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RJ’s NFL Picks, 2011 Edition: Week Nine

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I went 9-4 last week straight-up, and 6-6-1 against the spread. For the season, that puts me at 76-40 straight-up, and 57-54-5 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.

Here are my picks for the NFL’s games for week nine:

SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 6

Miami 0-7 at Kansas City 4-3 1:00 PM [Line: Kansas City by 4]

The Dolphins blew a 4th quarter lead last week against the Giants to remain winless. The Chiefs beat the Chargers in overtime last week for their fourth win in a row.

-RJ’s Pick: Kansas City by 10

Atlanta 4-3 at Indianapolis 0-8 1:00 PM [Line: Atlanta by 7]

The Falcons have won two straight. The winless Colts have a -131 point differential, worst in the NFL.

-RJ’s Pick: Atlanta by 14

Tampa Bay 4-3 at New Orleans 5-3 1:00 PM [Line: New Orleans by 9]

The Buccaneers have scored just 131 points this season, second fewest in the league among teams with a winning record. The Saints have scored 260 points so far this season, by far the most in the NFL.

-RJ’s Pick: New Orleans by 3

New York Jets 4-3 at Buffalo 5-2 1:00 PM [Line: Buffalo by 1.5]

The Bills are undefeated at home. The Jets are 0-3 on the road.

-RJ’s Pick: Buffalo by 6

Seattle 2-5 at Dallas 3-4 1:00 PM [Line: Dallas by 11.5]

The Seahawks have the second worst offense in the league in terms of yards per game. Cowboys QB Tony Romo has an 89.7 passer rating, which means he is on pace to have the worst season of his professional career.

-RJ’s Pick: Dallas by 4

Cleveland 3-4 at Houston 5-3 1:00 PM [Line: Houston by 10.5]

The Browns have scored just 11 touchdowns this season. The Texans have scored the second most points in the AFC.

-RJ’s Pick: Houston by 17

San Francisco 6-1 at Washington 3-4 1:00 PM [Line: San Francisco by 3.5]

The 49ers have won five in a row. The Redskins have dropped three straight.

-RJ’s Pick: San Francisco by 8

Cincinnati 5-2 at Tennessee 4-3 4:05 PM [Line: Tennessee by 3]

The Bengals have the league’s fourth ranked defense. The Titans are averaging just 68.9 rushing yards per game, worst in the NFL.

-RJ’s Pick: Cincinnati by 1

Denver 2-5 at Oakland 4-3 4:05 PM [Line: Oakland by 7.5]

Broncos QB Tim Tebow threw an interception, lost a fumble, and completed just 46% of his passes last week against the Lions. The Raiders have the NFL’s second best rushing attack.

-RJ’s Pick: Oakland by 13

New York Giants 5-2 at New England 5-2 4:15 PM [Line: New England by 9.5]

The Giants are in first place in the NFC East with a two-game cushion. The Patriots are 3-0 at home this season.

-RJ’s Pick: New England by 4

St. Louis 1-6 at Arizona 1-6 4:15 PM [Line: Arizona by 2]

Cardinals RB Beanie Wells has gained 506 yards on the ground despite not playing in Week Three. The Rams have by far the worst point differential in the NFC, at -105.

-RJ’s Pick: Arizona by 9

Green Bay 7-0 at San Diego 4-3 4:15 PM [Line: Green Bay by 5.5]

The Packers are scoring more points per game than any other team in the NFL. The Chargers have not won a game since Week Five.

-RJ’s Pick: Green Bay by 2

Baltimore 5-2 at Pittsburgh 6-2 8:20 PM [Line: Pittsburgh by 3]

Ravens QB Joe Flacco has earned passer ratings of 37.4, 78.5, 61.0, and 72.0 in his last four games. The Steelers have won four straight and are undefeated at home.

-RJ’s Pick: Pittsburgh by 11

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 7

Chicago 4-3 at Philadelphia 3-4 8:30 PM [Line: Philadelphia by 7.5]

The Eagles have the league’s top offense in terms of yards per game. Bears RB Matt Forte has rushed for at least 87 yards in each of his last four games.

About RJ

  • Charlie Doherty

    Note to readers: These random automatic “skimlinks” that got placed and hyperlinked on Tim Tebow and Joe Flacco’s names (and maybe others) are out of Blogcritics’ control and not the product of the author, so please excuse those useless links.

  • C2E

    I’m 77-39 on the season, and this week picked the same as you (but with perhaps a bit less humor).

    The Saints debacle last week cost me my shot at $4500 in a Survivor pool.

    And, in the de facto BCS Championship game, I like Alabama.

  • http://CapturedTech.com Steve

    You aren’t giving Dallas too many points over Seattle. The official spread is much more generous. Is this the belief that Seattle will play better this weekend or that Romo will play poorly?

  • dv

    Miami, Tennessee, San Diego, Ravens SU..
    Cleveland, Pats ATS..

  • RJ

    Final Score:

    Houston 30, Cleveland 12 – RJ 1-0 [1-0 ATS]

  • RJ

    Final Score:

    Atlanta 31, Colts 7 – RJ 2-0 [2-0 ATS]

  • RJ

    Final Score:

    Dallas 23, Seattle 13 – RJ 3-0 [3-0 ATS]

  • RJ

    Final Score:

    Miami 31, KC 3 – RJ 3-1 [3-1 ATS]

  • RJ

    Final Score:

    Jets 27, Bills 11 – RJ 3-2 [3-2 ATS]

  • RJ

    Final Score:

    SF 19, Redskins 11 – RJ 4-2 [4-2 ATS] (and I nailed the spread)

  • RJ

    Final Score:

    NO 27, TB 16 – RJ 5-2 [4-3 ATS]

  • RJ

    Final Scores:

    Bengals 24, Titans 17 – RJ 6-2 [5-3 ATS]

    Denver 38, Oakland 24 – RJ 6-3 [5-4 ATS]

    Giants 24, NE 20 – RJ 6-4 [6-4 ATS]

  • RJ

    Final Scores:

    Arizona 19, Rams 13 (in OT) – RJ 7-4 [7-4 ATS]

    GB 45, SD 38 – RJ 8-4 [7-5 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    Ravens 23, Steelers 20 – RJ 8-5 [7-6 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Score:

    Bears 30, Eagles 24 – RJ 8-6 [8-6 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    RJ through nine weeks:

    84-46 straight-up

    65-60-5 against the spread

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” in Week 9:

    Allen
    9-5
    Golic
    8-6
    Hoge
    7-7
    Jaworski
    8-5
    Mortensen
    7-7
    Schefter
    5-9
    Schlereth
    8-6
    Wickersham
    6-8
    Accuscore
    8-6
    Pick ‘em
    8-6

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” through nine weeks:

    Allen
    86-44
    Golic
    90-40
    Hoge
    86-44
    Jaworski
    86-35
    Mortensen
    77-53
    Schefter
    82-48
    Schlereth
    86-44
    Wickersham
    84-46
    Accuscore
    91-39
    Pick ‘em
    89-41

  • Costello

    Any update on the thousands killed in Syria or are you unable to find a way to blame Obama?

  • http://blogcritics.org/writers/dr-dreadful/ Dr Dreadful

    I’m just waiting for him to find a way to blame Obama for the Colts’ recent form.