Week ten of blockbuster season takes us into the Fourth of July holiday, where there is much money to be made as families gather and head out to the darkened cinemas before firing up the grills, cracking open the beer, and getting burned with firecrackers. The weekend features two new movies in wide release: a family animated comedy/adventure and a period gangster film. Two films and two vastly different audiences. I have intentions of catching both at some point in the near future. And yes, I know the films have already opened; I completely forgot about the Wednesday openings!
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs. (2009, 94 minutes, PG, animated) The latest animated feature to take advantage of the new 3D process. I must admit to being very impressed with the quality of the 3D, as well as the positive signal to noise ratio in film makers using it effectively and not just as a gimmick. The gimmick is there, but it is still in the background. I wonder how this one will be? Perhaps it will be enough to distract me from a potentially bad movie. I liked the first movie, but the second, well, not so much. This outing sees Manny trapped in an underground world where they meet dinosaurs, Sid steals dino-eggs, Scrat meets Scratte, and is Diego too laid back? I cannot say any of the descriptions sound all that exciting. So long as the Scrat segments are good I am sure to find something to like. The voice cast have all returned from the last movie, including Ray Romano, Denis Leary, John Leguizamo, and Queen Latifah. Joining the stars in the supporting cast are Bill Hader, Simon Pegg, Jane Lynch, Seann William Scott, and Kristen Wiig.
Also opening this week, but not near me:
- I Hate Valentine's Day – do we really need another Nia Vardalos movie already
Box Office Predictions
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen won last weekend, will it have the legs to take a second? I am not sure. I do expect to see a steep percentage drop, it is impossible to open that big and not suffer a precipitous drop, how many people of the originals will be rushing out to see it again so soon? Probably not many, so the pool will be made up by those who chose to avoid opening weekend crowds, but then those numbers could be tempered by those celebrating Independence Day with their families, although holidays generally make good times to go see a movie as a family. The possibilities make my head hurt. I suspect the battle will be between the juggernaut sequel and the upstart animated sequel. Ultimately, it will be Scrat and the Ice Age gang taking the crown. Dillinger will have to settle for third.
Here is how I think it could play out.
|1||Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs||$60 million|
|2||Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen||$51 million|
|3||Public Enemies||$32 million|
|4||The Proposal||$10 million|
|5||The Hangover||$9 million|
|7||My Sister's Keeper||$6 million|
|8||Year One||$3 million|
|9||The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3||$2.5 million|
|10||Star Trek||$1.75 million|