. But I don’t think they’ll win.

—RJ’s Pick: Giants by 8

[If you’re interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan’s Odds here.]

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About RJ

  • C2E

    Considering you always pick Detroit whether you think they’ll lose or not, your pick percentage is actually much higher.

    The Texans game might be closer…defensive backfield is totally changed, and Kubiak is resting folks for next week.

    Last week I went 13-3 straight up and am 117-59 for the season. This week’s picks:

    Falcons over Saints
    Bears over Seahawks
    Texans over Titans
    Patriots over Dolphins
    Bills over Jaguars
    Colts over Lions
    Panthers over Chiefs
    Packers over Vikings
    49ers over Rams
    Jets over Cardinals
    Broncos over Buccaneers
    Ravens over Steelers
    Bengals over Chargers
    Raiders over Browns
    Cowboys over Eagles
    Redskins over Giants

    Weak choices – Panthers to win, Browns to lose and Giants to lose. I’m hoping the Buccaneers actually beat the Broncos, but that’s not likely to happen in Denver. Colts against your Lions might be interesting, also. That’s why we watch the games…

    Good luck!

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    Atlanta 23, NO 13 – RJ 1-0 (0-1 ATS)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Thanks for the picks, C2E. Good luck.

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORES:

    COLTS 35, LIONS 33 – RJ 1-1 (0-2 ATS)

    BILLS 34, JACKSONVILLE 18 – RJ 2-1 (1-2 ATS)

    SEATTLE 23, CHICAGO 17 (IN OT) – RJ 2-2 (1-3 ATS)

    RAMS 16, SF 13 (IN OT) – RJ 2-3 (1-4 ATS)

    NE 23, MIAMI 16 – RJ 3-3 (1-4-1 ATS)

    JETS 7, ARIZONA 6 – RJ 4-3 (1-5-1 ATS)

    GB 23, VIKINGS 14 – RJ 5-3 (1-6-1 ATS)

    HOUSTON 24, TITANS 10 – RJ 6-3 (2-6-1 ATS)

    KC 27, PANTHERS 21 – RJ 6-4 (2-7-1 ATS)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORES:

    DENVER 31, TB 23 – RJ 7-4 (2-8-1 ATS)

    BROWNS 20, OAKLAND 17 – RJ 8-4 (3-8-1 ATS…AND I NAILED THE SPREAD)

    BENGALS 20, SD 13 – RJ 9-4 (4-8-1 ATS)

    STEELERS 23, RAVENS 20 – RJ 9-5 (4-9-1 ATS)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORE:

    DALLAS 38, EAGLES 33 – RJ 10-5 (5-9-1 ATS)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    Washington 17, Giants 16 – RJ 10-6 (5-10-1 ATS)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    RJ through 13 weeks:

    123-69 straight up

    90-94-8 against the spread

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s experts in Week 13:

    Allen 9-7 Golic 8-8 Hoge 11-5 Jaworski 11-5 Mortensen 12-4 Schefter 10-6 Schlereth 9-7 Wickersham 9-7 Jackson 10-6 Johnson 11-5 Ditka 11-5 Carter 11-5 Accuscore 8-8 Pick ‘em 10-6

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s experts through 13 weeks:

    Allen
    112-80
    Golic
    121-71
    Hoge
    126-66
    Jaworski
    127-65
    Mortensen
    136-56
    Schefter
    120-72
    Schlereth
    121-71
    Wickersham
    135-57
    Jackson
    118-74
    Johnson
    115-77
    Ditka
    119-73
    Carter
    126-66
    Accuscore
    121-71
    Pick ‘em
    124-67