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RJ’s 2011 NFL Picks: Week Seven

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I went 9-4 last week straight-up, but just 3-9-1 against the spread. For the season, that puts me at 61-29 straight-up, and 46-40-4 against the spread. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.

Here are my picks for the NFL’s Week Seven:

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 23

San Diego (4-1) at New York Jets (3-3) 1:00 PM [Line: Chargers by 1]

The Chargers have won three in a row. The Jets beat Miami last week to end a three-game losing streak. They are 3-0 at home this season.

RJ’s Pick: New York Jets by 4

Chicago (3-3) at Tampa Bay (4-2) 1:00 PM [Line: Bears by 1]

The Bears are winless on the road this year. The Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South after beating New Orleans last week.

RJ’s Pick: Tampa Bay by 3

Washington (3-2) at Carolina (1-5) 1:00 PM [Line: Panthers by 1]

John Beck will start under center for the Redskins this week. The Panthers have allowed at least 28 points in five of their six games this season.

RJ’s Pick: Washington by 7

Atlanta (3-3) at Detroit (5-1) 1:00 PM [Line: Lions by 3.5]

Falcons QB Matt Ryan has been sacked just twice in his last three games. He was sacked a total of 13 times in the first three games of the season. The Lions have some serious concerns at running back. Jahvid Best suffered a concussion last week, his second of the year, while Jerome Harrison was found to have a brain tumor, which voided a trade that would have sent him to Philadelphia in exchange for former Pro Bowl RB Ronnie Brown.

RJ’s Pick: Detroit by 8

Seattle (2-3) at Cleveland (2-3) 1:00 PM [Line: Browns by 2.5]

The Seahawks shocked the Giants at MetLife Stadium last week, 36-25. The Browns have scored more than 17 points in a game only once this season, in Week Two.

RJ’s Pick: Seattle by 5

Denver (1-4) at Miami (0-5) 1:00 PM [Line: Dolphins by 1]

Tim Tebow will start at quarterback this week for the Broncos, fulfilling God’s divine destiny. (I kid.) The winless Dolphins have lost six straight home games dating back to last season.

RJ’s Pick: Denver by 9

Houston (3-3) at Tennessee (3-2) 1:00 PM [Line: Titans by 3.5]

The Texans have dropped two in a row. The Titans have allowed just 94 points, second fewest in the AFC and third fewest in the NFL.

RJ’s Pick: Tennessee by 1

Kansas City (2-3) at Oakland (4-2) 4:05 PM [Line: Raiders by 4.5]

The Chiefs have won two in a row after starting the season 0-3. QB Carson Palmer is now a Raider, but will he be the starter on Sunday, or will rookie Terrelle Pryor or veteran Kyle Boller get the start instead?

RJ’s Pick: Oakland by 10

Pittsburgh (4-2) at Arizona (1-4) 4:05 PM [Line: Steelers by 3.5]

The Steelers are just 1-2 on the road this season. The Cardinals have lost four straight.

RJ’s Pick: Pittsburgh by 13

Green Bay (6-0) at Minnesota (1-5) 4:15 PM [Line: Packers by 9.5]

The Packers are the NFL’s only remaining undefeated team. The Vikings have allowed 145 points, most in the NFC North. They’ve scored just 121 points, by far the fewest in their division.

RJ’s Pick: Green Bay by 15

St. Louis (0-5) at Dallas (2-3) 4:15 PM [Line: Cowboys by 13.5]

The Rams have scored just four touchdowns all season. The Cowboys have dropped their last two games.

RJ’s Pick: Dallas by 3

Indianapolis (0-6) at New Orleans (4-2) 8:20 PM [Line: Saints by 14.5]

The winless Colts have allowed 163 points this season, most in the AFC and tied for the most in the league. The Saints are averaging the second most yards per game in the NFL.

RJ’s Pick: New Orleans by 24

MONDAY, OCTOBER 24

Baltimore (4-1) at Jacksonville (1-5) 8:30 PM [Line: Ravens by 9.5]

The Ravens have allowed the fewest points in the league. The Jaguars have lost five in a row.

RJ’s Pick: Baltimore by 21

- – – 

[Bye Week: Buffalo, Cincinnati, New England, New York Giants, Philadelphia, San Francisco]

If you’re interested, you can check out the full list of Danny Sheridan’s Odds.

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About RJ

  • C2E

    I went 7-6 last week and stand 61-29 through week 6.

    This week we differ in that I think the Panthers will take the Redskins, and hope the Texans will beat the Titans.

    I also think that if the sun and humidity conditions are just right, a number of individuals will swear that they saw the soft glow of a halo above Tim Tebow as he walks off the field after the Broncos defeat the Dolphins….

    Good luck!

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Good luck to you as well, C2E.

  • RJ

    Note: The Bears are on the road this week, but the Bucs are not really at home; the game is being played in London.

  • RJ

    Final Scores:

    Jets 27, SD 21 – RJ 1-0 [1-0 ATS]

    Bears 24, TB 18 – RJ 1-1 [1-1 ATS]

    Carolina 33, Redskins 20 – RJ 1-2 [1-2 ATS]

    Atlanta 23, Lions 16 – RJ 1-3 [1-3 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final Scores:

    Browns 6, Seattle 3 – RJ 1-4 [1-4 ATS]

    Broncos 18, Miami 15 [in OT] – RJ 2-4 [2-4 ATS]

    Houston 41, Titans 7 – RJ 2-5 [3-4 ATS]

  • RJ

    Final Scores:

    KC 28, Oakland 0 – RJ 2-6 [3-5 ATS]

    Steelers 32, Arizona 20 – RJ 3-6 [4-5 ATS]

    Packers 33, Vikings 27 – RJ 4-6 [4-6 ATS]

    Dallas 34, Rams 7 – RJ 5-6 [4-7 ATS]

  • RJ

    Final Score:

    NO 62(!), Colts 7 – RJ 6-6 [5-7 ATS]

  • RJ

    Final Score:

    Jaguars 12, Baltimore 7 – RJ 6-7 [5-8 ATS]

  • RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” in Week 7:

    Allen
    8-5
    Golic
    6-7
    Hoge
    6-7
    Jaworski
    8-4
    Mortensen
    6-7
    Schefter
    8-5
    Schlereth
    6-7
    Wickersham
    8-5
    Accuscore
    9-4
    Pick ‘em
    8-5

  • RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” through seven weeks:

    Allen
    67-36
    Golic
    72-31
    Hoge
    70-33
    Jaworski
    69-27
    Mortensen
    60-43
    Schefter
    69-34
    Schlereth
    69-34
    Wickersham
    70-33
    Accuscore
    73-30
    Pick ‘em
    72-31

  • RJ

    RJ through seven weeks:

    67-36 straight-up

    51-48-4 against the spread

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