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RJ’s 2010 NFL Picks – Week 17

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I went 11-5 last week. That puts me at 135-105 for the season. For a comparison, check out the “experts” over at ESPN.

Here are my picks for the NFL’s Week 17 (and note that I will be making my predictions for the postseason in the comments section of this article):

 

***SUNDAY, JANUARY 2ND, 2011***

Carolina 2-13 at Atlanta 12-3 1:00 PM [Line: FALCONS BY 14.5]

The NFC’s best vs. the NFL’s worst. An Atlanta victory means they win the NFC South and secure homefield advantage throughout the playoffs.

RJ’s Pick: Atlanta by 21

 

Pittsburgh 11-4 at Cleveland 5-10 1:00 PM [Line: STEELERS BY 5.5]

The Steelers need a victory in order to win the AFC North and clinch a playoff bye.

RJ’s Pick: Pittsburgh by 10

 

Minnesota 6-9 at Detroit 5-10 1:00 PM [Line: LIONS BY 3]

The Lions have won three in a row. Brett Favre is listed as doubtful to play in what would presumably be the last game of his career.

RJ’s Pick: Detroit by 8

 

Oakland 7-8 at Kansas City 10-5 1:00 PM [Line: CHIEFS BY 3.5]

The Chiefs are 7-0 at home this season.

RJ’s Pick: Kansas City by 9

 

Miami 7-8 at New England 13-2 1:00 PM [Line: PATRIOTS BY 5]

This game is meaningless to the Patriots (who have already clinched homefield advantage throughout the playoffs), and Miami is 6-1 on the road this season, so I’m picking the upset.

RJ’s Pick: Miami by 1

 

Tampa Bay 9-6 at New Orleans 11-4 1:00 PM [Line: SAINTS BY 8]

If the Saints lose, they are the NFC’s #5 seed. If the Saints win and Atlanta wins, they are still the NFC’s #5 seed. If the Saints win and Atlanta loses, they win the NFC South and get a playoff bye. If the Saints win and both Atlanta and Chicago lose, they win the NFC South, get a playoff bye, and secure homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. Tampa Bay’s only route to the postseason is with a win here and losses by both Green Bay and the Giants.

RJ’s Pick: New Orleans by 3

 

Buffalo 4-11 at New York Jets 10-5 1:00 PM [Line: JETS BY 1]

The Jets will be the AFC’s #6 seed unless they win here and either the Steelers or the Ravens lose, in which case they will be the #5 seed.

RJ’s Pick: New York Jets by 6

 

Cincinnati 4-11 at Baltimore 11-4 1:00 PM [Line: RAVENS BY 9.5]

If the Ravens win and the Steelers lose, they win the AFC North and clinch the #2 seed, a playoff bye, and at least one home playoff game. The Bengals have won two straight and would love to play spoiler against their division rival. A win here might even save Marvin Lewis’ head coaching job.

RJ’s Pick: Baltimore by 4

 

Jacksonville 8-7 at Houston 5-10 4:15 PM [Line: TEXANS BY 3]

Maurice Jones-Drew and David Garrard are out for the Jaguars, who need a win and a Colts loss in order to win the AFC South and make the playoffs.

RJ’s Pick: Jacksonville by 2

 

New York Giants 9-6 at Washington 6-9 4:15 PM [Line: GIANTS BY 3.5]

The imploding Giants need a win and a Packers loss to make the playoffs as the #6 seed. A third straight loss would likely end Tom Coughlin’s tenure as head coach.

RJ’s Pick: New York Giants by 7

 

Dallas 5-10 at Philadelphia 10-5 4:15 PM [Line: EAGLES BY 3]

The Eagles are locked into the #3 seed in the NFC, so expect Kevin Kolb to start at quarterback. Stephen McGee will likely get his first NFL start at quarterback for the Cowboys.

RJ’s Pick: Dallas by 4

 

Arizona 5-10 at San Francisco 5-10 4:15 PM [Line: 49ERS BY 6]

The stinker of the week.

RJ’s Pick: Arizona by 1

 

Chicago 11-4 at Green Bay 9-6 4:15 PM [Line: PACKERS BY 9.5]

The Bears are guaranteed at least the #2 seed in the NFC. They would capture homefield advantage throughout the playoffs with a win here and losses by both Atlanta and New Orleans. The Packers can earn the #6 seed with a win.

RJ’s Pick: Green Bay by 6

 

Tennessee 6-9 at Indianapolis 9-6 4:15 PM [Line: COLTS BY 9.5]

The Colts win the AFC South with a victory here.

RJ’s Pick: Indianapolis by 15

 

San Diego 8-7 at Denver 4-11 4:15 PM [Line: CHARGERS BY 3.5]

The Chargers must really wish they played in the NFC West instead.

RJ’s Pick: Denver by 2

 

ZOMG GAME OF THE YEAR: Saint Louis 7-8 at Seattle 6-9 8:20 PM [Line: RAMS BY 3]

Will the NFC West be won by a .500 team, or a below .500 team? Will it be the Rams or the Seahawks who have the honor of getting humiliated in front of their home crowd and a national television audience in the Wild Card Round of the playoffs? Those questions, and many more, will be answered on Sunday night.

RJ’s Pick: Saint Louis by 8


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About RJ

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Thanks for the quick publish!

  • zingzing

    the vikes beat the eagles behind joe webb last week in what was not a meaningless game for the eagles. you’ll pick the lions? by more than a touchdown? the vikings have a way with making games against detroit more interesting than they should be, but i’ll bet against your bet.

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Lions up 13-7 in the 3rd…

  • zingzing

    gulp… well, i had to have confidence in my team… not that there’s any good reason for that this year. game’s not over yet. 10 points in 10 minutes?

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Sorry, zing…

    Final Score:

    Lions 20, Vikings 13 – RJ 1-0 [1-0 ATS]

  • zingzing

    well, at least it wasn’t by more than a touchdown. an embarrassing end to an embarrassing season. now on to college basketball. oh. my team stinks there as well. sigh sigh sigh.

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORES:

    ATLANTA 31, CAROLINA 10 – RJ 2-0 [2-0 ATS] (and I nailed the spread!)

    STEELERS 41, BROWNS 9 – RJ 3-0 [3-0 ATS]

    OAKLAND 31, KC 10 – RJ 3-1 [3-1 ATS]

    NE 38, MIAMI 7 – RJ 3-2 [3-2 ATS]

    TB 23, NO 13 – RJ 3-3 [4-2 ATS]

    JETS 38, BILLS 7 – RJ 4-3 [5-2 ATS]

    RAVENS 13, BENGALS 7 – RJ 5-3 [6-2 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORES:

    HOUSTON 34, JAGUARS 17 – RJ 5-4 [6-3 ATS]

    GIANTS 17, WASHINGTON 14 – RJ 6-4 [6-4 ATS]

    DALLAS 14, EAGLES 13 – RJ 7-4 [7-4 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORES:

    SF 38, ARIZONA 7 – RJ 7-5 [7-5 ATS]

    GB 10, BEARS 3 – RJ 8-5 [8-5 ATS]

    COLTS 23, TITANS 20 – RJ 9-5 [8-6 ATS]

    SD 33, DENVER 28 – RJ 9-6 [8-7 ATS]

  • C2E

    I went 11-5 in Week 17, which makes me 153-103 for the season. Enjoyed reading your comments this season; hope you’re back next year!

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORE:

    SEATTLE 16, RAMS 6 – RJ 9-7 [8-8 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    RJ’S FINAL REGULAR SEASON STATS:

    STRAIGHT-UP: 144-112

    AGAINST THE SPREAD: 126-121-9

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” in Week 17:

    Gone. I can’t find them. Which means I can’t total up their picks for the season either. Sigh…

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    RJ’s Wild Card Weekend Picks:

    ***SATURDAY, JANUARY 8TH, 2011***

    4:30 PM – NEW ORLEANS AT SEATTLE [LINE: SAINTS BY 10.5]

    RJ’S PICK: NEW ORLEANS BY 6

    8:00 PM – NEW YORK JETS AT INDIANAPOLIS [LINE: COLTS BY 3]

    RJ’S PICK: NEW YORK JETS BY 2

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ***SUNDAY, JANUARY 9TH, 2011***

    1:00 PM – BALTIMORE AT KANSAS CITY [LINE: RAVENS BY 3]

    RJ’S PICK: BALTIMORE BY 7

    4:30 PM – GREEN BAY AT PHILADELPHIA [LINE: EAGLES BY 2.5]

    RJ’S PICK: GREEN BAY BY 4

  • C2E

    I’m taking the fav’s all the way! (Eagles are iffy.)

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    Final scores:

    Seattle 41, NO 36 – RJ 0-1 [1-0 ATS]

    Jets 17, Colts 16 – RJ 1-1 [2-0 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORES:

    RAVENS 30, KC 7 – RJ 2-1 [3-0 ATS]

    GB 21, EAGLES 16 – RJ 3-1 [4-0 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’S NFL “EXPERTS” SO FAR:

    Allen
    3-1
    Golic
    1-3
    Hoge
    1-3
    Jaworski
    2-2
    Mortensen
    2-2
    Schefter
    3-1
    Schlereth
    2-2
    Wickersham
    1-3
    Accuscore
    1-3
    SportsNation
    1-3

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’S NFL “EXPERTS” IN WEEK 17:

    Allen
    12-4
    Golic
    12-4
    Hoge
    12-4
    Jaworski
    12-4
    Mortensen
    12-4
    Schefter
    10-6
    Schlereth
    11-5
    Wickersham
    11-5
    Accuscore
    11-5
    Pick ‘em
    11-5

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’S NFL “EXPERTS” IN THE REGULAR SEASON:

    Allen
    149-107
    Golic
    162-94
    Hoge
    161-95
    Jaworski
    158-81
    Mortensen
    160-96
    Schefter
    140-116
    Schlereth
    158-98
    Wickersham
    151-105
    Accuscore
    168-88
    Pick ‘em
    161-95

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ***Saturday, January 15th, 2011***

    4:30 PM (CBS) – Ravens @ Steelers (Line: Steelers by 3.5)

    RJ’s Pick: Steelers by 6

    8:00 PM (FOX) – Packers @ Falcons (Line: Falcons by 2.5)

    RJ’s Pick: Falcons by 7

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ***Sunday, January 16th, 2011***

    1:00 PM (FOX) – Seahawks @ Bears (Line: Bears by 10)

    RJ’s Pick: Bears by 4

    4:30 PM (CBS) – Jets @ Patriots (Line: Patriots by 9)

    RJ’s Pick: Patriots by 14

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORES:

    PITTSBURGH 31, RAVENS 24 – RJ 4-1 [5-0 ATS]

    GB 48, FALCONS 21 – RJ 4-2 [5-1 ATS]

    BEARS 35, SEATTLE 24 – RJ 5-2 [5-2 ATS]

    JETS 28, NE 21 – RJ 5-3 [5-3 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “expert” picks:

    Allen
    3-5
    Golic
    4-4
    Hoge
    3-5
    Jaworski
    5-3
    Mortensen
    5-3
    Schefter
    5-3
    Schlereth
    5-3
    Wickersham
    3-5
    Accuscore
    4-4
    SportsNation
    4-4

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ***NFC Championship Game***

    Packers @ Bears – Sunday, 3:00 PM – FOX [Line: Packers by 3.5]

    RJ’s Pick: Packers by 8

    ***AFC Championship Game***

    Jets @ Steelers – Sunday, 6:30 PM – CBS [Line: Steelers by 3.5]

    RJ’s Pick: Jets by 2

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORE:

    Packers 21, Bears 14 – RJ 6-3 [6-3 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    FINAL SCORE:

    STEELERS 24, JETS 19 – RJ 6-4 [6-4 ATS]

  • http://www.roblogpolitics.blogspot.com RJ

    ESPN’S NFL “EXPERTS” THROUGH 10 PLAYOFF GAMES:

    Allen
    5-5
    Golic
    5-5
    Hoge
    4-6
    Jaworski
    6-4
    Mortensen
    7-3
    Schefter
    6-4
    Schlereth
    7-3
    Wickersham
    4-6
    Accuscore
    6-4
    SportsNation
    6-4

  • RJ

    ***SUPER BOWL XLV (45)***

    February 6th, 2011

    6:30 PM EST – FOX

    Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Green Bay Packers

    Line: Packers by 2.5

    RJ’s Pick: Steelers by 3 (even though I’ll be rooting for Green Bay)

  • RJ

    Final score:

    GB 31, Steelers 25 – RJ 6-5 (6-5 ATS)

  • RJ

    ESPN’s NFL “experts” –

    Allen
    6-5
    Golic
    6-5
    Hoge
    4-7
    Jaworski
    6-5
    Mortensen
    8-3
    Schefter
    7-4
    Schlereth
    8-3
    Wickersham
    5-6
    Accuscore
    7-4
    SportsNation
    7-4