I went 9-4 last week straight-up, and 6-6-1 against the spread. For the season, that puts me at 76-40 straight-up, and 57-54-5 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.
Here are my picks for the NFL’s games for week nine:
SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 6
Miami 0-7 at Kansas City 4-3 1:00 PM [Line: Kansas City by 4]
The Dolphins blew a 4th quarter lead last week against the Giants to remain winless. The Chiefs beat the Chargers in overtime last week for their fourth win in a row.
-RJ’s Pick: Kansas City by 10
Atlanta 4-3 at Indianapolis 0-8 1:00 PM [Line: Atlanta by 7]
The Falcons have won two straight. The winless Colts have a -131 point differential, worst in the NFL.
-RJ’s Pick: Atlanta by 14
Tampa Bay 4-3 at New Orleans 5-3 1:00 PM [Line: New Orleans by 9]
The Buccaneers have scored just 131 points this season, second fewest in the league among teams with a winning record. The Saints have scored 260 points so far this season, by far the most in the NFL.
-RJ’s Pick: New Orleans by 3
New York Jets 4-3 at Buffalo 5-2 1:00 PM [Line: Buffalo by 1.5]
The Bills are undefeated at home. The Jets are 0-3 on the road.
-RJ’s Pick: Buffalo by 6
Seattle 2-5 at Dallas 3-4 1:00 PM [Line: Dallas by 11.5]
The Seahawks have the second worst offense in the league in terms of yards per game. Cowboys QB Tony Romo has an 89.7 passer rating, which means he is on pace to have the worst season of his professional career.
-RJ’s Pick: Dallas by 4
Cleveland 3-4 at Houston 5-3 1:00 PM [Line: Houston by 10.5]
The Browns have scored just 11 touchdowns this season. The Texans have scored the second most points in the AFC.
-RJ’s Pick: Houston by 17
San Francisco 6-1 at Washington 3-4 1:00 PM [Line: San Francisco by 3.5]
The 49ers have won five in a row. The Redskins have dropped three straight.
-RJ’s Pick: San Francisco by 8
Cincinnati 5-2 at Tennessee 4-3 4:05 PM [Line: Tennessee by 3]
The Bengals have the league’s fourth ranked defense. The Titans are averaging just 68.9 rushing yards per game, worst in the NFL.
-RJ’s Pick: Cincinnati by 1
Denver 2-5 at Oakland 4-3 4:05 PM [Line: Oakland by 7.5]
Broncos QB Tim Tebow threw an interception, lost a fumble, and completed just 46% of his passes last week against the Lions. The Raiders have the NFL’s second best rushing attack.
-RJ’s Pick: Oakland by 13
New York Giants 5-2 at New England 5-2 4:15 PM [Line: New England by 9.5]
The Giants are in first place in the NFC East with a two-game cushion. The Patriots are 3-0 at home this season.
-RJ’s Pick: New England by 4
St. Louis 1-6 at Arizona 1-6 4:15 PM [Line: Arizona by 2]
Cardinals RB Beanie Wells has gained 506 yards on the ground despite not playing in Week Three. The Rams have by far the worst point differential in the NFC, at -105.
-RJ’s Pick: Arizona by 9
Green Bay 7-0 at San Diego 4-3 4:15 PM [Line: Green Bay by 5.5]
The Packers are scoring more points per game than any other team in the NFL. The Chargers have not won a game since Week Five.
-RJ’s Pick: Green Bay by 2
Baltimore 5-2 at Pittsburgh 6-2 8:20 PM [Line: Pittsburgh by 3]
Ravens QB Joe Flacco has earned passer ratings of 37.4, 78.5, 61.0, and 72.0 in his last four games. The Steelers have won four straight and are undefeated at home.
-RJ’s Pick: Pittsburgh by 11
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 7
Chicago 4-3 at Philadelphia 3-4 8:30 PM [Line: Philadelphia by 7.5]
The Eagles have the league’s top offense in terms of yards per game. Bears RB Matt Forte has rushed for at least 87 yards in each of his last four games.
-RJ’s Pick: Eagles by 3
[Bye Week: Detroit 6-2, Minnesota 2-6, Carolina 2-6, and Jacksonville 2-6]
(If you’re interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan’s Odds here.)