The Washington Post tracking poll has Bush up 5 points, and over 50%
Zogby (this one’s always an outlier; see 2002 and 2000 for proof) has Kerry up 1
The Rasmussen tracking poll has Bush up 4, with Kerry’s numbers falling every day since the VP debate
The Battleground poll (conducted 10/03/2004 to 10/07/2004) shows Bush with either a 4 point lead or a 3 point lead, depending on how you view the data
So, it appears Bush still has a slight lead. Barring a gaffe-filled performance in debate number three, Bush will likely go into the homestretch with a narrow advantage over John F. Kerry.
Of course, these are national polls, and the national vote does not decide who wins the election. (Just ask Al Gore.) I may post another state-by-state analysis soon, but this will have to suffice for now.