A total of 37 Senate seats are up for grabs this year. The current composition of the US Senate is 59 Democrats (two of whom are actually independents who caucus with the Dems) and 41 Republicans.
What follows are my predictions for each Senate race. First, the seats currently held by Democrats (of which there are 19):
Connecticut: Dick Blumenthal (D) vs. Linda McMahon (R)
Despite the fact that Blumenthal a) lied repeatedly about serving in Vietnam, b) apparently has no idea how private sector jobs are created, and c) looks sorta creepy, he is well ahead in the polls. Blumenthal by 8, Dem Hold
Delaware: Chris Coons (Marxist-Democrat) vs. Christine O'Donnell (Wiccan-Republican)
This is Joe Biden's old seat. Mike Castle would have won this election easily. Let's just say the Tea Party overreached a little bit by nominating the cute-but-kooky chick with the blank résumé. Coons by 14, Dem Hold
Illinois: Alexi Giannoulias (D) vs. Mark Kirk (R)
This is Barack Obama's old seat. Giannoulias is a mob banker. You'd think that would disqualify him for election to such a high office, but remember that this is Illinois. He is, however, currently trailing in the polls. Kirk by 3, GOP Pickup
Indiana: Dan Coats (R) vs. Brad Ellsworth (D)
Dan Coats is headed back to the Senate. Coats by 18, GOP Pickup
North Dakota: John Hoeven (R) vs. Tracy Potter (D)
Potter's website is here. Check it out sometime. You could even be the site's 100th visitor! Hoeven by 38, GOP Pickup
West Virginia: Joe Manchin (D) vs. John Raese (R)
This is the Senate seat that was held by Robert Byrd for about 9,000 years until he died earlier this year. Manchin is West Virginia's popular Governor. He was for ObamaCare before he was against it. Since President Obama is about as popular in West Virginia as black lung, and Raese is doing everything he can to nationalize the election, this is a very competitive race. Raese by 2, GOP Pickup
Pennsylvania: Joe Sestak (D) vs. Pat Toomey (R)
This race has tightened, but Toomey still has the lead. I wonder if Obama will offer Sestak a job if he loses? Toomey by 6, GOP Pickup
Article comments
— go to most recent comments1 - emo
WA Rossi by 1 will mean vote fraud recount in King County
2 - RJ
emo:
You definitely have a point, but I think Rossi will be smart enough to fight back HARD before the Dems can steal the election this time around.
3 - Joseph Cotto
I believe that all of your predictions are pretty much spot on, RJ, with the exception of the Alaska senate race. Benefiting from fierce momentum on her side in what is essentially the closing week of the campaign, and Miller being swept away in a tidal wave of ethics violations, I see Murkowski winning by roughly two to five points. Connecticut might be closer than expected as well, which would be a very good thing in my book as Blumenthal is on par with Charlie Crist in terms of personal character and integrity.
4 - rockland steel
I think the matrix is wrong, it seem's that most of these folks, who are forcasting the out come of our upcoming election have missed the boat.
They are looking at the wrong matrix, this is not 1994 where the generic ballot had the two parties only points apart.
Th
5 - Ruvy
I'm disgusted with what the Democrats have turned into in the United States. But for all that, it will mean nothing if the Republicans control the Senate. America is going down.
6 - scaraway
I also have to disagree with you on Boxer and one of the New York races. Tea party polling data is skewed 60% of T-party participants have not voted before this adds a 9% error to the figure. I am predicting 12 maybe 13 senate seats. CA, Oregon, New york. Congressional polls in NY and CA show voters wont split their vote on Senate.4 seat P/U in CA and 3 seat P/U in NY House 84 seats.
7 - Baronius
New York has three major races, and all of them are one-sided. It's going to be a blood-bath.
8 - Cannonshop
Unlike 2004, there are no actual POLLING PLACES in King or Snohomish Counties in Washington-combined with the Seattle Machine, Rossi's not going anywhere unless Murray somehow manages to piss off the Democratic Party Brass in this state.
and it will be a hell of a lot harder to track now-with vote-by-mail now standard, a dedicated King County crew can cook up as many voters/votes as necessary and it is virtually untraceable (Unlike 2004, where the evidence WAS traceable, the Feds just refused to investigate/prosecute in spite of massive evidence of fraud-mostly because to have jurisdiction it would have required a request from the Attorney General-who happened to be the winner of that Gubenatorial Election.)
Statewide elections in Washington are thoroughly compromised and corrupted, so Rossi has zero chance. After all, it's not who votes, or how they vote, it's who counts the votes that counts here.
9 - RJ
Thanks for the info about the WA Senate race, Cannonshop. I wasn't aware that they did vote-by-mail exclusively.
10 - Cannonshop
#9 it's been that way since 2006, RJ.
11 - zingzing
that's not true. i lived in seattle for several years and i never voted by mail. i last voted there in 2008. maybe now it's all mail, but it wasn't in 2008, and i never heard anything about mail voting at that time.
12 - Arch Conservative
I've never been to Seattle but I've heard it's where those who find northern California too conservative take refuge....
Don't think I'll be visiting any time soon.
13 - zingzing
good thing too, archie. all those damn liberal hippies can smell your type. they'd be on you like a pack of zombies within seconds of your plane touching down.
14 - Arch ConscienceStain
It's true Mr. ZingZing. If they got hold of AC, they'd put him through that dreaded liberal hazing ritual: chicken fucking.
Everybody knows liberals are sub-humans.
15 - roger nowosielski
Archie is right, though, believe it or not, although Portland is the place (and Seattle, too, I suppose, by association.)
I beg to differ, though. Hippies are way better than liberals.
16 - handyguy
I love the way Republicans yell about "massive" voter fraud all the time, yet never seem to be able to prove it. Like Shangri-La, it's always just out of reach.
Part of the Breitbartian maxim: yell invective at every opportunity; facts are optional and often get in the way. Eventually the gullible will begin to believe you, and you're all set.
17 - handyguy
zing, according to Wikipedia, King County [Seattle] switched to all-mail voting in Feb 2009. Pierce County [Tacoma] is now the only county that still has polling stations. All other counties have gone postal, so to speak.
Sounds great to me, but this has not caught on back east. We can't even vote early in NY.
18 - Cannonshop
Handy, I was HERE during the 2004 "Election", multivoting (that is, voting multiple times in multiple places), fictional people voting (Hey, a mailing address that is the Elections office? how awesomely convenient is THAT??), Dead Votes (some registered in 1920 or so), "Finding" ballots inside machines that were cleared (900 or so) and sealed thirty days later? Two districts in SEATTLE were the only material change between election day and the final recount-but what a change! somwhere around six thousand additional votes in those districts, just enough to put queen Christine in the Governor's mansion.
Snohomish County went in 2006, King in 2008-9 (depending on city).
with mailfraud voting, there is literally no way to prove a voter even EXISTS. You can already register your cat to vote (so long as you don't TELL them it's a cat), now your Cat can vote in Washington (however YOU vote), and there's no way to confirm that your cat is even a citizen of age-it's that easy, so easy a couple radio stations have actually pulled this stunt as publicity stunts-at least, the registration part.
Democrats squeal and squawk about "Exclusion" but that's because the preferred method is to "include" however many votes/ballots they need to win, regardless of whether there are actual people connected to those ballots or not.
19 - Cannonshop
In 2003 I was a "moderate", after 2004, I'm not-and I was probably one of the few who feel this way who VOTED for Gregoire on election day (that weren't, say, party-line dems who'll vote no other way or election office fictions.)
Now, I vote not because I think it will do any good, but because I hope to god I'm wrong about what's happened here.
20 - zingzing
cannonshop, i was there as well in 2004. did you really vote multiple times? i didn't.
21 - Irene Athena
That's what he said: There he was in 2004, multivoting, casting multiple votes in multiple places. I never pictured Cannonshop as the sort of guy who'd get excited enough about a candidate to vote for him more than once.
22 - zingzing
i don't think he did. who would take the time?
23 - Irene Athena
Herd mentality. Powerful stuff.
24 - zingzing
moooooooooooooo
25 - Arch Conservative
If the Democrats/[Edited] truly wanted an honest voting process they wouldn't oppose the requirement of id.
But they don't, so they do, every chance they get.
All the black panthers, acorn operatives union thugs, and boxes of ballots found in the trunks of cars won't be able to save the Dems from their fate next week. We won't be Frankened again.