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RJ’s NFL Picks, 2011 Edition: Week 15

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I went 13-3 last week straight-up, and 8-8 against the spread. For the season, that puts me at 140-68 straight-up, and 106-96-6 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.

Here are my picks for the NFL’s Week 15 games:

*THURSDAY, DECEMBER 15TH*

Jacksonville 4-9 at Atlanta 8-5 8:20 p.m. [Line: Atlanta by 11]

The Jaguars are ranked dead last in the league in total yards of offense. The Falcons are 2-1 against the AFC South this year.

–RJ’s Pick: Atlanta by 7

*SATURDAY, DECEMBER 17TH*

Dallas 7-6 at Tampa Bay 4-9 8:20 p.m. [Line: Dallas by 6.5]

The Cowboys have lost two heart-breakers in a row. The Buccaneers have dropped seven straight.

–RJ’s Pick: Dallas by 13

*SUNDAY, DECEMBER 18TH*

Carolina 4-9 at Houston 10-3 1:00 p.m. [Line: Houston by 6.5]

The Panthers are giving up more than 27 points a game this season. The Texans clinched their first ever playoff berth by winning in Cincinnati last week, their seventh consecutive victory.

–RJ’s Pick: Houston by 3

Washington 4-9 at New York Giants 7-6 1:00 p.m. [Line: Giants by 7]

The Redskins are 1-3 against divisional rivals so far this season. The Giants are the only team in the NFC with both a winning record and a negative point differential.

–RJ’s Pick: Giants by 3

Miami 4-9 at Buffalo 5-8 1:00 p.m. [Line: Buffalo by 1]

The Dolphins fired head coach Tony Sparano earlier this week, replacing him on an interim basis with secondary coach Todd Bowles. The Bills have dropped six straight after a promising 5-2 start.

–RJ’s Pick: Miami by 5

Seattle 6-7 at Chicago 7-6 1:00 p.m. [Line: Chicago by 3.5]

The Seahawks have won four of their last five. The Bears have lost three in a row, and have scored just one touchdown in their last two games.

–RJ’s Pick: Seattle by 4

New Orleans 10-3 at Minnesota 2-11 1:00 p.m. [Line: Saints by 7]

The Saints have won five straight. The Vikings have lost five in a row.

–RJ’s Pick: Saints by 20

Cincinnati 7-6 at St. Louis 2-11 1:00 p.m. [Line: Bengals by 6]

The Bengals have lost four of their last five games after starting the year 6-2. The Rams are averaging fewer than 12 points per game, worst in the NFL.

–RJ’s Pick: Bengals by 12

Tennessee 7-6 at Indianapolis 0-13 1:00 p.m. [Line: Titans by 6.5]

Titans QB Matt Hasselbeck may not be able to play due to a calf injury, meaning rookie quarterback Jake Locker could get his first career start this week. The winless Colts have a point differential of minus-198, worst in the league.

–RJ’s Pick: Titans by 14

Green Bay 13-0 at Kansas City 5-8 1:00 p.m. [Line: Packers by 14]

The undefeated Packers are scoring almost 36 points per game, tops in the NFL. The Chiefs fired head coach Todd Haley earlier this week, replacing him with defensive coordinator Romeo Crennel on an interim basis.

–RJ’s Pick: Packers by 28

Detroit 8-5 at Oakland 7-6 4:05 p.m. [Line: Detroit by 1]

The Lions are 2-0 against the AFC West so far this season, having beaten the Broncos and the Chiefs by a combined score of 93-13. The Raiders have allowed a total of 80 points in their last two games, both blowout losses.

–RJ’s Pick: Detroit by 15

New England 10-3 at Denver 8-5 4:15 p.m. [Line: Patriots by 6]

The Patriots have the AFC’s top scoring offense by a wide margin. The Broncos have won six in a row by margins of 14 points, 7 points, 4 points, 3 points (in OT), 3 points, and 3 points again (in OT, again).

–RJ’s Pick: Denver by 3

New York Jets 8-5 at Philadelphia 5-8 4:15 p.m. [Line: Eagles by 2.5]

The Jets have won their last three games, scoring 28 points, 34 points, and 37 points during the streak. The Eagles are just 1-5 at home this season.

–RJ’s Pick: Jets by 9

Cleveland 4-9 at Arizona 6-7 4:15 p.m. [Line: Arizona by 7]

The Browns are allowing more than 150 rushing yards per game, second worst in the league. The Cardinals have won five of their last six games, with winning margins of 6, 4, 3, 6, and 2 during that stretch.

–RJ’s Pick: Arizona by 1

Baltimore 10-3 at San Diego 6-7 8:20 p.m. [Line: Ravens by 2.5]

The Ravens are just 3-3 on the road this season. Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers is having a disappointing season, but his passer ratings in the last two games were 146.1 and 123.3, both victories.

–RJ’s Pick: San Diego by 6

*MONDAY, DECEMBER 19TH*

Pittsburgh 10-3 at San Francisco 10-3 8:30 p.m. [Line: San Francisco by 1]

Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has a sprained ankle, but is expected to play; linebacker James Harrison will miss this MNF matchup due to a one game suspension. The 49ers are allowing just 14 points per game, fewest in the NFL.

–RJ’s Pick: Steelers by 5

(If you’re interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan’s Odds here.)

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About RJ

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    UPDATED LINE:

    Atlanta by 13.5 over Jacksonville.

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    RJ’s Pick: Atlanta by 9 over Jacksonville.

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    Atlanta 41, Jaguars 14 – RJ 1-0 [0-1 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    UPDATED LINES:

    Dallas by 7 over TB
    Houston by 6 over Carolina
    Giants by 6.5 over Redskins
    Bengals by 6.5 over Rams
    GB by 13.5 over KC
    NE by 7.5 over Denver
    SF by 2.5 over Steelers

    None of my picks change. Just a helpful update. :)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final score:

    Dallas 31, TB 15 – RJ 2-0 [1-1 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Scores:

    Miami 30, Bills 23 – RJ 3-0 [2-1 ATS]

    Carolina 28, Houston 3 – RJ 3-1 [3-1 ATS]

    Redskins 23, Giants 10 – RJ 3-2 [4-1 ATS]

    Seattle 38, Chicago 14 – RJ 4-2 [5-1 ATS]

    NO 42, Vikings 20 – RJ 5-2 [6-1 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Scores:

    Bengals 20, Rams 13 – RJ 6-2 [7-1 ATS]

    Colts 27, Titans 13 – RJ 6-3 [7-2 ATS]

    KC 19, GB 14 – RJ 6-4 [7-3 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Scores:

    Lions 28, Oakland 27 – RJ 7-4 [7-3-1 ATS]

    NE 41, Denver 23 – RJ 7-5 [7-4-1 ATS]

    Eagles 45, Jets 19 – RJ 7-6 [7-5-1 ATS]

    Arizona 20, Browns 17 (in OT) – RJ 8-6 [8-5-1 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    SD 34, Ravens 14 – RJ 9-6 [9-5-1 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    SF 20, Steelers 3 – RJ 9-7 [9-6-1 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” in Week 15:

    Allen
    8-8
    Golic
    9-7
    Hoge
    7-9
    Jaworski
    8-7
    Mortensen
    8-8
    Schefter
    11-5
    Schlereth
    6-10
    Wickersham
    10-6
    Accuscore
    7-9
    Pick ‘em
    7-9

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” through 15 weeks:

    Allen
    143-79
    Golic
    144-80
    Hoge
    141-82
    Jaworski
    137-72
    Mortensen
    136-88
    Schefter
    140-84
    Schlereth
    146-78
    Wickersham
    148-76
    Accuscore
    150-74
    Pick ‘em
    150-74

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    RJ through 15 weeks:

    149-75 straight-up

    115-102-7 against the spread

  • rdodson

    my picks for week 16
    Denver -2.5
    N.E. -10.5
    Cleveland +14.5
    Tennessee -8.5
    K.C. -1.5
    Giants +3.5
    Minnesota +6.5
    Carolina -7.5
    Arizona +4.5
    St Louis +14.5
    S.D. +3.5
    Philly +2.5
    S.F. -2.5
    G.B. -13.5
    N.O. -7.5
    Let me know what you thing

  • RJ

    rdodson:

    I think you missed a game…

  • rdodson

    Thursday doesn’t count on my card

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    My picks for the NFL’s Week 16 are up!