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New Movies and Box Office Predictions: Fracture, In the Land of Women, Vacancy

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This week sees a couple of critical heavyweights enter the fray. Anthony Hopkins has a new thriller out, while Richard Gere has a new comedy, both of which are vying for your cinematic dollar. Possibly more intriguing is a new horror film starring the unlikely visage of Luke Wilson, could be fun, or maybe, well, not so much. Each of the four new films will be competing with last week's winner, Disturbia, for the coveted box office crown. Who do you think has the goods to go all the way?

Fracture. (2007, 112 minutes, R, thriller, trailer) Academy award winner Anthony Hopkins is paired with up and coming, and Academy award nominated, Ryan Gosling in this legal thriller. I have to say that it looks pretty good. Hopkins is in full on creepy mode, and Gosling is really becoming a man to watch. Hopkins plays a man who is believed to have murdered his wife, while Gosling is the DA who becomes involved in a game of cat and mouse when the case turns south. It was directed by Gregory Hoblit, who also directed Hart's War and Primal Fear.

In the Land of Women. (2007, 100 minutes, PG-13, romantic comedy, trailer) Hmmm, not sure about this one. I have a feeling it will fail to have much impact on the box office, as the advertising seems to be on the light side. It stars Adam Brody as a recently dumped guy who seeks new surroundings, moving to take care of his sick grandmother. It is here that his life takes an unexpected turn as he becomes involved with the women across the street, namely Meg Ryan and Kristen Stewart. This is the directorial debut for actor turned director Jon Kasdan, son of Lawrence Kasdan (Dreamcatcher, The Big Chill).

Vacancy. (2007, 85 minutes, R, horror, trailer) Luke Wilson and Kate Beckinsale take a wrong turn, their car breaks down, and then end up at a rundown motel. The rooms come complete with video tapes of the brutal murders that have taken place in them. Now, the two have to find a way to escape with their lives. This looks like it could be little bit of fun. It is described in the ads as Psycho meets Saw, interesting combination. It was directed by Nimrod Antal, and written by Mark L. Smith, who also has his directorial debut, Seance, hitting theaters later this year.

The Hoax. (2007, 129 minutes, R, comedy, trailer) Going into wide release this week and based on a true story, Richard Gere plays an author who lies himself into a bundle of money by selling a fictitious biography of Howard Hughes to a publishing house. The trailer looks pretty funny as the lies escalate to cover the original one and he tries to stay a step ahead of everyone else. Actually, it sort of sounds like Catch Me if You Can. Lasse Hallstrom, who also directed Casanova and Chocolat, was in the chair for this one.

The Host. (2006, 119 minutes, R, horror, trailer, in Korean with English subtitles) I have been wanting to see this for awhile now. It is a new monster movie hailing from Korea. A monster born of formaldehyde emerges from the Han River to wreak havoc on everyone within sight.  A young girl is abducted by the creature and taken to its sewer lair. There the child waits as her family, each with their own issue, bands together to go and rescue her. I hear it is scary and funny and a great monster flick. This was directed by Memories of Murder helmer Joon-ho Bong.

Also opening this week, but not near me:

  • Hot Fuzz
  • Downtown a Street Tale
  • Smiley Face
  • Stephanie Daley
  • The Tripper
  • The Valet

Box Office Predictions
Last week saw the Rear Window redux take solid control over the to ten. Will it be able to repeat this week? I find the prospect doubtful, the Hopkins/Gosling thriller will step up and take control of a slightly slow weekend. We are in a bit of a lull leading up to the release of Spider-Man 3 in two weeks. Also looking to have a decent opening is the Luke Wilson/Kate Beckinsale horror/thriller, Vacancy. I think it will open decently, then slip off. Unfortunately, the one movie that I really want to see this weekend is Hot Fuzz, hopefully it will do well and get a wider release. As for the returning films, Disturbia will do decently, but the story will be Wild Hogs which I believe has one more week in the top ten left in it.

Here is how I think the top ten field will play out:

 

Rank Title Box Office
1 Fracture $18 million
2 Vacancy $15 million
3 Disturbia $14 million
4 Blades of Glory $8 million
5

Meet the Robinsons

$6.5 million
6 The Hoax

$5 million

7 Perfect Stranger $4.5 million
8 Hot Fuzz $4 million
9 Are We Done Yet? $3.5 million
10 Wild Hogs $2 million

What are you seeing this weekend?

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About Draven99

  • http://www.noface4film.com/ Kaonashi

    Wait- I thought that The Host opened two months ago. I’ve read reviews about it.

  • http://blogcritics.org/video Lisa McKay

    It opened on March 9 in the US, but it was a limited release.

  • http://draven99.blogspot.com Chris Beaumont

    I should probably add a disclaimer that this focuses on films that open in my area. Occasionally it takes the more limited releases a little longer to reach my shores.

  • http://www.noface4film.com/ Kaonashi

    Ah, ok. I didn’t know they did that to limited release films sometimes.

  • http://draven99.blogspot.com Chris Beaumont

    Limited run and arthouse type pictures will occasionally go on tour, so to speak. They travel to arthouse theaters and chains that will take them for limited engagements. I focus on films that open in my usual driving radius. Like Hot Fuzz, which is opening in a middling number of screens is in my area, but not in my usual traveling circle.

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