Eric Berlin will be live blogging and drinking coffee throughout Election Day. Keep it tuned right here for the latest!
Entries are listed newest-to-oldest.
11:59 p.m. PST – Pasadena, California
It’s 3:00 a.m. on the east coast, and the pundits are getting punchy. Chris Matthews and Keith Olbermann are discussing the voices in their respective heads and exchanging plaudits and donuts. Meanwhile, there’s a dude on CNN ranting and raving.
I’m getting punchy myself so I’ll sign off for the night. It’s been great fun live blogging this election from my peculiar and hopefully entertaining perspective, and a great night overall!
11:30 p.m. PST – Pasadena, California
The size of the new Democratic majority in the House is looking to be in the outer ranges of most predictions, in other words a really and truly monster night!
Things started to “sink in” for me overall a little bit with McCaskill’s victory in Missouri. I mentioned to a fellow Blogcritic on the phone this evening that I haven’t felt quite this way since 1992, when I was a freshman in college. It just didn’t seem possible, as a kid who grew up during the Reagan-Bush ’41 years, for a Democrat to take over the White House.
Now we’re on the cusp of seeing Democrats take over both houses of Congress. It’s still looking like it’s going to be a long march to get Webb over the top in Virginia. However, it’s very very meaningful that he has the “high ground” of having the vote lead, about 11,000 votes at last check.
To wrap up: great great night for Dems, and getting very close to simply unbelievable.
10:44 p.m. PST – Pasadena, California
It looks like control of the US Senate might (if Missouri and Montana continue to lean the Demoratic way) come down to Virginia.
It’s really tight, and the lawsuits and long waits may well lie ahead.
9:02 p.m. PST – Pasadena, California
Man, the Allen-Webb race is tight! MSNBC has Allen up by a few thousand, and CNN has it the other way. James Carville seems convinced that it’s going to come down to Montana — if he’s right, I think we just might squeeze out a Democratic Senate as well.
There’s also a lot of talk about a Democratic sweep… in the Northeast, at the least. The picture in the rest of the country is still getting defined. But in any event, angry independents have spoken this year, and there will be major repercussions from it on many fronts.
Here’s a quick sketch list:
* Moderate Republicans are now a rare breed
* Karl Rove’s brand of rev up the base and scare bloody hell out of everyone else has finally failed
* Democrats are finally seeing their way to finding a ruling majority
From a pure politics standpoint, things are going to be very interesting.
Lots more to come!
8:09 p.m. PST – Pasadena, California
A new House.
MSNBC is projecting that the Democrats will take control of the U.S. House of Representatives. How big the majority will be remains to be seen. But for now let’s just take in this moment. I’m proud of our country for (finally!) repudiating failed foreign policy and arrogant and in many cases incompetent administration on the home front.
The country is clearly calling for balance, and I think that says a lot about all of us Americans.
7:35 p.m. PST – Pasadena, California
Oh, I should add that it is in no way insignificant that the Dems have held Senate seats in New Jersey and Maryland. Over the weekend, I think I heard Ed Gillespie mention Michael Steele’s name a dozen times during one interview. So no Steele this year, sorry!
I apologize for gloating (sort of) — most people who know my political writing know that I’m generally very measured. But I agree wholeheartedly with The Washington Post‘s endorsement of Cardin and its indictment of Steele as someone who brought nothing substantive to the table.
7:23 p.m. PST – Pasadena, California
The Dems are coming! It’s still unsure if it will be the proverbial “tidal wave,” but it’s looking very good at this point in the night.
It has been called on MSNBC — my cable news fix of choice — thus far that the Dems have taken Senate seats in:
* Pennsylvania (I saw Santorum give a very genuine and magnanimous concession speech — but I’m very happy he’s out of there nonetheless)
* Rhode Island
There are also a number of House pickups for the Dems already, including Nancy Johnson’s seat in Connecticut (which some have called the “canary” seat that may portend doom for the GOP) and several Indiana seats.
There’s much chatter on MSNBC, by the way, about how the GOP base is holding to some extent by “coming home” in some geographic regions, such as the South. But I would counter by saying that Indiana is a bright red state in terms of national elections, and it looks like the Dems have picked up at least one seat in not-so-liberal Kentucky as well.
5:24 p.m. PST – Los Angeles, California
Results finally starting to pour in — and they’re looking good for Dems, but it’s still very very early!
Most interesting thoughts from our friends at MyDD:
The first full county reporting in Indiana gives us a possible indication of what’s to come through the night. Vigo county is a temperture [sic] county nationally having voted for the winning presidential candidate for over 50 years. In 2002 Bryan Hartke took 53% of the vote in Vigo county. In 2004 Jon Jennings took 54% of the vote in Vigo. Tonight with 92% of the vote reporting Democrat Brad Ellsworth is at 71%. Hopefully a sign of things to come tonight.
I really don’t want to get overconfident, but early signs are very positive. It looks like Sherrod Brown and Bob Casey are going to represent Ohio and Pennsylvania, respectively, in the US Senate. Even though those two victories were “expected,” it should not be discounted that those are two enormous pickups for the Democrats. Ohio has bludgeoned the Dems to death in recent national elections, so the edition of a Democratic senator and (likely) governor will have a huge impact in both 2006 and 2008.
3:05 p.m. PST – Los Angeles, California
ABC News announces that “Preliminary Exit Poll Results Show Disapproval of Bush.” Well, I think we knew that already.
Where them election results at?
2:10 p.m. PST – Los Angeles, California
Okay, now I’m getting really itchy for this thing to get going already. Less than an hour until the first polls close, and then we’re in for a deluge of info and results for the rest of the night.
I’m making an executive decision here and now to have an espresso.
That is all.
1:47 p.m. PST – Los Angeles, California
For political junkies, Salon.com has a must read on how to watch elections. All indications are that we’ll know how the night is going to go relatively early by watching key races in such places as Indiana, Ohio, and even New Hampshire.
The earliest polls close in a little over an hour — we’re getting close!
12:43 p.m. PST – Los Angeles, California
Howard Fineman on President Bush as Borat. Well, not exactly, but sort of. Good stuff. I like Fineman — he can be a bit stuffy but he’s a great political writer.
We’ll take what we can get as the countdown hours slowly burn down…
11:32 a.m. PST – Los Angeles, California
People are really watching. Like, around the world: “America’s midterm elections have enormous global implications for the War on Terror and climate change.”
10:55 a.m. PST – Los Angeles, California
Here ye, here ye, get your poll closing times and election results color coded maps!
Does this mean that we’ll be hearing about results about contested congressional seats in Indiana and Kentucky in only four short hours or so?
Can you stand the intensity of the drama?
Am I being dramatical enough?
Answer key: probably, probably, and shut it
9:46 a.m. PST – Los Angeles, California
Listened to Air America radio this morning for a bit, and the mood was fairly giddy. Al Franken states that he is “overconfident.” I’m nervous that he’s overconfident!
By the way, note to The Al Franken Show: your scripted comedy bits tend to be cringe-worthy and painful. Whenever the sidekick guy (I don’t know what his name is and I listen to the show often enough, which tells you something) speaks his lines, oh-my-lord you can tell that he’s reading his lines.
Al can be funny and witty and sharp in the right setting. For example, when he announced that the show was ready and prepared to announce its endorsements for the elections this morning, now that was funny! He then went on to announce his endorsement of Bob Casey for Senate. Good stuff.
7:57 a.m. PST – Pasadena, California
Okay, here are my predictions, if only because people won’t stop harassing me for them (and by people, I mean my dog, and by harassing I mean she’s bugging me to take her on a walk, or “walkies” as we like to call it, but I digress):
HOUSE: + 24 seats for the Democrats, with most the pickups coming in scandal-plagued districts and the Northeast, including Connecticut, Pennsylvania, and my home state of New York.
SENATE: I’m going out on a limb and saying + 6 seats for the Democrats (which would mean Democratic control all around, kids!). Pick-ups include Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island (this will be an easier win than people think), Montana, Missouri (which will be razor-thin, as has been widely predicted), and Virginia. Tennessee will lose a great chance to elect an outstanding candidate in Harold Ford, Jr., but oh well.
GOVERNORS: I’m not that focused on Governors, but it’s looking like it’s going to be a great night for Dems all around with a pickup of five or six seats. I’m really impressed with Elliot Spitzer, who, along with Hillary Clinton should lead a monster night for Democrats in New York.
Looking at these predictions, we can clearly see that I’m an optimist, but let’s hope not a hopelessly deluded one!
7:08 a.m. PST – Pasadena, California
A little background: I put a lot of emotion and energy into the 2004 election. Unfortunately, I didn’t do very much about it, but I read voraciously and cared deeply about the outcome, “most important election in our lifetime” and all that. Election Day finally, groaningly hit and I proudly cast my vote for John Kerry – not the greatest candidate in the world but a respected and thoughtful man who I believed would help to curb and roll back many of the excesses I saw in the first four years of the Bush administration.
When “we” couldn’t quite get over the top in Ohio late that night, I was stunned. Floored, shocked, and all the rest of it. In the days and weeks that followed, most of my friends – even my Republican friends! – were sick to death of politics. Bush and company were back in business, and everyone just kind of wanted to take a little time off. Perhaps that’s as good an explanation as any for how things got to where we are today: in Iraq, with an overreaching executive branch, and all the rest of it.
For me, though, it was different. I felt energized, if in a kind of painstaking way. I had to do something, even if it was just something to distract myself after I had read The Note and couldn’t find any fresh polls to pour over.
And that’s how blogging came into my life in the proverbial “big time” way. I brought my little e-zine to blog form in November 2004, joined Blogcritics in December (a wondrous moment for me, I might add) and the rest, as they say, is history.
Speaking of history, I’m very hopeful that today will mark a new chapter in the history of the United States. Out with the old, in with the change. I believe people are hungry for change, and I hope like hell that we see a strong indication at the polls that it’s obscenely high time for it.
6:57 a.m. PST – Pasadena, California
Damn, I’ve been wanting to live blog forever, unleash the shackles that bind!
More seriously, as the first surge of caffeine kicks in, I’m excited and nervous as all get-out as today’s the day. Election Day. I’ve been waiting and counting (I have a nearly unhealthy obsession with numbers which is fueled to no end in these final pre-election days by polls upon polls – registered, likely, and leaners, oh my!) down the days for two years now, ever since that stunning and somewhat formative day in my life, otherwise known as Election Day 2004.Powered by Sidelines