My Final State-By-State Presidential Election Predictions

Alabama - BUSH
Alaska - BUSH
Arizona - BUSH
Arkansas - BUSH
CA - KERRY
CO - BUSH*
CT - KERRY
Delaware - KERRY
FL - KERRY
GA - BUSH
Hawaii - BUSH
Idaho - BUSH
IL - KERRY
Indiana - BUSH
Iowa - KERRY
Kansas - BUSH
Kentucky - BUSH
Louisiana - BUSH
ME - KERRY**
Maryland - KERRY
Massachusetts - KERRY
MI - KERRY
MN - BUSH
Mississippi - BUSH
Missouri - BUSH
Montana - BUSH
NE - BUSH
Nevada - BUSH
NH - KERRY
NJ - KERRY
NM - BUSH
NY - KERRY
NC - BUSH
ND - BUSH
OH - BUSH
Oklahoma - BUSH
Oregon - KERRY
PA - KERRY
RI - KERRY
SC - BUSH
SD - BUSH
TN - BUSH
Texas - BUSH
Utah - BUSH
Vermont - KERRY
VA - BUSH
WA - KERRY
WV - BUSH
WI - BUSH
Wyoming - BUSH
DC - KERRY

TOTAL STATES WON:

BUSH - 32
KERRY - 18 AND DC

TOTAL ELECTORAL VOTES:

BUSH - 276
KERRY - 262

* I predict that the voters will reject the ballot proposal to divvy up the state's Electoral College votes, and therefore Bush will win all 9 of them

** I predict Kerry will win both Congressional districts in this state, and therefore capture all 4 of the state's Electoral College votes

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Article Author: RJ Elliott

RJ is a graduate student at the University of Central Florida. His passions in life are sports, politics, nature, and women who have piercings they never told their daddy about. He dislikes daytime television, left-wing dictators, and people who talk like Garrison Keillor. …

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Article comments

  • 1 - MT

    Nov 02, 2004 at 3:16 am

    We'll see tomorrow night just how accurate your "predictions" were.

  • 2 - Shark

    Nov 02, 2004 at 8:51 am

    I predict that it won't be over for weeks.

    I predict lots of lawsuits.

    I predict that Bush will steal the election -- again.

    I predict that if that occurs, I will reread Che Guevara's "Guerilla Warfare Handbook" and well -- you know the routine:

    "Liberals" supposedly love and support the terrorists -- so why not become one?

    The only honorable job left in 21st Century America.


  • 3 - Eric Olsen

    Nov 02, 2004 at 9:07 am

    hmm, Shark, you would appear to agree with MD on this

  • 4 - Mac Diva

    Nov 02, 2004 at 9:53 am

    So there is something wrong with agreeing with me that George W. Bush is a failed president and needs to be replaced. But, there is nothing wrong with being in bed with Andy Marsh, a nasty Neandertal who refers to women as 'bitches' and 'asses,' and would like to impose the final solution on the poor. That is the consequence of making decisions based mainly on greed, as Eric Olsen appears to do.

  • 5 - RedTard

    Nov 02, 2004 at 9:54 am

    I think Kerry will win OH and a couple of the other states you have for bush. My prediction Kerry by 2% popular vote with a solid electoral win.

    You don't need the Guerrilla handbook, just watch the CNN Iraq coverage and you'll get the idea.

  • 6 - RJ

    Nov 02, 2004 at 10:47 am

    Yea, Eric, you greedy bastard. How DARE you happily provide a platform of nearly 20,000 unique visitors daily for the twisted Black Rage of anonymous Blogger Mac Diva, entirely free of charge?

    IT BE RACISM!

  • 7 - Shark

    Nov 02, 2004 at 10:59 am

    "You don't need the Guerrilla handbook, just watch the CNN Iraq coverage and you'll get the idea."

    Thanks. If kids with RPGs strapped on donkeys can fuck with the American Military, that gives me hope that I can shut down my local Wal-Mart with a well-placed paper clip.

    PS: It's too bad the Bush administration and the sheep in the Pentagon didn't read up on nationalistic insurgencies under foreign occupation. But then again, I've heard George W. doesn't read books.

    Vinceramos!

    xxoo,
    El Sharkos

  • 8 - Mike Kole

    Nov 02, 2004 at 11:03 am

    Shark's right. It won't be over for weeks, and it will be ugly. Neither camp has any honor or any dignity or any valor. It's all about winning.

    No matter who wins, the other side will say it was stolen by the victor.

    We have a real disaster on our hands.

  • 9 - Shark

    Nov 02, 2004 at 2:28 pm

    Kole: "...We have a real disaster on our hands."

    That's why I'm a big supporter of the Second Amendment!

    I say *Bring 'Em On!





    * Bush to terrorists; now don't you feel safer?

  • 10 - Gee Dubs

    Nov 02, 2004 at 4:51 pm

    I predict it's going to get very fugly!

    G.W.

    It's clobbering time!

  • 11 - RJ

    Nov 04, 2004 at 11:33 am

    I'm pretty good at this!

    I only got 5 states wrong:

    - I put FL and Iowa in Kerry's column.

    - I put MN, WI, and Hawaii in Bush's column.

    In my scenario, Kerry got FL's 27 EC votes and Iowa's 7 EC votes. Bush got MN's 10 EC votes, WI's 10 EC votes, and Hawaii's 4 EC votes.

    In other words, I had Kerry winning 34 more than he did, and Bush winning 24 more than he did.

    I was off a total of 10 EC votes.

    In other words, this Bush supporter UNDERESTIMATED Bush's margin of victory!

    Heh. It's nice to be wrong about some things... ;-D

  • 12 - RJ

    Nov 26, 2004 at 11:54 pm

    "We'll see tomorrow night just how accurate your "predictions" were."

    Pretty damn accurate!

    I botched Florida (Bush), Hawaii (Kerry), Iowa (Bush), Minnesota (Kerry), and Wisconsin (Kerry). Everything else I got correct (including the actual electoral winner).

  • 13 - RJ

    Nov 26, 2004 at 11:57 pm

    "I predict that it won't be over for weeks."

    WRONG

    "I predict lots of lawsuits."

    All the important lawsuits occured pre-election...

    "I predict that Bush will steal the election -- again."

    WRONG (twice)

    "I predict that if that occurs, I will reread Che Guevara's "Guerilla Warfare Handbook" and well -- you know the routine:

    "Liberals" supposedly love and support the terrorists -- so why not become one?

    The only honorable job left in 21st Century America."

    Well, this prediction may very well have come true. Since I haven't heard much from you lately, Shark, am I to assume you've created a terror cell deep behind Red State lines? :)

  • 14 - RJ

    Nov 26, 2004 at 11:58 pm

    "I think Kerry will win OH and a couple of the other states you have for bush. My prediction Kerry by 2% popular vote with a solid electoral win."

    Oops... :-/

  • 15 - RJ

    Nov 27, 2004 at 12:00 am

    "Shark's right. It won't be over for weeks, and it will be ugly. Neither camp has any honor or any dignity or any valor. It's all about winning.

    "No matter who wins, the other side will say it was stolen by the victor.

    "We have a real disaster on our hands."

    Thankfully, you were incorrect. But such a prediction was hardly unrealistic...

  • 16 - RJ Elliott

    Oct 01, 2008 at 2:56 am

    My predictions for 2008 are coming. I promise. :-] Just give me about four weeks...

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