Mexico’s Elections: Out-Foxing the Left

This summer’s elections in Mexico will be historic in more ways than one: ex-patriates in the United States will be allowed to vote by proxy in their home country’s elections for the first time, and Mexicans will have the chance to see if they have fully unlocked presidential politics from the political machine that the PRI once was. Outgoing president Vicente Fox has been influential on both counts, and he may be making important moves behind the scenes that will notably affect the outcome of this summer’s elections.

Fox first made it clear that he would remain a powerful force in politics until his last day in office when he attempted to prosecute the Mexico City mayor and left-wing presidential candidate Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador for a minor land dispute in which Obrador sought to construct a hospital on private land. The incident backfired, and the charges were retracted amid popular protest. The prosecution arguably added to Obrador’s popularity, as the majority of the capital’s voters sided with his argument in the dispute.

Obrador is now free from prosecution and is a promising candidate in the presidential race, and Fox appears to be changing his tactics to ensure that a presidential victory does not fall into the hands of the left. His government surprisingly authorized Zapatista leader Subcomandante Marcos to conduct a six-month tour of the nation, a sharp departure from the close eye the Mexican army has kept on the Zapatistas in the southern state of Chiapas. Marcos stated the purpose of the tour was to “forge alliances with leftist groups that are not taking part in the elections, campesinos, indigenous people, and other sectors, in order to hash out a new blueprint for the country ‘from the grassroots up’”, according to IPS News Service.

The Zapatista National Liberation Army (EZLN) has spent much of its tour trying to convince voters that Obrador will offer more of the same, and that his candidacy does not represent the values of the true left. Though Marcos has criticized all the presidential candidates (in addition to harrassing the first lady) his tour will most likely succeed in persuading some voters on the left to reconsider their support for Lopez Obrador. Given that the Fox administration didn’t permit the Zapatista tour for entertainment purposes, this may be exactly what they had in mind.

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  • 1 - alpha

    Jan 13, 2006 at 12:20 am

    This is an excellent introduction to an amazingly complex time and vote in Mexican history.

    As a resident in Mexico, I cannot comment on politics. As an American I would pay close attention to what will be a major determinant of future relations between the US and MX and the future of democracy in Mexico.

    At a time when the administration is rattling its sabers and building a Berlin Wall from sea to shining Gulf; this is an important topic. Mexico is not America with a Spanish accent. As Taylor Kirk points out, this is a race to watch. It will be historic whatever the outcome.

  • 2 - RJ Elliott

    Jan 13, 2006 at 1:17 am

    The EZLN should have been crushed long ago. Sadly, Mexico's military seems more interested in taking bribes from narco-traffickers than dealing with a communist insurrection in their own country.

  • 3 - alpha

    Jan 13, 2006 at 2:10 am

    To "crush" the EZLN would have been the stupidest move possible. Fox exercised great moxie when he took office and originally gave them a forum and some degree of political legitimacy. They were defused and the spectre of violence and repression which would have turned off investors and the WMF was negated.

    Today, the military in Mexico is one of the least corrupt institutions. They are no more, perhaps less, interested in taking bribes from contrabandistas than are US bankers who do the money laundering with greedy glee.

    "Communist insurrection?" Communism is sort of, like, dead. Is every agrarian land reform movement communist? Is this one good? Doubtful but the shiboleth of "communist insurrection" might have been used just a few too many times by a few too many radical rightists to mean much.

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