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New Movies and Box Office Predictions: 2012, Pirate Radio

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As we start drawing closer to Oscar season, not to mention Thanksgiving and Christmas, I think it is only natural to have a little bit of a lull. This weekend would appear to be it. It is not about the size of the movies, but the quantity of them and their relative Oscar chances. I think it is safe to say this week’s new releases have equal Oscar chances, despite their comparative box office potential. I still look forward to both of them. How about you? Are this week’s offerings up your alley? Or are you waiting for some more meatier fare?

2012. (2009, 158 minutes, PG-13, thriller) This film, Roland Emmerich’s latest attempt at destroying the known world, takes its cue from the Mayan calendar, which ends in December of 2012. This follows John Cusack as he and his loved ones attempt to survive the end of the world. Sounds rather final, doesn’t it? Don’t worry, they are already shopping a sequel, a television series that chronicles what happens after the end of the world. Now, I am not really expecting that much from it, but no one wrecks the world like Roland. The effects look rather spectacular and I hope that it pays off on the big screen. What worries me the most is this run time that goes past the two and a half hour mark. Is that not a bit excessive? I hope it doesn’t feel boring.

Pirate Radio. (2009, 115 minutes, R, comedy/drama) I really wish they had kept the original title, it sounds more fun and I just like it. The original title was The Boat That Rocked and I believe that is how it was released in the UK. The movie was written and directed by Richard Curtis (Love, Actually) and tells the true story of how rock and roll was banned from the radio and the American DJ who challenged the law and set up shop on a tanker with a group of like-minded souls. The trailers look like a lot of fun and the cast is solid. The cast includes Philip Seymour Hoffman, Bill Nighy, Rhys Ifans, Nick Frost, and Kenneth Branagh.

Also opening this week, but not near me:

  • The Fantastic Mr. Fox
  • Uncertainty
  • Women in Trouble

Box Office Predictions

2012 is expected to be big. They have to justify that $150 million budget, you know. I do not doubt that will be the big winner with A Christmas Carol coming in a relatively distant second. The question about 2012 is just how high will it go? That is the big question. I am sure the long run time wont help it. As for the week’s other wide release? Probably won’t make much of a dent, despite the fact it looks pretty good.

Here is how I think it could play out.

Rank Title Box Office
1 2012 $52 million
2 A Christmas Carol 3D $21 million
3 Michael Jackson’s This Is It $7.5 million
4 The Men Who Stare at Goats $7 million
5 The Fourth Kind $6 million
6 Precious $5 million
7 Paranormal Activity $4 million
8 Pirate Radio $3.5 million
9 Couples Retreat $3 million
10 Law Abiding Citizen $2.5 million
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About Draven99

  • Just came back from seeing 2012. GREAT storyline, phenomenal effects but I came away feeling good about SOME people, Cindy. I also saw a lot of irony throughout and agree that the adrenalin will pump for 150 minutes of this 165 minute movie.

    And, the first thing I said at the credits was 2012 is the prequel to Waterworld. Several people overheard me, stopped and then agreed.

    I wanna see Precious tomorrow night!

  • Oh, I just watched the trailer you posted in your article. I don’t recommend people watch that before they go. I’m not sure if it detracts at all, but I’m glad I didn’t see it.

  • Chris,

    I saw 2012 last might, opening night, apparently. I’d never heard of it. It just fit into the schedule. We asked what it was about at the ticket window…Mayan calendar, end of the world…sounded good, kinda long, but okay we’d try it.

    If you have a heart problem, be sure to take your tranquilizers with you. I don’t recall a more suspenseful film in my whole life (and I was in the theater for both Star Wars and Jaws in the 70s).

    Really, at some point the adrenalin started flowing and it never seemed to stop. We never knew 2 1/2 hours went by. I really liked it. Can’t imagine how it was done though. Never saw anything quite like those effects. And it was a good story. A story for kids to see and one that leaves you feeling good about people.

  • Precious is going to sweep a lot of awards.

  • Majd Nassan

    My dear Friend expect the unexpected , 2012 will rock everything its one of the best movies that will ever come out , 2hr 30min and you wont feel time it wont get boring it rocks.

  • Martin Rosen

    It was indeed called ‘The Boat That Rocked’ when it was released in the UK.

    I would have thought a reversal of titles would have been more apt, ie ‘Pirate Radio’ in the UK as everybody here over a ‘certain age’ knows what pirate radio was all about.