I have taken some heat for attempting to raise the issue that Barack Obama needs to be replaced as the Democratic candidate in 2012. Recent developments indicate that I'm on the correct path, but like Cassandra of Troy, I expect not to be heeded until it's too late.
I'm hardly alone in expressing my concerns regarding Obama. There has lately been a fair amount of discussion regarding how Hillary would fare against the Republican slate – not that she's interested in another campaign. Polls show she would have larger support margins than her boss does. The importance of this discussion is revealed when day-late-and-dollar-short Time Magazine publishes the opinion that Obama-Biden can't win the 270 electoral votes necessary to retain the White House [registration required]. And once the news spreads that all those UAW jobs "saved" by Obama keeping GM and Chrysler alive are facing deep wage cuts in the next round of contract negotiation, a lot of organized labor is going to be rather angry at Obama for pushing them into a two-tier wage system in the first place.
Son of a former UAW member Michael Moore recently declared Obama's term to be a "disappointment" while a Greenberg Quinlan Rosner [GQR] study released October 12, 2011 reports that Obama is losing enough support from his base to keep him tied with Mitt Romney in the general election, with each holding only 45% approval of their respective party voter bases while both have little support from the rest of the voter spectrum.
This shows that Mitt Romney -often described in the so-called liberal media as not being much different from Obama in unflattering ways- carries his share of opprobrium and doesn't generate a lot of interest from the GOP establishment. Party hack George Will has described Romney as the Republican Party's Michael Dukakis. OUCH! And these sad sacks are the front-runners???
So who does the GOP have to run against Obama that does generate some excitement? Historian Conrad Black would love to know. The entire slate leaves him wanting more – a LOT more. So does Red State Iowa, shown by Public Policy Polling to prefer Obama [PDF] to any of the GOP candidates; this despite the enthusiasm level for the incumbent among Iowa voters being tepid at best. Disapproval ratings of the GOP candidates among those polled in Iowa are typically thrice the size of the approval numbers.