I went 8-8 last week straight-up, and 8-8 against the spread as well. For the season, that puts me at 31-17 straight-up, and 24-21-3 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.
Here are my picks for the NFL’s Week Four:
Sunday, October 2nd
Detroit 3-0 at Dallas 2-1 - 1:00 PM [Line: Cowboys by 1]
The Lions have scored the second most points in the NFC. The Cowboys won without scoring a touchdown last week against Washington.
RJ’s Pick: Detroit by 3
Carolina 1-2 at Chicago 1-2 – 1:00 PM [Line: Bears by 6.5]
The Panthers got their first win of the season last week against Jacksonville. The Bears lost at home to Green Bay last week, 27-17.
RJ’s Pick: Chicago by 10
Buffalo 3-0 at Cincinnati 1-2 – 1:00 PM [Line: Bills by 3]
The Bills shocked New England last week, 34-31. The Bengals are the only team in the AFC North with a losing record.
RJ’s Pick: Buffalo by 8
Tennessee 2-1 at Cleveland 2-1 – 1:00 PM [Line: Pick 'em]
The Titans have allowed the second fewest points in the NFL. The Browns narrowly beat Miami last week, 17-16.
RJ’s Pick: Tennessee by 9
Minnesota 0-3 at Kansas City 0-3 – 1:00 PM [Line: Vikings by 1.5]
The Vikings blew a double-digit halftime lead for the third straight week last Sunday, eventually falling to Detroit in overtime. The Chiefs have scored just 27 points through three games, fewest in the league.
RJ’s Pick: Minnesota by 5
Washington 2-1 at St. Louis 0-3 – 1:00 PM [Line: Redskins by 1.5]
The Redskins suffered their first defeat of the season last week, losing to division rival Dallas on MNF. The Rams have the worst point differential in the NFC.
RJ’s Pick: Washington by 6
New Orleans 2-1 at Jacksonville 1-2 – 1:00 PM [Line: Saints by 6.5]
The Saints have the second best passing offense in the league. The Jaguars have the least productive passing offense in the NFL.
RJ’s Pick: New Orleans by 11
Pittsburgh 2-1 at Houston 2-1 – 1:00 PM [Line: Texans by 4]
Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger has more INTs than TDs through three games; he has also lost four fumbles. The Texans allowed 40 points last week; they had given up just 20 total points through their first two games.
RJ’s Pick: Houston by 1
San Francisco 2-1 at Philadelphia 1-2 – 1:00 PM [Line: Eagles by 9]
The 49ers are in first place in the weak NFC West (combined record so far: 4-8). The Eagles are in last place in the tough NFC East (combined record: 7-5).
RJ’s Pick: Philadelphia by 2
New York Giants 2-1 at Arizona 1-2 – 4:05 PM [Line: Giants by 1]
Giants QB Eli Manning has a passer rating of 104.3 through three games. The Cardinals lost at Seattle last week, 13-10.
RJ’s Pick: New York Giants by 7
Atlanta 1-2 at Seattle 1-2 - 4:05 PM [Line: Falcons by 4]
Falcons RB Michael Turner is averaging 5.6 yards per carry so far this season. The Seahawks have scored just three touchdowns in 12 quarters of football.
RJ’s Pick: Atlanta by 13
Miami 0-3 at San Diego 2-1 – 4:15 PM [Line: Chargers by 7]
The winless Dolphins are the only team in the AFC East with a losing record or a negative point differential. Chargers QB Philip Rivers has thrown six interceptions already this year.
RJ’s Pick: San Diego by 15
New England 2-1 at Oakland 2-1 – 4:15 PM [Line: Patriots by 4]
The Patriots have the NFL’s best offense in terms of total yards per game. The Raiders have the NFL’s top rushing offense.
RJ’s Pick: New England by 9
Denver 1-2 at Green Bay 3-0 – 4:15 PM [Line: Packers by 12]
The Broncos lost to Tennessee last week, 17-14. Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has an incredible passer rating of 120.9 coming in to Week Four.
RJ’s Pick: Green Bay by 20
New York Jets 2-1 at Baltimore 2-1 – 8:20 PM [Line: Ravens by 3.5]
The Jets lost to Oakland last week, 34-24. The Ravens have the best point differential in the AFC.
RJ’s Pick: Baltimore by 8
Monday, October 3rd
Indianapolis 0-3 at Tampa Bay 2-1 – 8:30 PM [Line: Buccaneers by 10]
The Colts lost a close one to Pittsburgh last week, 23-20. The Buccaneers edged Atlanta in Week Three, 16-13.
RJ’s Pick: Tampa Bay by 4