Political predictions are fun, especially when they are not fired at your campaign. No one predicted that Jack Kennedy would walk away with the nomination or the election of 1960. He saw the vision and put it into place, answering “why not?” when asked why he was running for president. But as I often tell my students, “You must walk before you run.”
Another nominee with the same initials as Jack, JFK, John F. Kerry, was a guest on a recent Sunday show. I can’t recall what he was talking about but I do recall that he looked distinguished and even presidential enough to win. Al Gore and Kerry surely should have won, but did not. This conundrum has donkeys (Democrats) scratching their political heads over the 2008 race. They don’t want to raise too many eyebrows, at the same time don’t want to let another one get away. But looking at their track record: What the hell do they have to lose? They want a winner, and they need one badly just about now.
Another Day, Another Debate
Labor day launches the campaigns in full swing with more debates and detours on the schedule. Sunday, September 9, 2007, the candidates will once again debate, this time in front of an Hispanic audience. It will be broadcast by Univision and include English translation. In future months we will see much walking on both sides of the aisles down many sides streets, detours, no outlets, yield, stop and slow-down-for-curve signs. What does that mean to the voters? It means that we will have to wait a little longer than planned for the field to winnow down to the chosen few. The street signs are also signposts for the journey that will transport a few and change many. By now it is well known that the net roots are rooting for Barack Obama: candidate of choice and self-described change avatar. Heloise wants to predict that he will be the top of the ticket, but he won’t. However, that does not mean he won’t be on the ticket.
The Oprah effect is real. But will it translate into votes and poll numbers for Obama? Oprah’s Book Club has gotten many couch potatoes back on the reading track. However, studies show that it is the urban folks who are the uber readers. She now wants people to read her candidate: Barack Obama, and to celebrate him. Celebrate what exactly? He has been raking in the funds but Barack has not been bumping up his ratings in the polls. I am sure he would trade a million for a Mayor’s endorsement when and where it counts most.
A poll I conducted recently also contained my prediction. What Heloise McClinton predicts is simple: that Hillary Clinton will be the candidate and will, through the wisdom of Bill Clinton, put Barack Obama on the ticket. Why? Because that will be the ticket to take it. If you think that a little bad blood between senators will keep them apart — rethink. No one in the Kennedy camp wanted a man with the initials LBJ on the ticket. But Jack (maybe Bobby) knew that this man was not only a political master but would be the dealmaker in the South. History has vindicated that decision. In spite of Johnson’s many mistakes he stands tall among vice presidents and presidents of these United States.