So Somalia's citizens are still suffering from Bush's error. The calm and relative normality under the UIC has been replaced by their insurgency and the same tribal issues as before the UIC took power: sporadic gunfire, mortars, Ethiopian and Ugandan peace keeper deaths, civilian deaths, general insecurity and anarchy. The situation is worse in Mogadishu than much of the country.
This is all made worse by the fact that there was no reason to invade Somalia. As I said the UIC were restoring order. The moderate elements should have been strengthened by conditional international recognition and support. Like doctors who bury their mistakes, this is just another U.S. mistake that the world has to live with.
So, I have looked at
Iraq (part I) and Somalia, both very different in terms of how the Bush administration meddled, but both very similar in their chances of enjoying peace and security in the near future.
In Somalia the US involvement has always been indirect (on the surface), but because of Bush and with the help of US contractors, money and weapons, Ethiopia is now occupying Somalia. Given their history, that will never be a peaceful occupation. The Ugandan peacekeepers have also been attacked. Even if everybody withdrew tomorrow, or after Bush leaves office, Somalia went through 15 years of anarchy before the UIC. restored some semblance of order. Left to their own devices it could well be another 15 years before it happens again. It certainly won't be anytime soon.