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New Movies and Box Office Predictions: How to Train Your Dragon, Hot Tub Time Machine

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Alice in Wonderland has been outdoing everyone’s expectations and has dominated the box office for its first three weeks of release. Its run is about to be brought to a halt as it will surely fall to the new 3D release this weekend (How to Train Your Dragon), not to mention to the newly increased ticket prices.

This week brings a pair of new releases that could not be more different. The funny thing is that I am really interested in both of them. How about you? Anything of interest out there for you?

Hot Tub Time Machine. (2010, 100 minutes, R, comedy) This comedy finds a group of friends who get sent back in time to the 1980’s where they try to get out of their future rut by reliving the past. It is  raunchy comedy with a goofy title and an odd high concept that looks like it just may work. On top of that, it has an interesting cast that includes John Cusack, Craig Robinson, Rob Corddry, Clark Duke, and Crispin Glover. It was directed by Steve Pink who also helmed Accepted and was screenwriter of High Fidelity. So, will this be more The Hangover or more Snakes on a Plane? I am hoping for the former, but with a title like that and a concept such as this, I do not want to get ahead of myself.

How to Train Your Dragon. (2010, 98 minutes, PG, animated comedy) The first trailer for this left me feeling rather nonplussed, and it immediately went into the “safe to skip” pile (i.e. the movies you don’t feel any real urgency in seeing, if ever). Subsequent trailers and clips began making the rounds, and now I think it looks really good. Not to mention the positive buzz that has been floating around on Twitter. It is set in the age of Vikings and they have a terrible dragon problem. The undersized Hiccup (Jay Baruchel) is to prove himself when he discovers what they thought they knew about dragons was wrong, and their world is about to change. I’m mow looking forward to seeing this!

Also opening this week, but not near me:

  • Ca$h
  • Chloe
  • Dancing Across Borders
  • The Eclipse
  • Godspeed
  • Terkel in Trouble
  • Waking Sleeping Beauty

Box Office Predictions
It’s time for Tim Burton to take his Alice in Wonderland and leave the top spot. The new winner will undoubtedly be How to Train Your Dragon. Its combination of carpet bomb advertising, positive buzz, and good trailers and clips seems to point it towards the winners circle. I suspect the rest will fight in the lower half, and your guess is as good as mine when it comes to determining where Hot Tub Time Machine will land.

Here is how I think it could play out:

Rank Title Box Office
1 How to Train Your Dragon $48 million
2 Alice in Wonderland (2010) $18 million
3 Hot Tub Time Machine $16.5 million
4 Diary of a Wimpy Kid $12 million
5 The Bounty Hunter $10 million
6 She’s Out of My League $4 million
7 Repo Men $3.75 million
8 Green Zone $3.5 million
9 Avatar $3.25 million
10 Shutter Island $3 million
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