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RJ’s NFL Picks, 2011 Edition: Week 14

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I went 11-5 last week straight-up, and 7-9 against the spread. For the season, that puts me at 127-65 straight-up, and 98-88-6 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.

Here are my picks for the NFL’s Week 14 games:

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 8

Cleveland 4-8 at Pittsburgh 9-3 – 8:20 p.m. [Line: Steelers by 14]

This should be a low-scoring and relatively close game.

–RJ’s Pick: Steelers by 7

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 11

Kansas City 5-7 at New York Jets 7-5 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Jets by 9]

A Kansas City victory would not really surprise me.

–RJ’s Pick: Jets by 4

Tampa Bay 4-8 at Jacksonville 3-9 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Buccaneers by 1]

This game is almost unwatchable, the teams are so bad.

–RJ’s Pick: Buccaneers by 6

New England 9-3 at Washington 4-8 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Patriots by 7.5]

New England should score 35-plus points against yet another sub-.500 team.

–RJ’s Pick: Patriots by 20

Atlanta 7-5 at Carolina 4-8 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Falcons by 3]

This match will be high-scoring and somewhat competitive, but the better team will win.

–RJ’s Pick: Falcons by 8

Indianapolis 0-12 at Baltimore 9-3 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Ravens by 16]

It will be the biggest mismatch of the week, although Dan Orlovsky is a considerably better quarterback than Curtis Painter, so Indianapolis might manage to score a touchdown or two—last week against the Patriots, it scored three late TDs to make it close but still lost 31-24.

–RJ’s Pick: Ravens by 21

Philadelphia 4-8 at Miami 4-8 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Dolphins by 3]

Miami has won four of its last five.

–RJ’s Pick: Dolphins by 9

Minnesota 2-10 at Detroit 7-5 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Lions by 7]

Detroit would have to play even dumber than usual to lose at Ford Field to Minnesota.

–RJ’s Pick: Lions by 13

New Orleans 9-3 at Tennessee 7-5 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Saints by 4]

Chris Johnson has been great the last two weeks, but no one can keep up with New Orleans right now.

–RJ’s Pick: Saints by 10

Houston 9-3 at Cincinnati 7-5 – 1:00 p.m. [Line: Bengals by 3]

This is the second-best matchup of the week.

–RJ’s Pick: Texans by 2

Chicago 7-5 at Denver 7-5 – 4:05 p.m. [Line: Broncos by 3.5]

Matt Forte’s injury and Caleb Hanie’s poor play likely dooms Chicago to a .500 season and no Wild Card berth.

–RJ’s Pick: Broncos by 12

San Francisco 10-2 at Arizona 5-7 – 4:05 p.m. [Line: 49ers by 4]

I don’t foresee a lot of scoring here, but I don’t think it will be particularly close either.

–RJ’s Pick: 49ers by 11

Buffalo 5-7 at San Diego 5-7 – 4:15 p.m. [Line: Chargers by 6.5]

These are two teams that wasted great starts and now have the slimmest of postseason hopes.

–RJ’s Pick: Chargers by 14

Oakland 7-5 at Green Bay 12-0 – 4:15 p.m. [Line: Packers by 11]

The NFL’s lone undefeated team shall remain that way for at least another week.

–RJ’s Pick: Packers by 16

New York Giants 6-6 at Dallas 7-5 – 8:20 p.m. [Line: Cowboys by 3.5]

Dallas could take control of the NFC East with a win here at home … but it won’t.

–RJ’s Pick: Giants by 3

MONDAY, DECEMBER 12

St. Louis 2-10 at Seattle 5-7 – 8:30 p.m. [Line: Seahawks by 6.5]

The only team even close to being as bad as Indianapolis, playing on the road in a notoriously loud stadium against a team that has won three of its last four, is a recipe for a blowout.

–RJ’s Pick: Seahawks by 15

(If you’re interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan’s Odds here.)

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About RJ

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    Steelers 14, Browns 3 – RJ 1-0 [1-0 ATS]

  • C2E

    10-6 last week straight up, 130-62 overall.

    This week we differ on:

    Falcons-Panthers: I’m going to try backing CN this week. He got 39 fantasy points last week. Not sure what that means in Real Life, but I’m hoping he’s fantasytastic this weekend!

    Bills-Chargers: Don’t really care for either team, but I’ll try smart over pretty this week.

    Giants-Cowboys: I live in Texas. Julie adores her Cowboys. I figure somebody will convince Romo that it’s still November (how hard could that be, really) so they’ll at least have a chance…

    Good luck!

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Scores:

    Jets 37, KC 10 – RJ 2-0 [1-1 ATS]

    Jaguars 41, TB 14 – RJ 2-1 [1-2 ATS]

    NE 34, Redskins 27 – RJ 3-1 [1-3 ATS]

    Falcons 31, Panthers 23 – RJ 4-1 [2-3 ATS] (and I nailed the spread!)

    Ravens 24, Colts 10 – RJ 5-1 [2-4 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Scores:

    Lions 34, Minnesota 28 – RJ 6-1 [2-5 ATS]

    Saints 22, Titans 17 – RJ 7-1 [3-5 ATS]

    Houston 20, Bengals 19 – RJ 8-1 [4-5 ATS]

    Eagles 26, Dolphins 10 – RJ 8-2 [4-6 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Scores:

    Denver 13, Bears 10 (in OT) – RJ 9-2 [4-7 ATS]

    Arizona 21, San Francisco 19 – RJ 9-3 [4-8 ATS]

    SD 37, Bills 10 – RJ 10-3 [5-8 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    GB 46, Oakland 16 – RJ 11-3 [6-8 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    Giants 37, Dallas 34 – RJ 12-3 [7-8 ATS] (and I nailed the spread!)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    Seahawks 30, Rams 13 – RJ 13-3 [8-8 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” in Week 14:

    Allen
    10-5
    Golic
    11-5
    Hoge
    11-5
    Jaworski
    10-5
    Mortensen
    12-4
    Schefter
    12-4
    Schlereth
    12-4
    Wickersham
    13-3
    Accuscore
    10-6
    Pick ‘em
    12-4

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” through 14 weeks:

    Allen
    135-71
    Golic
    135-73
    Hoge
    134-73
    Jaworski
    129-65
    Mortensen
    128-80
    Schefter
    129-79
    Schlereth
    140-68
    Wickersham
    138-70
    Accuscore
    143-65
    Pick ‘em
    143-65

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    RJ through 14 weeks:

    140-68 straight-up

    106-96-6 against the spread