I went 14-2 last week straight-up, and 11-5 against the spread. For the season, that puts me at 116-60 straight-up, and 91-79-6 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.
Here are my picks for the NFL’s Week 13 games:
*THURSDAY, DECEMBER 1*
Philadelphia 4-7 at Seattle 4-7 – 8:20 P.M. [Line: Eagles by 2.5]
The Seahawks looked to be on the way to their third consecutive victory last week before imploding in the fourth quarter against the Redskins. Meanwhile, Eagles offensive coordinator Marty Mornhinweg and defensive line coach Jim Washburn got into a physical altercation on the sideline last week during their team’s blowout loss to the Patriots.
–RJ’s Pick: Seattle by 4
*SUNDAY, DECEMBER 4*
Carolina 3-8 at Tampa Bay 4-7 – 1:00 P.M. [Line: Buccaneers by 3.5]
The Buccaneers have dropped five straight. The Panthers held an opponent under 20 points for the first time since Week Three in their 27-19 win over the Colts last Sunday.
–RJ’s Pick: Carolina by 3
Cincinnati 7-4 at Pittsburgh 8-3 – 1:00 P.M. [Line: Steelers by 7]
The Steelers beat the Bengals in Cincinnati 24-17 back in Week 10.
–RJ’s Pick: Pittsburgh by 2
Atlanta 7-4 at Houston 8-3 – 1:00 P.M. [Line: Falcons by 2.5]
The Falcons have not lost a game in regulation since losing to the undefeated Packers in Week Five. The Texans will start rookie quarterback T.J. Yates this week, who replaces the injured Matt Leinart.
–RJ’s Pick: Atlanta by 9
New York Jets 6-5 at Washington 4-7 – 1:00 P.M. [Line: Jets by 3]
The Jets are 1-4 on the road this season. Redskins rookie RB Roy Helu is averaging 4.8 yards per carry.
–RJ’s Pick: Washington by 5
Indianapolis 0-11 at New England 8-3 – 1:00 P.M. [Line: Patriots by 20.5]
The winless Colts will start Dan Orlovsky under center this week, replacing the ineffective Curtis Painter. The Patriots have won three in a row, and they have allowed just 39 total points in those three victories.
–RJ’s Pick: New England by 35
Oakland 7-4 at Miami 3-8 – 1:00 P.M. [Line: Dolphins by 2.5]
The Raiders have won three straight games, and are 4-1 on the road this season. Dolphins QB Matt Moore has thrown just one interception in his last four games, while tossing seven touchdown passes.
–RJ’s Pick: Miami by 7
Denver 6-5 at Minnesota 2-9 – 1:00 P.M. [Line: Vikings by 1]
The Broncos are the only team in the league that averages more rushing yards per game than passing yards. The Vikings have lost three in a row.
–RJ’s Pick: Denver by 8
Tennessee 6-5 at Buffalo 5-6 – 1:00 P.M. [Line: Bills by 1.5]
Titans RB Chris Johnson ran for 190 yards last week against the Buccaneers. The Bills have dropped four straight.
–RJ’s Pick: Tennessee by 6
Kansas City 4-7 at Chicago 7-4 – 1:00 P.M. [Line: Bears by 8]
The Chiefs will likely play new addition Kyle Orton at QB, although it’s possible Tyler Palko and his 47.5 passer rating will get another start. The Bears are 5-1 at home this season.
–RJ’s Pick: Chicago by 1
Baltimore 8-3 at Cleveland 4-7 – 4:05 P.M. [Line: Ravens by 6.5]
The Browns have scored just 16 touchdowns all season, only three of which were rushing TDs. The Ravens have the NFL’s third ranked defense.
–RJ’s Pick: Baltimore by 13
Dallas 7-4 at Arizona 4-7 – 4:15 P.M. [Line: Cowboys by 4.5]
The Cowboys are the hottest team in the NFC right now (not counting the unbeaten Packers, of course). Cardinals running back Beanie Wells rushed for 228 yards last week.
–RJ’s Pick: Dallas by 10
Green Bay 11-0 at New York Giants 6-5 – 4:15 P.M. [Line: Packers by 7]
The Packers, who are still perfect going into Week 13, have a point differential of +155, by far the best in the league. The Giants have lost three in a row.
–RJ’s Pick: Green Bay by 18
St. Louis 2-9 at San Francisco 9-2 – 4:15 P.M. [Line: 49ers by 13]
The 49ers have allowed just 161 points in 11 games, fewest in the NFL. The Rams have scored just 140 points in 11 games, fewest in the NFC.
–RJ’s Pick: San Francisco by 9
Detroit 7-4 at New Orleans 8-3 – 8:20 P.M. [Line: Saints by 9]
The Lions have dropped four of their last six, and star DT Ndamukong Suh has just been suspended for two games. The Saints are 5-0 at home, and have the league’s top rated passing attack.
–RJ’s Pick: Detroit by 3
*MONDAY, DECEMBER 5*
San Diego 4-7 at Jacksonville 3-8 – 8:30 P.M. [Line: Chargers by 2.5]
The Chargers have lost six straight, the longest current losing streak in the NFL (not counting the winless Colts, of course). Longtime Jaguars head coach Jack Del Rio was just fired; defensive coordinator Mel Tucker has been named the team’s interim head coach.
–RJ’s Pick: San Diego by 1
(If you’re interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan’s Odds here.)