For all the McCain election hype about closing the gap, aided by a new Wall Street Journal poll that shows Obama's lead shrinking from ten to eight points, 51% to 43%, and a Fox news poll with Obama ahead by seven points, 50% to 42%, there's no way to avoid the simple fact that the numbers are overwhelmingly in the Democrat's favor.
On Pollster.com, one of the most respected polling sites which continually monitors and aggregates various polling organizations, their latest national polls have similar findings, with Obama's support ranging from 50% to 52% and McCain's from 44% to 46%.
Issues that were of concern to Obama's campaign and provided a lift to McCain's no longer seem to be factors: In today's Washington-Post/ABC News poll, which is consistent with other poll data:
- More than half see Obama as sufficiently experienced;
- He is now "widely viewed as a 'safe' pick" now tying McCain for that distinction.
- Almost half of respondants report they are "less likely" to vote for McCain because of Sarah Palin, more evidence of her continuing drag on the Republican party.l
- The biggest drag on McCain is that many see him as the next iteration of a Bush admistration; almost all who believe that support the Democrat.
- Almost 60% think Obama is "about right" ideologically, demonstrating that the Republican effort to portray him as somehow different is not working. Far fewer have the same view of McCain.
But the real battle is taking place in the states, and it is difficult to put together a winning formula for McCain. CNN forecasts Obama with 291 electoral votes (210 safe, 81 leaning) and McCain with 157 (121 safe, 36 leaning.) The Cook Political Report projects Obama with 286 electoral votes to McCain's 139, with 113 in the toss-up category. Pollster.com is the most aggressive with Obama at 311 electoral votes (264 strong, 47 leaning) and McCain at 142 (129 strong, 13 leaning) and 85 as toss ups.
Article comments
— go to most recent comments1 - RJ Elliott
Obama may very well win. But if he does, I hope fair-minded libs will be open-minded when conservative journalists conduct post-election investigations into the ACORN vote fraud and Obama's illegal campaign contributions, including donations from foreigners.
2 - Dave Nalle
I just hope that when Obama wins he doesn't resort to military force to impose his plans when there are mass protests and attempts at secession.
Dave
3 - zingzing
oh, dave... seriously? you're losing it...
4 - Lee Richards
What, Bush/Cheney/Rumsfeld/Rice/McCain/Palin can use military force to impose their plans but Obama can't(even in a Nalle imaginary alternate universe scenario)?
Dave is now in the "I'm taking all my toys and going home" mode.
5 - Mark Schannon
Oy, RJ & Dave, you're not taking your meds. Baaaad boys.
RJ, read the newspapers, not the McCain campaign releases. The fraud was perpetrated against ACORN & they dutifully reported all irregularities to the state authorities. That's how the story broke.
Dave...you're kidding right??? Right???
Both you guys, remember,
In Jameson Veritas
6 - zingzing
dave--just take texas and all of the midwest south of minnesota and west of chicago with you, k? wait--iowa's ok, right? bah, fuck iowa. take it.
7 - Joe
zingzing -
Deal. But you gotta take California. And pay the shipping.
8 - zingzing
we ain't gonna move it nowhere! you'll be surrounded on three sides! death! death! where ya gonna go?! there's a few holes towards canada! canada! land of socialism-nipples! and then to mexico! south! south! let us run south! oh shit! venezuela! hatred hatred! north! oh fuck!
oh, i am in a good mood tonight.
9 - Cindy D
Dave,
If Obama wins and there is secession, of the right. I think we'll let you go. I would vote for the secession. It would be an answer to a prayer (if I prayed).
You can all live together, one big happy low tax family of raging deficits. Chuckling at parties over who got the biggest loopholes. Driving up the prices of some your basic resources and destroying the rest of them.
I hope you can live with the school prayer Dave.
10 - Cindy D
P.S. I'd rather have the welfare cheats.
11 - Cindy D
RJ failed to notice that nearly all the conservative journalists have endorsements out for Obama.
12 - Clavos
RJ failed to notice that nearly all the conservative journalists have endorsements out for Obama.
Got a citation for that, Cindy?
In the absence of an actual citation (preferred) name them; I'll start you off:
Peggy Noonan - washed up speech writer.
The Buckley kid - Who is no William F.
13 - Cindy D
Citation coming up Clav.
14 - Cindy D
MONDAY Tally Of Newspaper Endorsements -- Obama In Landslide, at 273-142
Damn you Clav! Keeping me honest every single step. I can't get away with a whiff of exaggeration!
Okay, I (hangs head) hereby modify my claim to say: RJ failed to notice that many of the conservative journalists have endorsements out for Obama.
Can't have fun anywhere these days! grumble...
15 - Cindy D
Clav,
There are many conservative newspapers which have endorsed Obama when they have never endorsed a Democrat ever!
16 - Cindy D
That in itself is amazing. Have a look at how many different newspapers which never edorsed a Democrat before, are endorsing Obama.
17 - Clavos
It's a long list of newspapers, Cindy, but your original point was about conservative journalists (not journals) endorsing BHO.
As I said, a long list of papers, but you're mixing apples and oranges; these are not "conservative journalists."
Just sayin'
18 - zingzing
yes, and mccain is not going to l-o-s-e, obama is going to w-i-n.
get used to it, clavos! may your taxes never soar!
oh, sour face, sour face, i didn't say that.
19 - Cindy D
You are right Clav. editorial boards of newspapers are not journalists.
I stand corrected.
20 - Cindy D
But i can still make fun of Dave's electoral map! (There is always a silver lining!)
21 - Dr Dreadful
I don't know what zing2 is smoking tonight, but I want some.
22 - zingzing
i ain't been smoking nothing but high expectations!
although there is a little hash on the counter. and i haven't smoked in months...
23 - Clavos
didn't say bho wasn't going to win, zing. was discussing a totally different point.
but yew no that.
i'm resigned to the seeming inevitable, zing. not happy about it, but realistic.
and hunkering down, because i do expect the country (and especially the economy) to head south next year even faster than it is now.
24 - Dave Nalle
What, Bush/Cheney/Rumsfeld/Rice/McCain/Palin can use military force to impose their plans but Obama can't(even in a Nalle imaginary alternate universe scenario)?
No, Lee. None of them should ever use military force against the American people. But I don't see it happening if McCain gets elected and I don't see how Obama will be able to implement the entire left agenda without it if he wins.
Dave
25 - Arch Conservative
Like it or not Eight Ball Barry is going to win tomorrow Dave. It just goes to show you that you should never underestimate the power of morons in large numbers.
Who knows what will happen in the next four years. Shit happens right? I think you get what I'm getting at Dave.